HomeMy WebLinkAbout01. Conduct the second Financial Planning WorkshopLICENTRAL SAN
January 16, 2025
Page 1 of 28
Item 1.
FROM: DANEA GEMMELL, PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DIVISION
MANAGER
REVIEWED BY: GREG NORBY, DEPUTY GM - ENGINEERING & OPERATIONS
PHILIP LEIBER, DEPUTYGM -ADMINISTRATION
ROGER S. BAILEY, GENERAL MANAGER
SUBJECT: CONDUCT THE SECOND FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHOP IN WHICH
THE FOLLOWING WILL BE PRESENTED AND DISCUSSED:
• REVIEW OF FIRST FINANCIAL WORKSHOP RESULTS; AND
• OVERVIEW OF INTERNAL CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM
UPDATE PROCESS AND RESULTS; AND
• FINANCIAL CONDITION REVIEW; AND
• UPDATED FINANCIAL PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS AND OUTLOOK
FOR PERIODS BEYOND THE TWO-YEAR RATE PROPOSAL; AND
• COST OF SERVICE RESULTS INCLUDING PROPOSED TWO-YEAR
SEWER SERVICE CHARGE (SSC) RATES BY CUSTOMER CLASS;
AND
• RECYCLED WATER RATE PROPOSAL; AND
• SUMMARY OF SSC RATE PROPOSAL AND COMPETITIVE RATE
COMPARISON TO PEERS
Central San's sewer service rates were approved through Fiscal Year (FY) 2024-25. New proposed rates
for FY 2025-26 and beyond require completion of a Cost of Service Study and initiation of a Proposition
218 rate setting process. This Cost of Service Study has been completed, resulting in some proposed
changes in cost allocations between customer classes, and resulting proposed rate changes. On
December 18, 2024 the first of two Financial Workshops was held with the Board of Directors (Board) to
review the Proposition 218 process, discuss the preliminary Cost of Service Study results, review
potential rate proposal scenarios, and to generally commence the rate setting process. The Board
provided initial guidance to staff indicating a preference for a two-year rate proposal, with overall rate
adjustments for single family residences not to exceed 4%. Staff were to return at the next workshop with
additional rate proposal implications resulting from this direction.
At the second workshop, Staff will review the attached presentation, which provides additional detail about
the process used to revise the Ten Year Capital Improvement Program to accommodate the Nutrients
project in compliance with the San Francisco Regional Water Quality Control Board Order of July 2024;
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 5 of 34
Page 2 of 28
the District's Financial Condition; the rate outlook beyond the current two year proposal; additional detail
regarding the Cost of Service study results including rates for all of the customer rate categories;
proposed recycled water rates; and Central San's competitive rates position compared to peer agencies.
The Board's direction to staff resulting from this second workshop will allow staff to commence the
Proposition 218 process in early February through notification to customers of the proposed two-year rate
adjustments, in anticipation of a public hearing on April 17, 2025 to approve the proposed rate adjustment
that would be effective July 1, 2025. With this direction on rates, staff can also commence in January the
preparation of the FY 2025-26 budget, which will result in the distribution for review of the proposed
budget in May, and scheduled adoption of the budget on June 5, 2025.
Staff look forward to the Board's further deliberations and guidance on this important matter on January 16,
2025.
Strategic Plan re -In
GOAL ONE: Customer and Community
Strategy 1— Deliver high-quality customer service, Strategy 2 - Promote initiatives to advance affordable and equitable
access to services
GOAL FOUR: Governance and Fiscal Responsibility
Strategy 1 - Promote and uphold ethical behavior, openness, and accessibility, Strategy 2 - Encourage and facilitate
public participation, Strategy 3 - Maintain financial stability and sustainability
GOAL SIX: Infrastructure Reliability
Strategy 1 - Manage assets optimally, Strategy 2 - Execute long-term capital renewal and replacement program
ATTACHMENTS:
1. Presentation
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 6 of 34
Page 3 of 28
Attachment 1
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 7 of 34
Page 4 of 28
Overview of Today's Presentation
1. Financial Workshop #1 RecapWOC7a _
11 Review of Internal Capital Planning Workshops and Results 5.
III. Current Financial Condition Review
IV. Two -Year Proposal: Two 4% SSC increases* and
Two Scenarios for Subsequent Rate Outlooks
\ Cost of Service and Proposed Rate StructureF -
VI. Recycled Water
VII. Proposed SSC Rates Recap
VIII. General Manager Concluding Remarks ,
FY 2025-26 increase is 4% for Single -Family Residences but 4
Provides an overall revenue increase of 2.5% due to Cost of -
Service -related changes
3
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 8 of 34
Page 5 of 28
Current 10 -Year CIP FY 2024-25: $1.003 Billion
$46,600,000 $65,250,000 $66,399,000 $66,750,000 $63,495,000 $58,400,000 $51,900,000 $46,950,000 $43,750,000 $45,250,000 $554,744,000
$300,000 $500,000 $112001000 $4,000,000 $4,000,000 $7,500,000 $9,500,000 $18,000,000 $19,000,000 $15,000,000 $79,000,000
$23,327,000 $34,002,000 $31,333,000 $31,625,000 $32,675,000 $29,875,000 $29,875,000 $30,030,000 $30,530,000 $30,530,000 $303,802,000
$5,235,000 $5,075,000 $4,525,000 $2,725,000 $2,725,000 $2,475,000 $2,475,000 $2,475,000 $2,475,000 $2,475,000 $32,660,000
RN.-
AOOAW M
seoaoa=
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w
.M5 nZ026 nM, n202B nXr_9 FY i0P ez.3 r,.,; —13 fY hl30
5 ■ Treatment Plant ■Nutrients ■ CaRection System ■ General Improvements ■Recycled Water
Proposed 10 -Year CIP FY 2025-26: $1.265 Billion
Total Uninflated CIP
$71,250,000 $81,849,000 $66,150,000 $58,995,000 $57,050,000 $42,250,000 $16,750,000 $8,250,000 $8,750,000 $22,350,000 $433,644,000
$4,000,000 $5,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $55,000,000 $100,000,000 $100,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 $499,000,000
$35,502,000 $32,233,000 $27,275,000 $28,525,000 $24,375,000 $24,375,000 $24,530,000 $24,530,000 $25,030,000 $30,650,000 $277,025,000
$6,325,000 $5,975,000 $3,575,000 $3,575,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $39,400,000
sreo.000.000
si4a_000.000
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SW.000.OW
55x,000,000 —
Sox.xxx nxx
520.000.x00
SD
Fr mx6 n2x21 f•'mxa rx mza rx m3x nrua F1'zo31 fl2a33 ry m3a nm35
■Treatment Plant ■ Nutrients ■ Collection System ■General Improvements ■ Recycled Water
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 9 of 34
Financial Workshop #1 Recap and Results 1
Presented overview of Capital Improvement Program (CIP)
for next 10 years
Presented baseline and 3 rate scenarios (based on Single Ar
-
Family Rate Case)
Previous baseline: 2 -year rate of 4.0% with $170 M debt
Scenario A: 2 -year rate of 4.5% with $370 M debt
Scenario B: 2 -year rate of 5.25% with $225 M debt
• Scenario C: 2 -year rate of 6.5% with NO added debt
vi
• Board tentatively selected a variant of Scenario A:
4.0% increase for two years, with staff to present rate and
debt outlook beyond two years
Page 6 of 28
II. Review of Capital Planning Workshops and Results
Greg Norby,
Deputy General Manager — Engineering & Operations
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 10 of 34
I
Page 7 of 28
Purpose and Scope of Five Workshops
Review of FY 2023-24 capital program activity, lessons learned, and SWOT
analysis; summary presented to E&O Committee on October 2, 2024
Process for CIP prioritization and sequencing and initial assessments on how
nutrients projects, as currently identified, may impact the CIP
Capital Projects, Planning, and Optimization Divisions' current roles and II
responsibilities for CIP; review of program delivery challenges and solutions;,,,
Revising of FY 2024-25 10 -Year CIP to free up delivery capacity
for approximately $500 M in new nutrients project activity
Recap of key findings and action items with senior staff and Executive
Leadership Team
Workshop #4 Purpose and Limitations
Objective of the exercise was to confirm initial feasibility of incorporating
approximately $500 M in nutrients -related projects to meet 2034 compliance
target ($79 M was already in 10 -year CIP; net increase is $420 M)
Feasibility determined by balance of priorities, risks, and constraints
Results are intended as a transitional work product to guide near-term
rate setting and financial planning for FY 2026-27
Senior staff from Plant Operations, CSO, Maintenance, Capital Delivery,
Planning, Optimization, and Regulatory achieved consensus on the specific
changes
158 M in relatively lower -priority projects reprogrammed to beyond the 2034
horizon to provide delivery and funding capacity needed for nutrients projects
The Nutrients Management and Energy Management District Projects will be
developed over the next 18 to 24 months. Results will confirm specific major
projects' relative prioritization, sequencing, and estimated cost.
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 11 of 34
a
Page 8 of 28
$158 M Adjusted in 10 -Year CIP
Collection System Renovation Program — Phase 3
$196 M
($38.5 M)
$157.5 M
Prior planning level mileage targets being updated through
condition assessment and Sanitary Sewer Infrastructure Plan
Solids Handling Improvements — Phase 1C
$62 M
($22 M)
$40 M
Split project scope and moved the work associated with additional
air pollution control in future
Steam Renovations — Phase 2
$24 M
($24 M)
$0
Awaiting feedback from the Energy and Nutrients management
I
planning efforts
Wet Weather Flow Management - Phase 2
$15.5 M
($15.5 M)
$0
Awaiting feedback from Nutrients Management and updated site
planning
Standby Generator Expansion
$6.5 M
($6.5 M)
$0
Awaiting feedback from the Energy and Nutrients Management
planning efforts
Primary Expansion (Tank 5)
$5 M
($5 M)
$0
Current focus is on the plant secondary process, no urgency to the
primary tankage expansion
Cogen Replacement
$5 M
($5 M)
$0
Awaiting feedback from the Energy and Nutrients Management
planning efforts
Filter Plant Improvements — Phase 1 C
$17 M
($17 M)
$0
$60 M in upgrades already done or in progress, no immediate
driver for additional filters capacity
Surcharge Soil Pile Relocation & DAFT Tank
$24.4 M
(24.4 M)
$0
Consolidated into Nutrients Management
Improvements (moved to Nutrients Program)
Subtotal
($157.9 M)
How the 10 -Year CIP Changed
Nutrient All Other
Projects Projects TOTAL
(millions) (millions) (millions)
1 • • J
Changes from
Capital Planning +$420 -$158 +$262
Workshops
Updated CIP $499 $766 $1,265
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 12 of 34
4
Page 9 of 28
Major Factors Influencing 10 -Year Picture
This is data that will be available in next 2 years: II
Energy and Nutrients Management and impacts to CIP; various
existing projects and new projects will be identified that require
significant coordination and scheduling
Condition Assessments needed for several of the projects to determine
a more accurate timeline or overall potential cost impact; may have
significant impact on reduced Collection System funding �I
r
Delivery capabilities of the Capital Program and the limit for y
construction activities within the treatment plant
Design, Construction, and Supply Chain market capacity and cost
trends +�
:'PEy
III. Current Financial Condition Review
Philip Leiber,
Deputy General Manager - Administration
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 13 of 34
Page 10 of 28
V.
Recent Financial Accomplishmentstlb- =`;
Overall Budgetary Control and Cost Reductions
Eight years of nearly flat Operations and Maintenance (O&M) budgets
(through FY 2021-22); some minor increases in O&M subsequently
California Public Employees' Retirement System (CaIPERS) Healthcare
Plan switch; $5.5 M savings annually started in FY 2019-20
2018 Bond Refinancing: $8 M interest savings through 2030 �-
2021 UAAL Payoff: Current estimate of —$3 M projected interest savings
through 2029 (actual being monitored annually)
State Revolving Fund (SRF) Financing for Solids Handling Facility
Improvements (Solids Project): $20+ M interest savings over 30 years
based on likely use of $100 M of the $173 M loan
Spending Control after Budget Adoption
Past three years average of $3.6 M O&M savings
FY 2024-25 anticipated — $3+ M O&M spending savings
Recent Financial Accomplishments
Building Reserves to Weather Turbulent Times
Fully funded O&M and Sewer Construction Reserves
Rate stabilization account: $12.7 M
Increased Catastrophic Self -Insurance Reserve from $5 M to $7.5 M
Greatly improved funded ratios for employee -related liabilities
97.4% for Pension UAAL at 12/31/2023 and 98.6% for Other
Post -Employment Benefits (OPEB) at 7/1/2023
Recovery of —$1 M of COVID response costs from State, $800 K from
FEMA (with an additional $38 K still pending from FEMA)
Optimization and Benchmarking
Creation of Operations & Organization -Wide Optimization Division and
Division Manager appointed
Continuation of national/state benchmarking study participation
Annual Optimization report documents continual improvement efforts
Process optimization improvements a key focus in next two years
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 14 of 34
FY 2024-25 Central San Funding Sources
$231.1 M Total
SSC is the main "controllable"
(through setting rates)
revenue source, used to cover
projected expenses not funded
from other revenue sources
Borrowing can also be used to
cover capital funding needs City of
Concord,
$29,560,000
All Other Revenue
Capacity Fees, Sources, $11,532,123
$5,000,000
Tax Revenw
$24,711,87
Debt Prod
$39,000.
17 Revenue provides $192.1 M of the revenue requirement; balance from SRF Loan
SSC Annual Review Requirement
While not binding for FY 2025-26, the Ordinance that set rates for
FY 2024-25 indicated "Prior to imposing the rate set forth under
this Ordinance for Fiscal Year 2024-25, the Board of Directors
shall consider, at a noticed public hearing:"
A. District's proposed budget; and
B. Projected capital and operations and maintenance costs; and
C. Its financial condition; and
D. Other factors which bear on the revenue requirements of the
District. Ak/-1,
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 15 of 34
Page 11 of 28
Sewer Service
Charges,
$121,310,000
19
A. Proposed FY 2025-26 Budget
Budget Process Not Yet Started
(Budget to be presented in early May)
O&M for FY 2025-26
Per Financial Plan: $101.2 M as of January 2025
Capital Budget for FY 2025-26
(placeholder pending start of budgeting)
Per Prior 10 -Year Cl P: $75.7 M
Per Current 10 -Year CIP: $119.4 M
B. Historical and Projected O&M Costs
Slao,000,000
5120,000,00D
5100.00D.000
S80.00D.0
560.00D.000
5411,
SZo,000,000 _ _ i
0 0 0 aK T a-1 uY � a-1 H N N N H N rV N N h N H� T
,e rzQd.d?:Za,a�.bKohda���, aa.6��bd.a
��r rQ+2RlZRR�r}Z���&�Q�RQ�i2
Budget ❑ 2021 Debc Service ■ Projection O 2021 Debt Service
Summary:
Eight years of O&M budget stability at an average of about $89 M
Inflationary pressures in FY 2022-23 forward result in modest O&M budget growth
Cost growth mitigated through optimizations and other efforts (bars represent Financial Plan
20 placeholders for now)
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 16 of 34
Page 12 of 28
Page 13 of 28
7B. Historical and Projected Capital Costs
s1Bo Sustained Higher
Investment Level
$190
Ram P Catch- j
P
5170 — UP_
5100
se0 a
M0 Maintain
sw
� I -I
1 Ob �° ti� 1y �'' �P Ly �b b1 A ti9 .y0 1 y~ y^, y0 .1% .yb .ti1 b cl n ,�•Y ..�R. '� ..p ,y9
v .r
■Grryiorwards ■UP Budl. j"Est—d&p-di[ures"pre FY17/18•OPJProje dj
Summary:
Transition from "Maintain" to higher levels of investment, with recent "Catch -Up" period to
draw down a growing carry -forward
C. Summary Outlook and Current Year Results
Financial Condition is Good
Required Fiscal Reserves are fully funded
$12.7 M in Rate Stabilization Account
Pension: 97.4.% funded; OPEB: 98.6% funded
Favorable variances are anticipated from FY 2024-25
YTD Results through November 2024
O&M Variances
Total revenue variance: $31 K through November
Total spending variance: $4.6 M
Net Variance —$3 to 4 M favorable b ear end
YY
Capital Variances
Total revenue variance: $145 K unfavorable
Total capital project spending of $131 M with
carryforward
Detailed capital forecast conducted (discussed
subsequently)
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 17 of 34
C. Debt Overview
Outstanding Debt:
Original Issuance Protected Balance at 6/30/2025
Bonds
2018 Revenue Bonds: $19,450,000 $9,910,000
2021 Certifications of Participation: $50,570,000 $27,925,000
SRF Loan $173.1 M for Solids Projects
Drawn to date: $ 0 $55,169,297 (FY 2024-25 draws est. at $39 M)
Total $70,020,000 $93,004,297
I �
I �
$10,006,000 �
I
58,006,000 1
it
Debt Service Chart sa.666,006
(Principal and Interest per Year) sa,666,u66
�������I1111111 IIII��� I
$2 600,006
rnq,m oqo �o oqo 'I
n .+.. .. .+.. ry ry n n ry ry ry n ry ry n n n ry n n n ry ry n n ry n rv��lry ry n n ry ry ry n n
• 2021 5RF Lw
■ 2018 Bonds
09
■ 2000PS
. 2021 COPS
■ 1999 Recycled Water La
. 19941199,912002 Refunding Revenge 13-&
Page 14 of 28
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 18 of 34
C. Debt Overview
Debt used to fund CIP (last 10 years; projected 10 years)
Debt Funded CIP
$ In millions
1,400 1,266
100
1,200
MA
-
1,000
800 668
60%
600
355
40%
400
200 106 —
209/
-
-
'
10Years through FY 2024-25 Next 10yearsfrom FY 2025-26
Debt Capital Spending —Percentage
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 18 of 34
C. Reserves
BOARD POLICY (BP) 017 FISCAL RESERVES
Defines and governs use of:
O&M Reserve
Sewer Construction Reserve`
Self -Insurance Reserve
Rate Stabilization Account
OPEB Trust and Pension ==
Prefunding Trusts
C. Reserves On Track / Healthy
Page 15 of 28
Reserves per 6/30/24* $42.5 $134.5 $9.2 $10.7 $90.1 $1.1 $504.2
Policy Required Level at 6-30-24 40 41.7 9.0
Difference 2.5 92.8(3) 0.2
Reallocations (2.5) 1.5 1.0
Balances After Reallocations $40 $134 5 $9.2 1199 $921 $2.1 $504 2
* Reserve balances per pre -audit financial statements and external sources as applicable
(1) OPEB trust reported a balance of $92.1 million as of August 31, 2024, most current balance known immediately
prior to the presentation of this position paper to the Board
(2) Actuarial value of assets per 12/31/23 CCCERA valuation
(3) Balance is higher than the policy required level due to unspent CIB carryforwards (total authorized spending less
actual spending)
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 19 of 34
Page 16 of 28
W.
D. Other Factors that Bear on the
Revenue Requirements of the District
Economic outlook:
Economy has generally remained resilient
Inflation higher than 2% target but down substantially from post-
COVID peak
The public continues to feel the impact of cost pressure and
inflation in many expenses
Project Uncertainty:
Nutrients Management — compliance will be costly, though likely
less than first thought with use of innovative technology; project
cost estimate to be significantly refined by January 2026 and
further refined by January 2027 ..
Mt. View Sanitary District — Central San Consolidation Study
Study underway; results targeted for 2026
Summary Assessment
111,61,
A. District's proposed budget; and Process not yet commenced. Budgets Budgets expected to be consistent
anticipated to be consistent with financial plan. with financial plan.
B. Projected capital and
operations and maintenance
costs; and
C. Its financial condition; and
Capital needs in the next 10 years remain
heightened, though slower pace expected
versus last year's financial plan. Significant
uncertainty as to timing of major projects.
Water exchange/nutrients Issue Pending.
Good.
D. Other factors which bear on the External economy continues to be resilient.
revenue requirements of
the District.
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 20 of 34
Rate adjustments needed to fund
nutrients program.
Maintain fiscal and rate adjustment
discipline.
Rate adjustments needed for nutrients
compliance effort; more clarity on
costs anticipated in 2026.
Page 17 of 28
IV. Two -Year Rate Proposal at 4.0% Scenarios and Outlook
Danea Gemmell,
Planning & Development Services Division Manager
t '.0,1
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 21 of 34
Rate !Scenario Summary
7
.. Scenario E
Debt)(Emphasizing (Emphasizing
Year 1 Overall Revenue
2.5%
2.5%
(4.0% SFR)
(4.0% SFR)
Year 2 Overall Revenue
4.0% all classes
4.0% all classes
Rate Stabilization Account Draw Down (Year 1)
$6 M
$6 M
Total New Debt Needed
$270 M
$370 M
Year
$150 M
$215 M
Year
$120 M
$155 M
Year 3-10 Rates
5.5% to 6%
4% to 5%
December 18 Workshop Alternatives
Debt
$225 M
$370 M
(Scenario B)
(Scenario A)
Year 3-10 Rates
5.5%
4 to 5%
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 21 of 34
Page 18 of 28
Proposal Outlook
m
-No-Year Rate Annual Single -Family SSC Outlook
Previous Baseline Scenario (FY 2023-24) - $170 M Future Bonds
31.400Hls`1 toricV AV dopted V Years 3.12Rate Plan
$1,158
$1.200 $1.098
$1.041
$935
51.000
$896
54815
4,0%
$690 $697
$725 $754 4
704�6
$800 $660 4,0%
n!a -
5600 — —
.6:
$490
$0
off -ft" atl
FY 2022 112023 Fr 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 1/2027 Fr 2028 FY2029 FY2030 FY2031 FY 2033 Fl2031 Fl 203d FY2035 9 �iFr at
31'
Annual Single -Family SSC Outlook
Scenario D - $270 M Future Bonds (Higher Reliance on Rates)
Staab
S1.aoc HistoriclAdopted Proposed Years3-10Rate Plan
$1.214
$1,151 5.5%
$1,200 $1.091 5.5%
$1.034 5.5%
3980 5.5%
$1.000 $
$881 5.5%.5%
$831 6.0%
54 E784 8.0%
$Ko $680 $997 $725 q0%% ao%
$ 4.5% 1.0% 4.0%
Na
$200
$4
FY 20222 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2021 FY 2025 FY 2029 FY 2030 F1' 2031 FY 2032 FY 203.1 FY 2034 fY 2035
Note: FY 2025-26 4.0% rate adjustment for SFR customers; 2.5% overall rate revenue adjustment
32
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 22 of 34
Page 19 of 28
Annual Single -Family SSC Outlook 44
Scenario E - $370 M Future Bonds (Higher Reliance on Debt)
51.600 �
$1.400 HisFortclHdopted Proposed Years 3-10 Rate Plan
51,200
$1,000
5600
$fico
5400
$200
$1,093
$1,051 4.0%
$972 $1.011 10%
4.0%
$699 $935 4 4.0%
.0%
4.0
__.
$699 $725 $754 $7&1 $ 3 5,0%
■ ■
4�m
FY 2022 FY 2023 FY2024 FY2025 FV2026 F12027 FY 2026 I.. 12030 12011 FY 2032 FY 2033 1Y2034 12035
Note: FY 2025-26 4.0% rate adjustment for SFR customers; 2.5% overall rate revenue adjustment
Use of Debt Helps to Mitigate Future SSC Increases
Scenario D - $270 M Future Bonds (Higher Reliance on Rates)
Debt Financing Plan
FY 2025-26
5160,000.000
$140,m0.Om
28.0% of proposed 10 -year CIP g12om6.om
is funded with debt sloa,mo.am
$eo,noo.mo
�m000.m6
saonoo.mo
sx ow.mo
so
"2026 FY202J FY202S FY2029 FY2030 FY1031 FY2032 FY2033 FY2094 FY2035
•CehFYNed •SUF.M •% Fu d
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 23 of 34
Page 20 of 28
Use of Debt Helps to Mitigate Future SSC Increases
Scenario E - $370 M Future Bonds (Higher Reliance on Debt)
$78,395,000 $89,375,000 $87,318,000 $119,163,000 $122,068,000 $53,601,333 $73,256,333 $64,763,333 $85,763,333 $55,583,333 1 $829,286,667
$41,000,000 $39,000,000 $33,000,000 $5,000,000 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 1 $118,000,000
Total Uninflated CIP
V. Cost of Service and Proposed Rate Structure
Danea Gemmell,
Planning & Development Services Division Manager
Thomas Brightbill,
Senior Engineer - Financial Planning
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 24 of 34
Debt rinancingPlan
FY 2025-26
S1ao,BBa,°oo
34.5% of proposed 10 -year CIP
is funded with debt
$Fi0000.BB0
sw om,°ao
So
FV 1026
fY2°9 FY 2026 F1'2°9 erz°a] FY 20.11 F1'2°31 fY2°S1 FY 2036 F1'2°3i
■Cess Farded ■SWFundetl ■Band Funded
V. Cost of Service and Proposed Rate Structure
Danea Gemmell,
Planning & Development Services Division Manager
Thomas Brightbill,
Senior Engineer - Financial Planning
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 24 of 34
37
Proposed 2 -Year Rate Schedule
Customer Class
Residential
Units CU111111111111!IIIIIIII1111111
Select Non -Residential Rate Impacts
a
Single Family Dwellings
Dwelling Unit
$725.00
$754.00
4.0%
$784.00
4.0%
Multi Family Dwellings
Dwelling Unit
$647.00
$625.00
-3.49,.
$650.00
4.0%
Accessory Dwelling Units
Dwelling Unit
$353.00
$335.00
-5.1%
$348.00
3.9%
Non-residential
7.6%
$572
Medium -High
358
$5,647
8.1%
Commercial - Low
per HCF
$7.94
$8.12
2.3%
$8.44
3.9%
Commercial - Medium Low
per HCF
$9.69
$10.38
7.1%
$10.80
4.0%
Commercial - Medium
per HCF
$11.43
$12.30
7.6%
$12.79
4.0%
Commercial - Medium High
per HCF
$12.52
$13.54
8.1%
$14.08
4.0%
Commercial - High
per HCF
$15.06
$16.70
10.9•o
$17.37
4.0%
Schools
38
Elementary
per student
$9.30
$9.94
6.9%
$10.34
4.0%
Intermediate
per student
$18.61
$19.63
5.5%
$20.42
4.01/.
High School
per student
$18.61
$19.57
5.2%
$20.35
4.0%
Overall Rate Revenue Adjustment
2.5%
4.0%
FY 2025-26 4.0% rate adjustment for SFR customers; 2.5% overall rate revenue adjustment
FY 2025-26 percentage increases vary due to Cost of Service calculations and rounding
FY 2026-27 percentage increases vary due to rounding
Page 21 of 28
V. COS and Proposed
Select Non -Residential Rate Impacts
NumberCommercial 4P
..ProposedProposed
$ change
Rate Class Water
Low
Meters
691
sewer bill change
$3,343
to median
2.3%
bill
$76
Medium -Low
195
$3,081
7.1%
$219
Medium
147
$7,521
7.6%
$572
Medium -High
358
$5,647
8.1%
$460
High
21
$964
10.9%
$105
Low
Medium
Low
Medium
Medium High
High
i
Meed Use
o% Food*
rDelis
�rt Shops
®
,I
..
Fo-eam SnoPs
�
1"....
JLa.:
38
"
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 25 of 34
VI. Recycled Water
Danea Gemmell,
Planning & Development Services Division Manager
Recycled Water Consumption
Categories
Utility Water -Treatment Plant
Residential Fill Station
Class I Truck Fill
Class I Meters
(Former Treated Customers)
Class II Meters
(Former Untreated Customers)
FY 2023-24 Recycled Water Revenue
is $549,390
Page 22 of 28
565 M Gallons in FY 2023-24
Residential
Class II Fill Station
25.5% 0.5%
tclass `Truck Fill
_911111 0.1%
Utility
61.9%
-Utility - Class I - Class II Residential Fill Station Truck Fill
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 26 of 34
Page 23 of 28
Proposed Recycled Water 3% Rate Increase'
Zone 1 ReW customers are billed based on measured use
$5.00
$4.50
$4.53 $4.67
$4.03 $4.15
$4.00 $4.27 $4.40
$3.50 $3.80 $3.91
$3.00
$2.50$2.16 $2.22
$2.00 i
$1.81 $1.86 $1.92 $1.98 $2.04 $.10 ..-
A—
$1.50
$1.00
4,
$0.50
$0.00
�ryo\gryotio �ryo�0�oti� �-10Y titi 0.ryoti
�ry01`tioti� �ryo��tioyn �ryory5 ��ory1 ry1 Fkryorybtioti�
41 —11 --Class I (Former Treated) —*--Class 11 (Former Untreated)
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 27 of 34
Page 24 of 28
VI. Staff Recommendation: Recommend Adoption
of Sewer Service Charge Rates
Philip Leiber,
Deputy General Manager - Administration
Recommendation
Proceed with 4% single-family* SSC rate increases for
FY 2025-26 and FY 2026-27
Alternatives for FY 2027-28 and beyond include scenarios
for reliance on more debt or relatively higher rate
adjustments; can be revisited after clarity on Nutrients
Management cost
Our rates continue to remain competitive; below or near
median (without and with property tax revenue)
* 2.5% overall increase for FY 2025-26 (due to cost of service changes)
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 28 of 34
45
6
Central San Rates Continue to be Below Average
San Francisco (SFPUC) -
Santa Rosa
Benicia
Petaluma
Rodeo Sanitary District
Richmond
Berkeley (EBMUD fortreatment)
Pleasanton (DSRSD for treatment)
Vallejo Sal and Flood Cont'
Mt View Sanitary District
Crockett Sanitary Depamnent
Average Average of Agencies Surveyed
Livermore
Oakland(EBMUD for tmatrnent)
Stege SD (EBMUD for treatment)
Sunnyvale
Concord (CCCSD fortreatneIt)
Median Median of Agencies Surveyed
west county waatawater District
Brentwood_
Central San PROPOSED FY 25-28 Central San FY 2025-26(Proposed)
Napa Sanitation Dishict
central San Central San FY 2024-25
Nouato Sanitary District -
Antioch (Delta Diablo fortreatment)'
Pittsburg (Delta Diablo fortmatment)
Bay Point(Celta Diablo fortreatment)
San Leandro
Union Sanitary District
Fairfield -Suisun Sewer Distdct
San Jose
Castor Valley Sanitary District
Hayward Rates in effect as of January 1, 2025
Dublin San Ramon Services District
Orn Loma Sanitary Distdct
$0 $200 $400 $600 511 $9,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000
FY 2024-25 Annual Sewer Service Charge per Single -Family Home
Central San Rates are Below Average Even When
Property Tax is Included
San Francisco(SFPUC) r
Sanla Rosa
L
Ben a
trrrr�t�
Petaluma
Rodeo Sanitary Diatrkt
i
o
Richmond
Berkeley (EBMUDf ,treatrnenll
Crockett Sanitary Depamment
Ple.—ik,n (DSRSD Aorheatrnent)
�1
Vallejo 5anitation and Flood Contml
MI View Sanitary Diatmct
Average
Average ofA,gencies Surveyed
L
Stege 59 (EBMUD fir 12atrnenQ
Oakland (EBMUD for TLty-- ntj
Livermore
Oential San PROPOSED FY 25-26
Central San FY 2025.26 (proposed)
Median
Median of Agencies Surveyed
Central son
west County wastewater Demes
Central San FY 2024-25
sennyvale
Concord (CCCSD for Treatment(
Brentwood
Novato Sanilary District
Napa Sanitation "I" let
Antioch (Delta Diabbforlreatmen0
PitSbuy (Dein Diablo for t2aMen1)
Bay Point (Delb Dia Wo for treatment)
rr FY 24-25 Sewer Service Charge
San Leandro
OF�g°Yn°�PfO1�
Union Sanitery Oietic0
Falrfiel Suisun Sewerl) under
San Jos
Castor Valley Sanitary District
Ray-
Dublin San Ramon Services Distdct
t ff
Rates in effect as of 1, 2025
f J
January
Ore roma Sanita,y Ill
$0 $200 $400 $600
0 $1,200 $1,0 $1,600 $1,500 $2,000
$600 $7,00 40
FY 2024-25 Annual
Sewer Service Charge per Single -Family Home
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 29 of 34
Page 25 of 28
Page 26 of 28
VIII. Summary of Recommendations and Closing
Roger S. Bailey,
General Manager
���_.
_
X� _
P,
Summary of Key Points
Central San's financial position is favorable, reflecting
strong financial policies and discipline to date
Cost of Service study updates allocation between
residential and non-residential classes
3. A moderate rate adjustment is needed
4. Established framework of multi-year rate proposal with
annual check -ins has worked well in the past and is
proposed for this two-year adjustment period
Two-year rate proposal balances several factors including
project outlook, overall spending trajectory, and cost
mitigation of Prop 218 requirement (mailing, etc.)
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 30 of 34
Rate Setting Schedule
Financial Workshop #1 December 18, 2024
Financial Workshop #2
Receive draft Prop 218 Notice language January 16, 2025
DEADLINE to send Final Prop 218 Notice to printer February 7, 2025
DEADLINE to mail Final Prop 218 Notice
(minimum 45 days before public hearing); February 28, 2025
Cost of Service study posted on CentralSan.org
PUBLIC HEARING to review SSC rates for
FY 2025-26 through 2026-27 or 2026-29 April 17, 2025
Draft Budget Book distributed May 16, 2025
O&M and Capital Budget hearings and adoption June 5, 2025
New SSC rates effective July 1, 2025
Page 27 of 28
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 31 of 34
a - -
Additional Key Activities Affecting Rates
for Years 3-10
Retain consultant for Nutrients Management
February 2025.e
New SSC rates effective
July 1, 2025
Nutrients Management alternatives and cost estimate
a
Early Calendar Yr 2026
(10% design) available
Rate check-in for Year 2
March 2026
—--
Year 2 rates become effective
July 1, 2026 -.;
Nutrients Management preferred approach refined cost available
Early Calendar Yr 2027
Financial Workshop for FY 2027-28 rate development
Early Calendar Yr 2027
Proposition 218 process
Spring 2027
�0
New rates for FY 2027-28 effective
July 1, 2027
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 31 of 34
Page 28 of 28
January 16, 2025 Regular Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 32 of 34