HomeMy WebLinkAbout07. (Handout) Upcoming CalPERS Issues by John BartelAgenda
• What has been happening?
- GASB 68
- Annual Valuations
Where are Employer rates heading?
s What is coming up?
- Funding Risk Mitigation Policy
• "On the Horizon"
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First Year GASB 68 Reports
• All June 30, 2014 reports are available
- Approx. 90% of agent plans provided to employers
Approx. 75% of cost - sharing plans provided to employers
• Remaining employers can order reports through
mylCalPERS
- Non - Pooled Plan Report Cost: $2500 per plan
- Pooled Plan Report Cost: $850 per plan
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"Second Year" GASB 68 Reports
• Will be produced December 2015 through April 2015
Actuarial Valuation date — June 30, 2014
• Measurement date — June 30, 2015
Measurement period — July 1, 2014 through June 30, 2015
Used for
- Second year of GASB 68 for employers with June 30 fiscal year end
- First year of GASB 68 for other employers
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Annual Valuation
• Delayed due to GASB 68 & resource constraints
Not all reports available for CalPERS Educational Forum
- Next week in San Jose
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Accelerated Funding
New Section in Valuation Report at 6/30/13
Alternate Amortization Schedules
The amortization schedule shown on the prewaus page snows the minimum contributions required according to CalPERS amortization
policy. There has been considerable interest from many agencies in paying off these unfunded accrued liabilities sooner and the possible
savings in doing so. As a result, we have provided alternate amortization schedules to help analyze your current amortization schedule and
illustrate the advantages of accelerating unfunded liability payments towards your plan's unfunded liability of $836,108 as of lune 30,
2013
Shown below are the level rate payments required to amortize your plan's unfunded liability assuming a fresh start over the various
periods noted. Note that the payments under this scenarw would increase by 3 percent for each year into the future.
Level Rate Total
l - -- Period 1 2015-16 Rate m mint �i Payments � Total Interest Savings
15 18.794% $76,646 $1.425.526 (589418 C 5128223 ,
10 25.575% 104,296 1 1,195,633 MUM 5358.749
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Accelerated Funding
Multiple ways to do it
- Fresh start
- Discretionary payment on an ad hoc basis
• Discuss with your Plan Actuary
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The New Amortization Policy
• Adopted by the CalPERS Board in April 2013
• Designed to pay down unfunded liability faster
5 year direct rate smoothing
- 30 year closed amortization of gains and losses
- Five year ramp up /down
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The New Amortization Policy
Affected employer contribution rates for the first
time in FY 2015 -16 (this year)
• No impact on normal cost
• Higher contributions short term
• Lower contributions long term (25 + years)
• Better funded status long term
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New Asset Allocation & Actuarial Assumptions
• Adopted by the Board in February 2014
• Changed economic and demographic assumptions
- Projecting mortality improvements
i Different implementation for State vs. public agencies
- Valuation Date
- Smoothing period
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New Asset Allocation & Actuarial Assumptions
s Affected public agency contribution rates for the first
time in FY 2016 -17 (next year)
• Earlier implementation for State
• Generally higher normal cost
s Generally higher contributions
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Changes to Risk Pooling
0 Primarily due to PEPRA:
- Closing of classic risk pools
• Combining all pools into two (Miscellaneous and Safety)
9 Allocating pool's unfunded liability to each plan based on
total liability instead of payroll
Contributions toward unfunded liability set in dollars instead
of a percentage of payroll
- Rate still available in report
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Changes to Risk Pooling
Affected employer contribution rates for the first time in FY
2015 -16
Impact specific to each pooled plan was included in the rate
set by the June 30, 2013 valuation report
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Five Year Outlook for Safety Plans
Percent Increase starting at 2015 -2016 Employer Rates over 5 Years
Non - Pooled Public Agency - Safety Plans
a0
70
60
C
0 50
a
o �
`w
E 30
3
Z 20
10
0
Decrease Increase0%to 10% Increase between Increase between Increase between Increase between Increase more than
t0°b to 20% MA to 30% 30-A to 409% 40% to 50% 5M.
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E:3
180
160
m
140
a
G 120
v
a
100
E
Z 80
60
40
20
0
Five Year Outlook for Miscellaneous Plans
Percent Increase starting at 2015 -2016 Employer Rates over 5
Years Nan - Pooled Public Agency - Miscellaneous Plans
Decrease Inaease0%to10% Increase between Increasebetween Increase between Increase between Increase more than
10% to 20% 20% t. 30% 30% to 40% 40% to 50% 50%
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Where can I see my future rates?
4 Risk Section of your annual actuarial report
• Estimated rates under five scenarios
- Expected return — 7.5 percent per year
Optimistic #1 — 12.0 percent per year
- Optimistic #2 — 18.9 percent per year
- Pessimistic #1 — 2.8 percent per year
- Pessimistic #2 — - 3.8percent per year
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Asset Liability Management Framework
• An integrated approach that considers assets, liability, and risk
to ensure the sustainable funding of the system.
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LLG
Balancing the Fund
I
Investment
j Returns
t
Benefits Contributions
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Factors Driving
Funding Risk
Benefit Structure
F!maturing s are
• Asset and
• Current Risk -
liability to
Return
• Public
payroll ratios
includes
employees
increase with
significant
are living
higher benefit
volatility
longer
formulas
• Market return
• Increase cash
expectations
outflows
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CaIPERS Pension Funds Are Maturing
Ratio of Actives to Retirees
99
2
1.5
1 -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
0.5
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49
— Historical - - Projected
L CaIPERS Historical Data from CalPERS 2014 Comprehensive annual Financial Report
What is Funding Risk Mitigation?
• Funding Risk Mitigation seeks to reduce funding risk over
time
• Reducing funding risk should mitigate the impact of
investment volatility on employer contribution rates and
funding levels over time
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How Will Funding Risk Mitigation Work?
a When an investment return exceeds the discount rate by a,
certain threshold, a Funding Risk Mitigation Event will
trigger
When a Funding Risk Mitigation Event is triggered, a portion
of the investment return is used to pay for lowering the
expected investment return and discount rate
9 For example, a 11.5% investment return would reduce the
expected investment and discount rate return five (5) basis
points (0.05 %)
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Current Status /Next Step
CalPERS staff presented a draft Funding Risk Mitigation
Policy earlier this week
• Board directed staff to bring it back in November without
any changes
- But did request an additional option with a slightly lower
threshold
Second reading of the Policy is scheduled to occur at the
November Finance and Administration Committee Meeting
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On the Horizon
• Normal Cost by Benefit Formula
- Additional disclosures in annual valuations
- When? Hopefully in next year's annual valuations
• ALM Workshop
- Review of capital market assumptions
- Review of actuarial assumptions
- Review of risk mitigation policy (if adopted)
- When? Late 2017 and early 2018
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Questions & Comments
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