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HomeMy WebLinkAbout03.a. Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) (Handout)Attachment 2 Item 3.a. Handout November 15, 2023 RHNA Housing Element Update and Staffing Needs Real Estate, Environmental, & Planning Committee Geoff Michalczyk Management Analyst, Financial Planning Group 1 Overview ABAG updated its 8 year Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) in November 2022 for housing needs through FY 2030-31 Each community produced Housing Elements document in 2023 to address housing needs Housing Elements contain an inventory of sites by housing type, density, and total unit capacity to be developed by FY 2030-31 z Attachment 2 Central San Considerations Assess staffing needs to accommodate increased RHNA housing applications. Assess hydraulic model capacity in localized pipe system with respect to growth trends Adjust/increase revenue assumptions in 10-year rate plan 3 Consequences of Non -Compliance with Housing Laws Applies only to cities and counties Loss of Permitting Authority Financial Penalties Court Receivership Streamlined Ministerial Approval Process Legal Suits and Attorney Fees 4 Attachment 2 Housing Through Element Data by Housing Type FY 2031 Danville 236 1,806 199 2,241 7.85/ Lafayette 305 1,618 192 2,114 7.3% Martinez 163 1,145 37 1,345 4.791 Moraga 395 684 38 1,118 3.95/ Orinda 0 1,315 44 1,359 4.7% PIeasantHill 223 1,450 129 1,803 6.3% San Ramon 94 4,957 60 5,111 17.75/ Walnut Creek 119 5,528 158 5,805 20.1% Contra Costa 122 2,035 127 2,283 7.9% 1,656 20,538 984 23,179 80.451 Subtotal Clayton 128 425 17 570 2.01/. Concord 370 4,441 262 5,073 17.65/ 498 4,866 279 5,643 19.65/ Subtotal Total 2,155 25,404 1,263 28,822 100.01% 7.5% 88.1% 4.451 100.0% 88% of Housing Units will be Multi Family ■ Single Family ■ Multi Family ■ ADUs fi- 3 Attachment 2 Applications to Total 4,000-5,000 over 7.5 years Danville 285 88 240 613 Lafayette 381 114 240 735 Martinez 211 56 48 315 Moraga 637 17 62 716 0 Orinda 0 81 80 161 Pleasant Hill 345 74 200 619 San Ramon 110 66 70 246 Walnut Creek 132 92 176 400 Contra Costa 131 53 137 321 2,232 641 1,253 4,125 Subtotal Clayton 179 15 17 211 Concord 328 161 262 751 507 176 279 962 Subtotal Total 2,739 817 1,531 5,087 53.8% 16.1% 30.1% 100.0% 7 Each Single Family unit = 1 application Each Multi Family location = 1 application Each ADU = 1 application 54% of Applications will be Single Family ■ Single Family ■ Multi Family ■ ADUs E? M Attachment 2 Staffing adequate for RHNA Projections within Central San Service Area Concord Community Reuse could affect additional needs .1 ry~ titi 'v~ titi titi , ry' ryry ti, tiry titi h~ 'ti titi _ti titi titi ; ti� ti� .'1"> �^ 'V 01-P oI- Z?4 cl� 1 4¢ 4a 0 ;� 41 c 4 1 y? CP Z?l �� ',fo le .4. k g�J ,mac —Actual Permit Applications ---Historic Average W —Projected Applications with Concord —Projected Applications E RHNA Web App Staff will review housing element dashboard • LINK 10 10 Central San averaged 45 applications per month for last two fiscal years RHNA projections forecast 46 applications average per month 57 projected applications per month with Concord development from Community Reuse Project is up to a 26% increase 679 Attachment 2 RH NA Web App �°=b1 a.mmo.,e a J c rrc �1 -.. _�i• tea.