HomeMy WebLinkAbout01. Conduct the Financial Planning WorkshopPage 1 of 23
Item 1.
LICENTRAL SAN
December 18, 2024
FROM: DANEA GEMMELL, PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT SERVICES DIVISION
MANAGER
REVIEWED BY: GREG NORBY, DEPUTY GM - ENGINEERING & OPERATIONS
PHILIP LEIBER, DEPUTYGM -ADMINISTRATION
ROGER S. BAILEY, GENERAL MANAGER
SUBJECT: CONDUCT THE FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHOP IN WHICH THE
FOLLOWING WILL BE PRESENTED AND DISCUSSED:
• INTRODUCTION TO PROPOSITION 218 RATE SETTING;
• OVERVIEW OF INFLUENCES THAT WILL IMPACT RATES,
INCLUDING NUTRIENTS;
• DISCUSSION OF RATE SCHEDULE TIME HORIZON;
• UPDATED FINANCIAL PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS; AND
• OVERVIEW OF SEWER SERVICE CHARGE RATE AND
COMPETITIVE COMPARISON TO PEERS.
Central San's sewer service rates were approved through Fiscal Year (FY) 2024-25 and new proposed
rates for FY 2025-26 and beyond require completion of a Cost of Service Study and initiation of a
Proposition 218 rate setting process. The December 18, 2024 Board of Directors (Board) meeting is the
first of two Financial Workshops to kick off that process. Staff will review the attached presentation, which
provides a high-level overview and preliminary results of the 2024 Cost of Service study and a
proposed long-term financial plan.
Financial Workshop #1 seeks direction from the Board on the rate setting assumptions including debt
issuances and rate increases. Financial Workshop #2 will provide more detailed financial assumptions for
the proposed FY 2025-26 budget, based on Board direction and guidance.
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 3 of 25
Page 2 of 23
Strategic Plan Tie -In
GOAL ONE: Customer and Community
Strategy 1— Deliver high-quality customer service, Strategy 2 - Promote initiatives to advance affordable and equitable
access to services
GOAL FOUR: Governance and Fiscal Responsibility
Strategy 1 - Promote and uphold ethical behavior, openness, and accessibility, Strategy 2 - Encourage and facilitate
public participation, Strategy 3 - Maintain financial stability and sustainability
GOAL SIX: Infrastructure Reliability
Strategy 1 - Manage assets optimally, Strategy 2 - Execute long-term capital renewal and replacement program
ATTACHMENTS:
1. Presentation
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 4 of 25
Page 3 of 23
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 5 of 25
F,
Today's Objectives for Board Discussion
Introduction to Proposition 218 rate setting
Understand influences affecting rates for the next 2
years and beyond
3. Confirm rate schedule time horizon (1, 2, or 4 years)
4. Receive direction on rates for Financial Workshop #2
to finalize rate setting assumptions
Page 4 of 23
Overview of Today's Presentation ti
i. Proposition 218 Rate Setting Introduction
II. Nutrient Impacts on Rates
III. Rate Schedule Term
IV. Rate Model Assumptions
V. Rate Scenarios
VI. Cost of Service and Rate Structure Changes r
VII General Manager Summary and Closing
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 6 of 25
Page 5 of 23
I. Proposition 218 Rate Setting Introduction
Danea Gemmell,
Planning and Development Services Division Manager
Introduction
The annual Sewer Service Charge (SSC) is Central
San's largest single revenue source
SSC generally funds Operations & Maintenance (O&M)
and a portion of the Capital Improvement Plan (CIP)
Increases and adjustments to the SSC are governed by
Proposition 218, which was passed by voters in 1996
and amended the California Constitution
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 7 of 25
Proposition 218 Rate Setting Process
Conduct Rate Study: Analyze revenue requirements
and the cost to provide service. Allocate costs to each
rate class.
Public Notification: Notify property owners at least 45
days before a public hearing.
Public Hearing: Receive input and tally written
protests; a majority protest stops the rate change.
Adopt Rates: If no majority protest, governing body
may approve new rates.
Rate Setting Schedule
Financial Workshop #1
Financial Workshop #2
Receive draft Prop 218 Notice language
DEADLINE to send Final Prop 218 Notice to printer
DEADLINE to mail Final Prop 218 Notice
(minimum 45 days before public hearing);
Cost of Service study posted on CentralSan.org
PUBLIC HEARING to review SSC rates for
Fiscal Year (FY) 2025-26 through 2026-27 or 2026-29
Draft Budget Book distributed
O&M and Capital Budget hearings and adoption
New SSC rates effective
December 18, 2024
January 16, 2025
February 7, 2025
February 28, 2025
April 17, 2025
May 16, 2025
June 5, 2025
July 1, 2025
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 8 of 25
Page 6 of 23
Page 7 of 23
9
Applicable Proposition 218 Requirements
Cost of Service: Rates may not exceed the cost of
the specific service provided.
Revenue Use: Revenues shall not be for any
purpose other than that for which the fee was
imposed.
Proportionality: Rates must be proportional to the -_
service provided.
Number BP 030
BP 030 Requires Regulars°r°�°�
�Mh
A'AIpaY Boats of Mra[mra
Effi ry 7 N 6. 2017
R—d. Atgoa11. 2027
Cost of Service Review R�p,��" p'7
VOWNDeptIDN M M n1apIXVFvn e
BOARD POLICY
COST OF SERVICE STUDIES
A new or updated cost of service study shall be prepared not less frequently��amB��,
than required by California law and may be appropriate more frequently in
app
Gavenvnap tle•ln luEla95°[oona
.,, pnppC apen[les yenmlr.,ay aMrp a
certain circumstances, to be assessed by staff each time rate changes are
—Ms M --Wim
proposed. Staff shall report to the Board at the time of the proposed rate change
,Ie relaal� l0 �e peep la epwre
on whether the most recent Cost of Service study and applicable updates remain
a valid basis for the proposed rates. An administrative procedure addressing this
reU Ilol Ie55 peOuenlry Ivan
Yell IlepeW �a°red^a,pa
assessment is maintained b the General Manager.
epq epppoyea rale °nanyea wneaK
Y g
appcable upaal°, mma n a esus
plOCWxe aadwFDp Inn
a!5°sSrM^I le manlaMlea by the GBrwal iAiltapel
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aW Cm 5"j M9n Aale LM V, *9Vq OW a NWI<a Cy pro*M UDKV
ra b a Wm., ecMdpOmer prbcaQe —1 pen -
3.y r"IDBS 11a sore every len yearn
love+gr��br an $P.IwdM oa.e
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 9 of 25
Page 8 of 23
Proposition 218 Requires Cost of Service Analysis
to Ensure Cost Proportionality
Determine revenue
needed to meet utility
costs.
Project O&M, Capital,
and debt expenses.
Review reserve
requirements.
Allocate utility costs
by function.
Allocate revenue
required to each
customer class in a
proportionate
methodology.
Design rate structure
for each customer
class to collect
appropriate level of
revenues.
Each User Group is Allocated Costs Proportional to
Wastewater Flow and Strength
F, 7, -_- 111 � •
Tota
Cost
BOD: Biochemical oxygen demand
TSS: Total suspended solids
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 10 of 25
13
Page 9 of 23
Overall Central San Customer Profile*
* Does not include Concord/Clayton
** includes Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs)
Non -Residential Customers
Most non-residential
customers billed based Low Medium Medium Medium High
on water consumption LOW High
and a standard billing Up to 350 mg/L 351 to 700 mg/L 701-1000 mg/L 100 1- 1300 mg/L Over 1300 mg/L
category based on their
I.tde.Commrcial
business type (No Food
Service)
Most K-12den schools billed
on student count Mixed Use
Approximately 24
customers billed on
actual flow, BOD, and _
TSS
*50% by flow
Milligrams per liter (mg/L)
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 11 of 25
W
approx. 102,000
Single Family Residential
98,678
residential
60%
units"
Multi -family and Condos
17,542
approx. 44,780
24%
residential units
generally billed
Non -Residential
2,822
based on water
16%
consumption
Total
119.042
100%
* Does not include Concord/Clayton
** includes Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs)
Non -Residential Customers
Most non-residential
customers billed based Low Medium Medium Medium High
on water consumption LOW High
and a standard billing Up to 350 mg/L 351 to 700 mg/L 701-1000 mg/L 100 1- 1300 mg/L Over 1300 mg/L
category based on their
I.tde.Commrcial
business type (No Food
Service)
Most K-12den schools billed
on student count Mixed Use
Approximately 24
customers billed on
actual flow, BOD, and _
TSS
*50% by flow
Milligrams per liter (mg/L)
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 11 of 25
W
Page 10 of 23
II. Nutrient Impacts on Rates
Greg Norby,
Deputy General Manager - Engineering and Operations
What are Nutrients?
i,
Wastewater contains nutrients
(nitrogen and phosphorus
compounds) from human waste, ,
food waste, and various°p
soaps/detergents
While nutrients are essential to
sustain life, there is a balance
Too many can be too much of a
good thing
�J.
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 12 of 25
Page 11 of 23
Bay Area Nutrient
Watershed Permit
On July 10, 2024, the San
Francisco Bay Regional Water
Regional Water Board adopts permit requiring critical
investments to protect San Francisco Bay
Quality Control Board
Necessary sewage treatment upgrades over next decade will limit
Y
threat of `red tides' that endanger water quality, aquatic species
(Regional Board) adopted an
July 10, 2024 Contact: Blair Robertson—Information Officer
Order requiring a I I Bay Area
OAKLAND — To help protect water quality and aquatic life in San Francisco Bay for
wastewater agencies to reduce
y
generations to come, the San Francisco Bay Regional Water Quality Control Board
adopted a permit today that will for the first time require nutrient reductions for all
their discharge of nitrogen
wastewater treatment plants discharging into the bay.
by 40 percent relative to 2022
The new permit, adopted under the Clean Water Act after years of monitoring and
research, will go into effect Oct. 1. It requires that 40 sewage treatment plants must
by October 2034"
collectively reduce nitrogen discharges by 40% compared to 2022, when a "red
tide" harmful algal bloom HAB triggered a massive fish kill in the San Francisco
Bay. Nutrients are discharged into the bay from sewage treatment plants'
wastewater. Excessive nutrients are a major contributor to HABs, which cause a
dramatic depletion in dissolved oxygen levels, killing aquatic species.
Toxins from HABs can cause illnesses through direct contact, inhalation, and fish
and shellfish poisoning. HABs can be particularly devastating to indigenous
communities and subsistence fishers.
Concerns about Nutrient Watershed Permit
Concerns
Proactive Mitigations
10 -year timeframe is too short for a Regional Board committed to evaluating
capital project of this size State Policy on nutrient compliance timeline
Science is not fully developed on Permit requires funding to further develop the
nutrient impacts science
Compliance costs are very high ➢ Exploring alternatives to reduce capital costs
Recycled Water should be included in ➢ Recycled Water projects will be evaluated as
nutrient solution, which takes time part of the nutrient reduction solution
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 13 of 25
Page 12 of 23
Conventional Nutrient Removal Project
Benefits
• Established and proven treatment ;
s6✓iM LuurSwYvw
process*
Can be scaled up to address increased
requirements
Challenges
Significant construction effort for new Al
secondary clarifiers and aeration tanks
$6 Million (M) - $10 M additional O&M ,
costs including new staff'
How do we pay for it all?
Conceptual estimate is $665 M
'Modified Ludzack Ettinger (MLE) process increases the solids retention time to allow
bacteria who use nitrogen as a food source to grow. This requires more aeration tank volume
and clarifiers to treat the same capacity.
Exploring Process Technologies to
Reduce Nutrient Capital Costs
Conventional
(i.e., MLE)
Intensification
Conventional +
Intensification
Intensification of existing infrastructure is preferred. Treatment objectives will depend on
regulatory limits and technology performance.
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 14 of 25
Preliminary MABR Pilot Results are Promising
Central San is piloting Membrane
Aerated Biofilm Reactor (MABR)
technology
Highly efficient biological treatment
Utilizes existing tankage for lower
costs
Cost effective
Oxygen delivery
A hollow -fiber, spaghetti -like
membrane delivers oxygen directly to
nitrifying bacteria growing on the
membrane's surface
Biofilm growth
Microorganisms concentrate on the
oxygen -rich membrane surface,
forming a biofilm that acts as a
workhorse to reduce nutrients
Page 13 of 23
MABR allows nitrification and denitrification to reduce nutrients
simultaneously in a single reactor
'
Draft Schedule for Nutrient Reduction Compliance
2028> 2029> 2030> 2031 > 2032> 2033
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 15 of 25
Regional Board Resolution: Extend Compliance
Schedules for Nutrient Effluent Limitations
The Regional Board
directs staff to:
(a) evaluate the feasibility of
amending the Compliance
Schedule Policy to provide more
time for multi -benefit projects
or innovative technologies;
(b) compare the pros, cons, and
timelines needed to pursue other
available regulatory mechanisms
to provide more time, as
warranted, particularly for multi -
benefit projects; and
(c) report to the Regional Board
on its findings.
Adopted July 10, 2024
Page 14 of 23
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 16 of 25
25
Central San Previously Adopted
2 -Year Rate Schedule
Rate Schedule taken from FY 2024-25 Financial Workshop (April 2024)
DEBTASSUMPTIONS
Secured $173.1 M
SRF* Loan
Planned
Future $170.0 M
Loans
'State Revolving Fund
te Schedule Term
Comparison of 1-, 2-, and 4 -Year
Rate Setting Schedule
Page 15 of 23
Sewer Service Charge Rates
1200
2 -Year Rate
0
149
$995 5.4%
1000
$725
$944 5.4%
$895 5.5% _ _
$849 5.4% _
$815 ___ f--1 $982
$754 $4%4 4% 4.2% --1 $908 I $940 I 4.5%
800
4%
$6974%
85 % 1 3.5% 1
4% �— $856 $882 I 3%$718
projections
$690 1_%_ �—
I $746
$807 I $831 I I 3% I I I
1 $776 1 1 4% ' I 3% ' I I I I I 1
600
' $' 4%
�
' I 4%
Greater cost for Prop 218
Some cost savings
Reduced administrativeburden
400
II II
7
II II II II ��
I I
200
0
aII--I
I 1 1
11--I 'I --I I--1 I I I F I 1
1 1
rapidly changing costs and
2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 25-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 2031-32 2032-33
iiiiiiiiiiAppmved Single -Family Rate C=1Previous Plan Proposed Plan
Rate Schedule taken from FY 2024-25 Financial Workshop (April 2024)
DEBTASSUMPTIONS
Secured $173.1 M
SRF* Loan
Planned
Future $170.0 M
Loans
'State Revolving Fund
te Schedule Term
Comparison of 1-, 2-, and 4 -Year
Rate Setting Schedule
Page 15 of 23
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 17 of 25
a
Adaptability to changing
Balances stability and
Rate stability for customers
conditions
flexibility
Enhanced accuracy for
Greater accuracy for
Some accuracy for
projections
projections
projections
Stakeholder transparency
Predictability for customers
4:
Predictability for customers a
Greater cost for Prop 218
Some cost savings
Reduced administrativeburden
Best for volatile markets or
Best for moderately stable
Best for stable markets with
rapidly changing costs and
markets with some variability
predictable costs;
emphasizes long-term
regulations
in costs and regulations
planning
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 17 of 25
Staff Recommends a 2 -Year Rate
Time to complete Nutrient Road Map with more developed &71_..�
cost estimate for Nutrient Management Project
Flexibility after two years to adjust debt or rate -based revenue
assumptions on updated Nutrient Project assumptions
�.
o
Demonstrate repeated ability to deliver increased capital -�
L budget program r
O Additional time for Regional Board to revise policy on
1
compliance schedules for nutrient effluent limitations
FY 2024-25 Central San Funding Sources
$231.1 M Total
SSC is the main "controllable"
(through setting rates)
revenue source, used to cover
projected expenses not funded
from other revenue sources
Borrowing can also be used to City of
cover capital funding needs Concord,
$29,560,000
Capacity Fees,
$S,000,C
Tax Revenw
$24,711,87
Debt Procu
$39,000,
All Other Revenue
Sources, $11,532,123
Revenue provides $192.1 M of the revenue requirement; balance from SRF Loan
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 18 of 25
Page 16 of 23
Sewer Service
Charges,
$121,310,000
29
Page 17 of 23
Current 10 -Year CIP FY 2024-25: $1.003 Billion (B)
$46,600,000 $65,250,000 $66,399,000 $66,750,000 $63,495,000 $58,400,000 $51,900,000 $46,950,000 $43,750,000 $45,250,000 $554,744,000
$300,000 $500,000 $112001000 $4,000,000 $4,000,000 $7,500,000 $9,5()0,000 $18,000,000 $19,000,000 $15,000,000 $79,000,000
$23,327,000 $34,002,000 $31,333,000 $31,625,000 $32,675,000 $29,875,000 $29,875,000 $30,030,000 $30,530,000 $30,530,000 $303,802,000
$5,235,000 $5,075,000 $4,525,000 $2,725,000 $2,725,000 $2,475,000 $2,475,000 $2,475,000 $2,475,000 $2,475,000 $32,660,()00
srm—
SIOOAW,000
seoao�,oaa
ScaAoo,000
Smum,om �
sx0000,00a
w
fY mA n'm7b fY m2� nm2B nm:9 FY m90 fY to31 fY x037 r1 x033 fY m30
■ Treatment Plant ■Nutrients ■ Collection System ■ General Improvements ■Recycled Water
CIP 10 -Year Updates
Operations and Engineering staff participated in 5 workshops on capital delivery to address
Nutrient Management Project deadlines and ability to deliver capital infrastructure. Projects were
rescheduled to achieve success, avoid construction conflicts, and address resource impacts.
Total of $168 M reprogrammed in the 10 -Year Plan to address nutrient increases;
Nutrient Management Project funding increased from $79 M to $499 M.
Reduced Projects:
Collection System Renovation Program
Solids Handling Facility Improvements - Phase 1C
Steam Renovations - Phase 2
Wet Weather Flow Management
Standby Generator Expansion
Primary Expansion (Tank 5)
Cogen Replacement
Filter Plant & Clearwell Improvements - Phase 1 C
Reduced Budget
Reduced Budget; condition assess accelerated
Deferred
Deferred
Deferred
Deferred
Deferred
Deferred
These and previously known factors have been incorporated in ALL new financial model scenarios
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 19 of 25
e
Proposed 10 -Year CIP FY 2025-26: $1.265 B
Total
Page 18 of 23
$71,250,000 $81,849,000 $66,150,000 $58,995,000 $57,050,000 $42,250,000 $16,750,000 $8,250,000 $8,750,000 $22,350,000 5433,644,000
$4,000,000 $5,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $55,000,000 $100,000,000 $100,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 $499,000,000
$35,502,000 $32,233,000 $27,275,000 $28,525,000 $24,375,000 $24,375,000 $24,530,000 $24,530,000 $25,030,000 $30,650,000 $277,025,000
$6,325,000 $5,975,000 $3,575,000 $3,575,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $3,325,000 $39,400,000
52za,000 mo
5140.000.000
5120,000,000
5100,000,WO
$80.000.000
$fi0,000,000
590.000 m0
520,=, 0
w
fY 202fi fV 202] fY 2028 FY 2029 fY 2030 FY 203] FY 2032 FY 2033 FY 2034 fY 2035
■Treatment Plant ■ Nutrients ■Collecrion System ■General Improvements ■ Recycled water
Rate Model Assumptions
O&M Budget:
Utilize FY 2024-25 budget as Base Year
Salary: 2025-26 — 3.75% Consumer Price
Index (CPI) in Memorandums of
Understanding; 3.75% for the following 4
years
Number of employees: 302
Retirement (CCCERA data)
CalPERS Medical per current employee
contract
Includes UAAL (unfunded accrued actuarial
liability) Certificates of Participation debt
service for 5 years (0.38% overall interest)
Capital Budget:
4% escalation in 2026; 3.5% escalation in
2027; 3.5% escalation in 2028; and 3%
thereafter
Updated 10 -Year CIP: $1.265 B with $499 M
Nutrient Management
Existing SRF loan at 0.9% interest
Bond Interest at 4.5% over next 10 years
Contingency: $5 M for first year only
Reserves:
Targets per Board Policy Debt Service
Coverage
Basis of Model: December 2024 Cost of Service Study by Raftelis
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 20 of 25
Capital Debt Assumptions
Secured SRF Loan on Solids Project 1A ($173.1 M)
0.90% interest rate
L 30-yearterm
L Debt payments start 1 year after construction complete
L Received reimbursement of $16.5 M for planning/design
expenditures
Construction reimbursement in progress for approximately $32 M
Proposed Revenue Bond Scenarios
$370 M: $215 M in FY 2030-31 (Year 6) and $155 M in
FY 2033-34 (Year 9)
$225 M: $150 M in FY 2030-31 (Year 6) and $75 M in
FY 2033-34 (Year 9)
Page 19 of 23
Rate Scenarios
Rate Adjustment Scenario
Overall
Totalr
New ..
Revenue Adjustment
Single Family Adjustment
2
,
Baseline Scenario (FY 2023-24 Plan)
$170,000,000
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
$754
$784
Scenario A: Debt Reliance
$370,000,000
3.00%
4.50%
4.50%
4.50%
$758
$792
Scenario B: Balanced Approach
$225,000,000
3.75%
5.25%
5.25%
5.25%
$763
$803
Scenario C: Pay -As -You -Go
$0
5.00%
6.50%
6.50%
6.50%
$772
$822
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 21 of 25
Page 20 of 23
Nutrient Project Timeframe Planning Design Construction
1. Annual Sewer Service Charge for Single Family customer
Projected Single Family Residential.Annual Sewer Service Charge
Debt Issuance Year $19011
shoo
$1 WD
31100
steno
3000
SBoo --
s7oo
N2025 FY 2026 FY 2021 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030 rY 2031 rY 2032 FY 2033 FY 2036 FY 2035
C— Y—I Y-,2 Y-3 Y-, Y -r5 Y-,6 Y-7 Y—,6 Y—O Yea. 10
—B'—, k o," Bnlla Scere0e B: Balance-Pppeac)t
35 -- s—xa,lo c: P, -Y.co---Basauxe S--, lry XO 24 F1ax1
Rate Scenarios are Comparable to
Actual Increases of Nearby Agencies
16 005.
120066 Water Agencies XL Wastewater Agencies
culm.F mxFa. msT.
L.xlTglY pfiRKT
10.0096
B00%
60o%
40M
200%
000%
b x 6
,lo, ° 8
1 aha
° e
`��a
f Q �ycm`
FY 2025-26
�
oya`f' �,aa 'Ile 4,c40,
0 °,a`z� yPo
baa` ea�"� '0oC `e 110, 1
1:
F
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 22 of 25
37
Guidance on Proposed Rate Discussion
$1.400
$1.300
$1.200
$1.100
$1.000
$900
$800
$700
Projected Single Family ResidentialAnnual Sewer Service Charge
FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030 FY 2031 FY 2032 FY 2033 FY 2034 FY 2035
Current Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Scenario A: Debt Reliance -Scenario B: Balanced Approach
Scenario C: Pay -As -You -Go --- Baseline Scenario(FY 2023-2d Plan)
Via Cost of Service and Rate Structure Changes
Thomas Brightbill,
Senior Engineer - Financial Planning
Geoff Michalczyk,
Management Analyst
Page 21 of 23
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 23 of 25
Page 22 of 23
39
Cost of Service Analysis Findings
No changes to existing rate classes are recommended
Preliminary Cost of Service calculations show a slight
shift in rates
New budget means new costs to allocate
New wastewater flow data means new allocation of
budgeted costs
Rate consultant still finalizing analysis
How Cost of Service Results Affect Rates*
Residential — First Year
Single family adjusted 5.25%
3.75% for increased revenue requirements and 1.5% to
match with updated cost of providing service
Multi -family and ADU rates reduced 2.3% and 3.7%
respectively �!
Non-residential — First Year
"Low" rate class (most users) 3.7% adjustment
Remaining rate classes adjusted 8.5% to 12.0% in the first
year - F
All rate classes — Second Year��,
I =
x u ,
Adjusted 5.25% for all�a::y,:_,
*Based on Scenario B (Balanced Approach) '
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 24 of 25
Summary of Recommendations and Closing
Roger S. Bailey,
General Manager
M_
Summary of Key Points
Central San's financial position is favorable, reflecting
strong financial policies and discipline to date
Cost of Service study updates allocation between
residential and non-residential classes
2 -year rate allows time to monitor status of nutrients
project and drivers
A modest rate adjustment is needed
Established framework of multi-year rate proposal with
annual check -ins has worked well in the past
December 18, 2024 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet - Page 25 of 25
Page 23 of 23
k