HomeMy WebLinkAbout03. CVRA Public Hearing #1 re boundaries and composition of divisions for division-based elections Page 1 of 17
Item 3.
CENTRALSAN
SANITARYjdf A- hom
CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA , .
September 3, 2020
TO: HONORABLE BOARD OF DIRECTORS
FROM: DOUGLAS JOHNSON, NATIONAL DEMOGRAPHICS CORPORATION
REVIEWED BY: KENTON L. ALM, ESQ., DISTRICT COUNSEL
ROGER S. BAILEY GENERAL MANAGER
SUBJECT: RECEIVE PRESENTATION BY DEMOGRAPHER ON THE TRANSITION
PROCESS FROM AN AT-LARGE TOA DIVISION-BASED ELECTION
SYSTEMAND RECEIVE INPUT FROM THE COMMUNITY REGARDING
BOUNDARIES AND COMPOSITION OF DIVISIONS TO BE ESTABLISHED
FOR DIVISION-BASED ELECTIONS PURSUANT TO ELECTIONS CODE
SECTION 10010
Attached is the presentation to be given at the meeting.
ATTACHMENTS:
1. Presentation
September 3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 4 of 20
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NDC 1 -- 7:
National Demographics Corporation ,
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Central Contra Costa Sanitary District
Introduction to Creation of Electoral Divisions
September .2 20 .
2020 Sp4al Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 5 of 20
NDCElection Systems
National Demographics Corporation
1. "At Large"
2. "From Division" or "Residence" Divisions
3. "By Division"
The California Voting Rights Act
was written to specifically
encourage
by-division elections.
September 3 a§gRtIpTPST3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 6 of 20
NDC California Voting Rights Act CVRA
National Demographics Corporation
❑ Under the Federal Voting Rights Act (passed in 1965), a jurisdiction must fail four
factual tests before it is in violation of the law.
❑ The California VRA makes it significantly easier for plaintiffs whose ability to elect has
been impaired to force jurisdictions into "by-district" election systems by downplaying
two of the US Supreme Court Gin
gles tests:
Does the protected class vote as a bloc?
Do the voters who are not in the protected class vote in a bloc to defeat the preferred
candidates of the protected class?
❑ When a plaintiff's ability to elect has been impaired, liability is heavily dependent on
racially polarized voting
September 3 ati(y Rf 3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 7 of 20
NDC CVRA Impact
National Demographics Corporation
R" =
❑ Switched (or in the process of switching) ❑ Key settlements:
as a result of CVRA: o Palmdale: $4.7 million
At least 215 school districts L- Modesto: $3 million
34 Community College Districts o Highland: $1.3 million
126 cities o Anaheim: $1.1 million
1 County Board of Supervisors o Whittier: $1 million
35 water and other special districts. o Santa Barbara: $600,000
❑ Cases So Far: o Tulare Hospital: $500,000
o Palmdale, Santa Clara and Santa Monica went to 0 Camarillo: $233,000
trial on the merits. Palmdale and Santa Clara lost. o Compton Unified: $200,000
Santa Monica lost at trial, won on appeal, and is p Madera Unified: about $170,000
awaiting State Supreme Court action. 13
o Modesto and Palmdale each spent about $1.8 Hanford Joint Union Schools: $118,000
million on their defense (in addition to the o Merced City: $42,000
attorney fee awards in those cases). Santa Monica An estimated $16 million in total
has spent an estimated $8 to $10 million so far. settlements and court awards so far.
Septembers-fRWR1C,326M Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 8 of 20
NDCDistricting Process
National Demographics Corporation
Description
RoI— Au20 Board adopted "Resolution of Intent" to move to by-area maps
Two Initial Hearings Held prior to release of draft maps. Education and to solicit input on
September 3 and 21 the communities in the District.
Deadline for public draft Public can submit draft maps for NDC processing and posting
map submissions
Oct. 1
Post draft maps on website Maps and the potential sequence of elections must be posted at least
Oct. 8 7 days prior to 3rd hearing.
Two hearings on draft maps Two meetings to discuss and revise the draft maps and to discuss the
Oct. 15 and Nov. 5 election sequence.
Map adoption Map adopted via resolution.
Tentatively Nov. 9 or 10 Final map must be posted at least 7 days prior to adoption.
Final Deadline 90-day deadline to adopt a leap
Nov. 18
September 3 a§gRtp 3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 9 of 20
NDC Districting Rules
National Demographics Corporation
Federal
❑ Equal Population ❑ Communities of interest
❑ Federal Voting Rights Act ❑ Compact
❑ No Racial Gerrymandering ❑ Contiguous
❑ Visible (Natural & man-made)
boundaries
❑ Respect voters' choices /
avoid head to head contests
❑ Plann ed fu tune growth
September 3 a§gRt] TTZf-�3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 10 of 20
Category Field Count Pct Category Field Count Pct
Total Pop 330,336 ACS Pop. Est. Total 353,314
Hisp 27,323 8% aZe0-19 87,067 25%
NDC
Total Pop NH White 228,880 69% Age age20-60 177,750 50%
NH Black 6,887 2% a e60 lus 88,497 25%
National Demographies corporation Asian-American 61,792 19% immigrants 76,787 22%
Total 248,840 Immigration naturalized 48,572 63%
Citizen Voting
Hisp 19,758 8% english 251,496 75%
o 0
Age Pop NH White 176,979 71/o Language spoken at spanish 13,894 /o
4
Demographic NH Black 5,143 20/( home asian-lang 37,546 11%
Summar Asian/PacIsl. 44,281 18% other lang 32,538 10%
Total 223,649 Language Fluency Speaks Eng. Less 25,421 8%
than Very Well"
Latino est. 15,392 7% hs-grad _ 78'049 31%
Spanish-Surnamed 13,827 6% bachelor 96,968 39%
Each of the five Voter Registration o those age 25+)Education (among o
(Nov 2018) Asian-Surnamed 22,722 10/o raduatede ree 68,127 27/o
election divisions Filipino-Surnamed 2,696 1% Child in Household child-underl8 43,775 32%
must contain about NH White est. 179,448 80% Pct of Pop.Age employed 170,868 60%
66,067 residents.
NH Black 4,448 2% income 0-25k 11,229 8%
Total 1663582 income 25-50k 13,342 10%
Latino est. 10,536 6% Household Income income 50-75k 14,284 11%
Voter Turnout Spanish-Surnamed 9,465 6% income 75-200k 54,807 41%
(Nov 2018) Asian-Surnamed 14,969 9% income 200k-plus 41,383 31%
Fili ino-Surnamed 1,834 1% single family 102,810 73%
NH White est. 136,656 82% multi-family 37,885 27%
NH Black 3,220 2% Housing Stats rented 38,327 28%
Total 181,773 owned 96,718 72%
Latino est. 11,714 6%
- Total population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.Surname-based Voter
Voter Turnout
Spanish-Surnamed 10,523 6% Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.Latino voter
- -
Asian-Surnamed 15,856 9% registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census
(Nov 2016) - Population Department undercount estimates.NH White and NH Black registration
Filipino-Surnamed 2,088 1% and turnout counts estimated by NDC.Citizen Voting Age Population,Age,
��gX��},, 7 �1 ° Immigration,and other demographics from the 2014-2018 American Community
September 3 a§gRT 3, 2020 Special Board Meeti g nfl'a`Ptdec�C fit'- P ge 1130E 2t�2;,"
1/ Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
NH Black est. 3,281
NDC Latino Population
National Demographics Corporation
La tlnos are particularly, T Latino% of CVAP concentrated only In =0%to 25%
the Districtportion of the triangle on the M25%to 35%
p g
35%to 50/0
east side of I-680 between Highways 4 and 50%to 65%
p Concord 65%to 75%
242 75%to 2 DO%
No Population
Plcasa Hill
,7 Note: only 4 people in
LaLvio'Y�of CV®P the red Census Block.
n nzs
50. 65%
" _ Lafa•e a .. -
•�' _ No 1'opnla[on
ell
� L
I }
1�'JfiYl �1
.. •"t . - Sm Bamvn
September 3 a§gRt1pTPffl3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 12 of 20 �
$20 6 CALIPER
NDCAsian-American Population
National Demographics Corporation
Aslan Am erl cans are particularly Asn-Amer. % of CVAP
r 0°/a to 250/6
concentrated In the southern part ' 25%to35%
35%to 50%
of the District, mainly In San , _� 50%to 65%
Concord 65%to 75%
Ram on. 75%to 10011/6
L No Population
r�
I°Ic•�:an[!fill
}LL Walnut(:rrc3:
Lafayette
drinda
M u 1
�1
�� 11:3r.}•illi
_ o
- Sat•,Ran:on
September 3 a§gRtIpTPffl3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 13 of 20 �
Feu t n cnucE R
NDCAfrican-American Population
National Demographics Corporation
A
African Americans are not particularly v Slack°/o of CVAP
- 0%to 25%
con cen tra ted In any one part of the r 25%to 35%
35%to 58°/o
District. 1? 50%to 65%
65°/o to 75°/0
75%to 100%
No Population
`� Plcasant dill '
Li'.1-1 Cr—k
Lafayrur
Orinda
sa
Mn
raa
September 3 a§gRtIpTPffl3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 14 of 20
#2016 CAL IPE R
NDCDefining Communities of Interest
National Demographics Corporation
1St Question: what is your neighborhood or community of interest?
A Community of Interest is generally defined as a neighborhood or
community of shared interests, views, problems, or characteristics.
Possible community feature/boundary definitions include:
❑ Cities, School Districts, or School Attendance Areas
❑ Natural neighborhood dividing lines, such as highway or major roads, rivers, canals,
and/or hills
❑ Areas around parks and other neighborhood landmarks
❑ Common issues, neighborhood activities, or legislative/election concerns
❑ Shared demographic characteristics
Such as similar levels of income, education, or linguistic isolation
2nd Question: Does a Community of Interest want to be united in one
division, or to be divided to have a voice in multiple elections?
September 3 atiyRf 3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 15 of 20
NDC Sam le Com act Mapsp p
National Demographics Corporation
, Glendale
Areas -
Unified � �•
.l
_ r r
_ 2 4 GUSD Facilities
a Coatinuauan 1 lndep.(2)
A
Hih4
- 1 -
r, s
P
011ier 12
IVY f -
-
I_ —
L
�
I
3 = — _ _ -v
_ - _._. .
�_
LI
Glendora Unified !
Y
Examples of highly compact maps, with nooks and jogs
driven only by equal population requirements.
September 3 a§(TRtIeTPffl3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 16 of 20
na,;��,al nrinny�ratl�i�s e�q,�>Ad��,..l,�tr2a.2nln
NDC Sample Multiple-Representative Maps
National Demographics Corporation
r
�f1 g"i YT
Redwood
— �� -,% e
City School `" �I i s ��
0
41
District ;
K
roap 3 a
sR
`�. paka Central Unified
T6
Examples of maps where a desire to ensure the Board members represented multiple
school attendance areas (to avoid Balkanizing the District), led to policy-driven but non-
com �� tn
September 3 a �20 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 17 of 20
NDC Cities and Places in the District
National Demographics Corporation
ai V1.14 Hil''
artinez
r3
cGncord
71�attine7
Pkasan I Hi Conc
Pleasant Hil
Laf2yettc Walnut Cr
Contra Costa
ntre
Orinda .............
Lafaette Walnut Cro,
k
yt
Faranav
DanAi�
Orinda
0
San Rqmon MOra
Diablo
................
Danville
Blackhawk
Cal"MI)
BI*
a
ck
la
wk
San Rai-non
§gRtIpTPy 3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 18 of 20
September 3 a
'i,Yo
02016 CALIPER
Public Hearing
,..,r�.•'M7arrinc.. _
Pacheco.!
'� -. Concnxd
-
NDC
and Discussion
PLeasanc HilF
National Demographics Corporation
C—"Caffa•
i. What is your neighborhood or
V
f)flada
"community of interest"? Moia a
.......... .Ofabla"-.
• _ Danville ��•"' 6lackhawk�
2. Do you prefer your community be kept l
Camine
together in one division or have multiple ' S
representatives?
3. What are other communities of interest
in the District that should be considered
1'Icasanl H i
when drafting maps?
Lnr y�ta�_ WaLnul c
clx�„la
r�nfaga
nanviilr V
)
snv Fcs,,,on
September 3 atf(y R �3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 19 of 20 1
NDC Timeline Review
National Demographics Corporation
Description
KoI— lug. 20 Board adopted "Resolution of Intent" to move to by-area maps
Two Initial Hearings Held prior to release of draft maps. Education and to solicit input on
September 3 and 21 the communities in the District.
Deadline for public draft Public can submit draft maps for NDC processing and posting
map submissions
Oct. 1
Post draft maps on website Maps and the potential sequence of elections must be posted at least
Oct. 7 7 days prior to 3rd hearing.
Two hearings on draft maps Two meetings to discuss and revise the draft maps and to discuss the
Oct. 14 and Nov. 4 election sequence.
Map adoption Map adopted via resolution.
Nov. 9 Final map must be posted at least 7 days prior to adoption.
Final Deadline 90-day deadline to adopt a leap
Nov. 18
September 3 a§gRtp 3, 2020 Special Board Meeting Agenda Packet- Page 20 of 20