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HomeMy WebLinkAbout02.a. 10-Year Financial Projections for Rate Setting (1-24-13)2-af Central Contra Costa Sanitary District Dlstri butrd aMir January 11, 2013 St roc to eave f, TO: BOARD OF DIRECTORS VIA: ANN E. FARRELL, GENERAL MANAGER THEA VASSALLO, FINANCE MANAGER FROM: TODD SMITHEY, FINANCE ADMINISTRATOR SUBJECT: BOARD FINANCIAL PLANNING AND POLICY WORKSHOP 10 —YEAR FINANCIAL PLANNING PROJECTIONS Attached are the 10 -Year Financial Projections for Rate Setting. This document utilizes the District's financial planning model to project rates over the next fiscal year and following 9 years. The projections utilize expenditure and revenue projections generated from a number of sources and documented in the report. This year, the Financial Projections indicate the need for a 2 -year $34 per year increase for years 2013 -14 and 2014 -15 based on current assumptions. Staff will be reviewing the projection assumptions and getting Board input at the Board Financial Planning and Policy Workshop scheduled for January 24, 2013. If you have any questions that you would like to discuss prior to the workshop or if you have particular items you would like to have covered during the workshop, please contact Finance Manager Thea Vassallo or General Manager Ann Farrell. Central Contra Costa Sanitary District Board Financial Planning & Policy Workshop 10 -Year Financial Projections for Rate Setting January 24, 2013 sta SEWER SERVICE CHARGE COMPARISON FINANCIAL REPORT • Introduction • Report Terms /Acronyms • Staff Recommendation • Methodology and Background • Development of 2013 Scenarios • 2013 Financial Planning Scenarios • Conclusion APPENDIX 1 White Papers- Backup Information Capital Planning Memo Capital Workshop Presentation GLOSSARY TABLE OF CONTENTS Page 1 Page 2 Page 3 Page 4 Page 5 Pages 6 -9 Pages 10 -13 Pages 14 -31 Page 32 Pages 33 -49 Pages 1 -17 Pages 1 -23 Pages A - F Note: Pages for Executive Summary through White Papers run from pages I to 49 consecutively. Appendix II has its own numbering and the Glossary has its own lettering. F XECUTIVE SUMMA The District has always prided itself on providing a high level of service for reasonable rates. When the severity of the economic downturn became apparent, the District Board of Directors, after thoughtful debate, elected not to raise sewer service charge rates for 2 years (2009 -10 and 2010 -11) in order to provide some financial relief to our customers. Because the economic downturn resulted in significant bid savings on capital projects, staff recommended, and the Board agreed, that the Capital Program should continue and needed projects should be built. In order to fund these projects without raising rates for 2 years, $30 million in bonds were sold in 2009- 10. In June of 2011, the Board adopted the staff recommended scenario of a 2 -year $30 per year SSC increase for 2011 -12 and 2012- 13. At that time of adoption, it was thought that increases of this magnitude going forward, ie. about $30 per year for the next ten years, would be adequate to meet the District's obligations for both operating and maintenance costs and capital expenditures over the 10 year duration of the financial plan. Since that time, the unfunded liabilities related to funding employee and retiree future healthcare and pensions have increased substantially. This increase is putting more pressure on rates and resulting in projected increases greater than what was previously projected. Other savings, including deferral of some capital projects to reduce capital spending for the next several years have moderated the potential increases. This year staff is recommending a continuation of the annual rate increases which are currently calculated at approximately $34 per year each year for the next several years. Staff recommends a Proposition 218 notice be sent to our ratepayers in March 2013 stating the need for a 2 -year increase in sewer service charge (SSC) of $34 per year for 2013 -14 and 2014 -15. This is a total 2 -year increase of $68 and would bring the SSC from $371 to $439 over the 2 -year period. The District will remain in the bottom half of agencies surveyed even with the proposed 2 -year increase. SEWER SERVICE CHARGE COMPARISON This year staff is recommending a 2 -year $34 per year rate increase. At the time of developing this document, most jurisdictions have not released their rate increase information for 2013 -14. Therefore, the information provided in the table is CCCSD information for 2012 -13 but includes the proposed rate increases for 2013 -14 and 2014 -15 as well. After accounting for the two $34 rate increases and with 2012 -13 data, the District's position remains in the bottom half of those surveyed. See table below. Sewer Service Charge Rates for Bay Area Agencies Revised January 2, 2013 (Rates in effect on January 1, 2013) Agency 12-13 SSCi') AVR"' per connection, if known SSC plus AVR Rank from lowest (with AVR) Comments Santa Rosa $1,132 N/A $1,132 25 Effective 1/1/13. Petaluma $994 N/A $994 24 Effective 1/1/13. Future CPI increases approved. Rodeo Sanitary District $695 $57 $752 22 Effective August 2012 Crockett Sanitary District $632 $219 $851 23 No increase in FY 2012 -13 Ironhouse Sanitary District $618 $10 $628 21 Sells cattle and hay to offset rates. Richmond $603 N/A $603 20 Increasing to $633 in 13 -14 Brentwood $565 N/A $565 19 No increase in 2012 -13 Oakland (EBMUD for treatment) $557 N/A $557 18 Increasing to $614 on 1/1/14 Benicia $551 N/A $551 17 Effective 1/1/13. Four more annual increases (to $678) approved. 2012 -13 Mean Rate of Agencies Surveyed $502 Berkeley (EBMUD for treatment) $496 N/A $496 14 Vallejo $495 N/A $495 13 Increasing to $507 on 7/1/13 and to $520 on 7/1/14 Novato $495 $64 $559 16 Increasing to $514 in 13 -14; $533 in 14 -15; $552 in 15 -16. Mountain View Sanitary District $491 $27 $518 15 No increase in 2012 -13 Livermore $489 N/A $489 12 No increase in 2012 -13 Pittsburg (DDSD for treatment) $454 $19 $473 10 Napa Sanitation District $448 N/A $448 9 Annual CPI increases approved for future years. CCCSD 2014 -15 Proposed Rate $439 $73 $512 Pleasanton $427 N/A $427 7 Automatic CPI increase every July 1 Bay Point (DDSD for treatment) $412 $62 $474 11 Includes $34 collection system replacement/rehab fee collected on tax roll. CCCSD 2013 -14 Proposed Rate $405 $73 $478 Stege SD (EBMUD for treatment) $396 $20 $416 6 Antioch (DDSD for treatment) $385 $20 $405 5 CCCSD 2012 -13 Current Rate $371 $73 $444 8 Effective 7/1/12 Fairfield (FSSD) $360 N/A $360 3 Dublin San Ramon Services District $355 $13 $368 4 Annual CPI increases approved for future years. Concord (CCCSD for treatment) $324 N/A $324 2 Pays for HHW Service from garbage franchise fees. Union Sanitary District $320 N/A $320 1 West County Wastewater District $304 $20 $324 2 Annual increases to $330, $353, $377 approved. Oro Loma Sanitary District $189 N/A $188 lowest Annual increases to $195, $200, $206 approved. Rates in effect on January 1, 2013 unless noted. Data from prior years: current year data not available. I'I Annual Sewer Service Charge per Single Family Residence, or SFR. ( �1AVR = ad valorem (property tax) revenue; data from CCC Auditor - Controller's Report on 2011 -12 Property Tax Administration Charges. Where AVR is not known, adjusted rate includes only SSC. -2- FINANCIAL REPORT INTRODUCTION This document contains the 2013 -14 financial projections for Board consideration. Based on these projections, staff is recommending a 2 -year $34 per rate (2013 -14 and 2014 -15) increase be noticed via a Proposition 218 notice satisfying the notice requirements for a Public Hearing on rates on June 6, 2013. The financial report is broken into the following sections which provide the background information for the 2013 Board Financial Workshop: • Report Terms /Acronyms • Staff Recommendation (yellow text box) • Methodology and Background • Development of 2013 Scenarios • 2013 Financial Planning Scenarios • Conclusion A Note About Financial Model Projections The 10 -year plan model is a forecasting tool. Many numbers in this report are projections based on the best, most current information available when the projections were made. Staff refines the numbers as new information becomes available; information presented at the January 24, 2013 Board Workshop may contain more current information. - 3 - REPORT TERMS /ACRONYMS The following terms are used throughout the report. They are listed below with their related acronyms so that you can refer to this table for definition purposes. The acronyms are initially spelled out and then utilized throughout the report. AB 32 (Assembly Bill 32— California's Greenhouse Gas Law) ARC (Annual Required Contribution) AVR (Ad Valorem- Property Tax — Revenue) CCC (Contra Costa County) CCCERA (Contra Costa County Employees' Retirement Association) CIB (Capital Improvement Budget) CIP (Capital Improvement Program) CPI (Consumer Price Index) DEBT (consists of Bond Debt and the State Recycled Water Loan) GASB (Governmental Accounting Standards Board) GASB- 45 /OPEB (Governmental Accounting Standards -45 /Other Post - Employment Benefits) HHWCF (Household Hazardous Waste Collection Facility) LAIF (Local Agency Investment Fund) NPDES (National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System) O &M (Operations & Maintenance) OPEB (Other Post - Employment Benefits) RUE (Residential Unit Equivalent) RWQCB (San Francisco Bay Regional Water Quality Control Board) SIR (Self- Insured Retention) SSC (Sewer Service Charge) SWRCB (State Water Resources Control Board) UAAL (Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability) Important Note on District Terms Used in Report: The term Funds Required is used by the District to define the minimum amount of cash and investments the District must have on hand on June 301h to meet O &M and CIP expenses given that District revenue is received from the County twice per year. The term Funds Available is used to define the amount of cash and investments that is actually on hand on June 30th of that same year. -4- Staff Recommendation Notice a 2 -year $34 per year sewer service charge rate increase through the Proposition 218 process and adopt the increase at the Public Hearing scheduled for June 6, 2013. In addition, staff recommends that we continue with a multi - pronged strategy to financial planning: • Review and adjust our other fees, rates and charges annually to maintain full cost recovery. • Continue to optimize expenses by improving processes and efficiency, implementing new ideas, making expense reductions, scrutinizing the need to fill vacated positions and implementing a succession plan. • Use the continued favorable bid climate to implement needed capital projects at a reduced cost; continue Board workshops to manage and plan capital expenditures. • Use a pay -as- you -go approach for renewal and replacement projects. Accumulate funds for a potential $70 million addition of nitrification facilities to remove ammonia and a $20 million effort to remediate soils in the area where these new facilities would be located. • Draw down reserves when appropriate, but also consider the impact of unfunded liabilities, District cash flow needs, and future regulatory requirements. • Make payments on unfunded accrued liabilities, as revenues permit, to reduce interest and total costs. A pay down of pension UAAL is allocated at $75 million over the ten years of this plan. / Li /_1 -5- METHODOLOGY AND BACKGROUND The rate analysis uses a 10 -year cash flow model to develop rate guidance. The model calculates future rates needed to maintain adequate Funds Available based on projections from current information. As such, the model assumes the minimum amount of funds needed to meet cash flow needs. Current year budget figures are analyzed and updated to project future years for all revenue and expense categories. Bond and total debt, the O &M budget (including the District's SIR), and the CIB are then estimated for future years based on department expense projections and the long -term CIP. Projections are also developed for revenue categories including capacity fees, SSC, property tax, interest income, City of Concord reimbursements, etc. The model also assumes: • The District will not short -term borrow to meet cash flow needs. To not borrow, the District must meet its Funds Required by having the Funds Available on hand. In the 10 -year planning and rate - setting process, this is the amount held in cash and investments that is needed at June 301h of any fiscal year to meet cash flow needs through mid - December, when the first SSC and CCC property tax payments are received. These funds are needed to pay bills from mid -April through mid - December while we wait for SSC and property tax to be deposited. Further spending down the Funds Available such that short -term borrowing is necessary is not recommended as it would provide for only a modest reduction in rates for the several years it would take to spend down the funds on hand and would leave the District in a vulnerable position with no "cushion" for unforeseen events. • Funds Required changes from year to year based on annual expenditure projections. In years where large capital projects are under construction, Funds Required are higher to enable making payments to the contractor for these projects without short term borrowing. Based on experience and bond requirements, Funds Required is determined by calculating 30 % -32% of the next year's O &M and CIB, plus 100% of Annual Debt Service. SIR reserves and accumulated GASB- 45 /OPEB funds are excluded from Funds Available. • The financial model is run such that Funds Available are approximately equal to Funds Required at a targeted year in the future. Usually that year is year ten of the plan. This year Funds Available meet Funds required in 2019 -20 (Year 7), but then ramp up again to hit the targeted year approximately at year 15, outside the 10 -year window, to allow for funding some anticipated capital projects that will be needed in the 11 -15 year range of the plan. • The Model assumes the District fully funds its annual obligation of its four major liabilities. Additional payments over the ten years of the plan of $75 million are also included to pay down our CCCERA UAAL. While the District has historically maintained a philosophy of pay -as- you -go and modest annual SSC increases, the rate increases have varied significantly from year to year. In fact, for a 6 -year period from 1994 -95 to 1999 -2000, District rates were maintained at a level of $188 per year. During this time, there was an emphasis on reducing operating and maintenance expenses. Additionally, and more significant to our current discussion, the Capital Program was reduced dramatically in order to reduce overall District expenditures and the Sewer Construction Funds Available was depleted. A change in District management occurred in 1999 and an increased focus on enforcement by regulatory agencies at about the same time made it apparent that significant increases in the SSC were necessary in order to maintain service levels and rebuild the capital improvement program. Over the 4 -year period from 2000 -01 to 2003 -04, the rates were increased from $188 to $272, a 45% increase, to make up for the lost revenues from the years when rates were not increased. Then followed a period of time of moderate increases from 2004 -05 to 2008- 09 when rates rose from $272 to $311, a 14% increase. Finally, a 2 -year period in 2009 -10 and 2010 -11 where the Board felt that, in recognition of the economy and the impact to our rate payers, rates should not be increased. The rate increases were avoided by implementing O &M savings goals, and depleting the Funds Available. In addition, $30 million in bonds were sold to allow needed capital projects to move forward and take advantage of the aggressive bidding climate which significantly reduced project construction costs from engineering estimates. In June of 2011, the Board voted to implement a 2 -year $30 per year increase for 2011 -12 and 2012 -13. The table and chart that follow show the history of our SSC rate increases from 1990 -91 to projected 2014 -15: Fiscal Year Annual Sewer Service Charge O &M Capital Total 1990 -1991 $ 136 $ - $ 136 1991 -1992 $ 151 $ - $ 151 1992 -1993 $ 160 $ 5 $ 165 1993 -1994 $ 160 $ 25 $ 185 1994 -1995 $ 160 $ 28 $ 188 1995 -1996 $ 157 $ 31 $ 188 1996 -1997 $ 157 $ 31 $ 188 1997 -1998 $ 157 $ 31 $ 188 1998 -1999 $ 157 $ 31 $ 188 1999 -2000 $ 157 $ 31 $ 188 2000 -2001 $ 185 $ 15 $ 200 2001 -2002 $ 204 $ 20 $ 224 2002 -2003 $ 207 $ 41 $ 248 2003 -2004 $ 218 $ 54 $ 272 2004 -2005 $ 204 $ 76 $ 280 2005 -2006 $ 234 $ 46 $ 280 2006 -2007 $ 213 $ 76 $ 289 2007 -2008 $ 242 $ 58 $ 300 2008 -2009 $ 260 $ 51 $ 311 2009 -2010 $ 292 $ 19 $ 311 2010 -2011 $ 300 $ 11 $ 311 2011 -2012 $ 302 $ 39 $ 341 2012 -2013 $ 344 $ 27 $ 371 2013 -2014 $ 335 $ 70 $ 405 2014 -2015 $ 372 $ 67 $ 439 The average rate increase from 1990 -91 through 2012 -13 is $12.63 per year or 5.10% per year. - 8 - Recommended Recommended $450 — $400 $350 A $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 HISTORY OF CENTRAL SAN SEWER SERVICE CHARGE RATES Proposed for 2013 -14 and 2014 -15 District loss of Property Tax •0 vera a Rate Increase = 12.63/ ear 5.1 Wr .• 110• f-1 District loss of Property Tax . $0 l l_ 1 L i 90/9 919 92/9 93/9 94/9 95/9 96/9 97/9 98/9 99/0 00 /0 01/0 02/0 03/0 04/0 05!0 06/0 07/0 08/0 09/1 10/11 1112 12/13 13/14 14/15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 ® Capital /Debt 0 0 5 25 28 31 31 31 31 31 15 20 41 54 76 46 76 58 51 19 11 39 27 70 67 ■ O &M 136 151 160 160 160 157 157 157 1 157 157 185 204 207 218 204 234 213 242 260 292 300 302 344 335 372 -9- DEVELOPMENT OF 2013 SCENARIO Main Drivers Staff performs research prior to the 10 -year plan process to determine the assumptions that will be used in the planning scenarios. Based on the drivers discussed below, a table of assumptions is developed that forms the basis of the financial model. The assumptions used are provided in detail with each of the workshop scenarios presented in this report. A detailed description of the Capital Program expenditure needs was contained in information provided to the Board in memo and presentation format in December 2012. These materials are attached in Appendix II for your review. The main financial drivers are: • Capital investment in infrastructure for renewal and replacement as well as the capital and O &M cost of meeting new regulatory requirements, • Real estate downturn and revenue reductions in SSC, Interest Income, Property Tax, Developer Permit and Connection Fees, • CCCERA pension cost increases due to depooling and 5 -year smoothing of stock market losses from prior years, • Health care cost increases, which are higher this year mainly due to national healthcare reform and compliance, and • Significant unfunded accrued liabilities for which payment should be incorporated in the 10 -year plan. Significant Unfunded Liabilities The District has 4 significant accumulated unfunded liabilities that are discussed in this section and also in a White Paper in Appendix I. They are: • Accrued Compensated Absence — Terminal Pay (vacation and sick leave accrued by employees) • Other Post Employment Benefits (OPEB) • CCCERA Unfunded Accrued Actuarial Liability (UAAL) • Outstanding Total Debt Continued prudent management of these significant liabilities is necessary. While we have a funding plan in place, significant fluctuations of the CCCERA and OPEB amounts are possible. Recent pension reform legislation may reduce the CCCERA UAAL associated with terminal pay enhancements as well as the ongoing cost of pensions if the courts uphold this provision of the law. These potential savings are not incorporated in the financial model at this time. The model assumes the District fully funds the prospective annual obligation of each of these liabilities. The table and graph that follows shows the amount of each of our significant liabilities for the past 5 years and then projects these liabilities into the future. The CCCERA liabilities do not reflect the reduced benefits for employees hired after January 1, 2011 or the potential reductions resulting from State pension reform legislation. Central Contra Costa Sanitary District Unfunded Liabilities and Cash & Investment Balances Proiected fioures in italics <1> Source - Audited Financials and projections based on internal workpapers <2> Source - Audited Financials and 7/1/2010 Bartell Actuarial report for 2010 -11 and 2011 -12; projections in 2012.13 and 2013 -14 assume no change in benefit structure but assume that the interest earnings rate will be lowered from 6.5% to 6.25% in the 7/1/12 actuarial work that is currently being prepared by Bartell and Associates. (Decreasing the anticipated rate of return by .25% will increase the liability in addition to the large number of retirements in 2011 -12.) <3> Source - CCCERA - note that there is a 18 month lag i,e. the $99.8 million in 2012 -13 is as of 12/31/10 and was used in setting rates for 2012 -13. The $109.2 million in 2013 -14 is as of 12/31/11 and was used in setting rates for 2013 -14. <4> Source - CAFR Debt Statistics and draft 10 -year plan model <5> Source - Audited Financials and draft 10 -year plan model plus S/I cash balance (approximately $4.0 million) for projections. -12- Source 2005 -06 2006.07 2007 -08 2008 -09 2009 -10 2010 -11 2011.12 2012 -13 2013 -14 Accrued Compensated Absence <1> $ 5,199,818 5,312,645 6,102,851 6,123,647 5,724,684 5,132,067 3,710,580 3,700,000 3,800,000 GASB 45 OPEB Unfunded Liability <2> N/A 66,106,705 66,106,705 66,428,054 66,428,054 80,933,000 77,591,000 77,000,000 74,000,000 CCCERA Unfunded Liability <3> $ 30,379,000 36,393,000 40,477,000 43,021,000 36,483,000 39,779,000 71,018,235 99,841,380 109,168,803 Outstanding Debt <4> $ 33,792,855 31,520,340 29,169,250 26,724,491 55,460,968 51,848,583 48,227,237 44,461,826 40,577,244 Total Unfunded Liabilities $ 69,371,673 139,332,690 141,855,806 142,297,192 164,096,706 177,692,650 200,547,052 225,003,206 227,546,047 Cash & Investments <5> $ 68,185,730 1 35,057,668 1 40,207,157 1 54,979,971 1 60,800,173 63,074,343 58,924,132 50,500,000 48,350,000 Ratio - Liabilities to Cash & Investments 1.02 1 3.97 3.53 1 2.59 1 2.70 1 2.82 1 3.40 1 4.46 1 4.71 <1> Source - Audited Financials and projections based on internal workpapers <2> Source - Audited Financials and 7/1/2010 Bartell Actuarial report for 2010 -11 and 2011 -12; projections in 2012.13 and 2013 -14 assume no change in benefit structure but assume that the interest earnings rate will be lowered from 6.5% to 6.25% in the 7/1/12 actuarial work that is currently being prepared by Bartell and Associates. (Decreasing the anticipated rate of return by .25% will increase the liability in addition to the large number of retirements in 2011 -12.) <3> Source - CCCERA - note that there is a 18 month lag i,e. the $99.8 million in 2012 -13 is as of 12/31/10 and was used in setting rates for 2012 -13. The $109.2 million in 2013 -14 is as of 12/31/11 and was used in setting rates for 2013 -14. <4> Source - CAFR Debt Statistics and draft 10 -year plan model <5> Source - Audited Financials and draft 10 -year plan model plus S/I cash balance (approximately $4.0 million) for projections. -12- Total Liabilities Compared to Cash and Investment Balance $250,000,000 $200,000,000 - $150,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 $- 2005-06 2006 -07 2007 -08 2008 -09 2009 -10 2010 -11 2011 -12 —Total Unfunded Liabilities —Cash & Investments $250,000,000 $200,000,000 $150,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 Liabilities by Type and Fiscal Year 2012 -13 2013 -14 2005 -06 2006 -07 2007 -08 2008 -09 2009 -10 2010 -11 2011 -12 2012 -13 ■ Accrued Compensated Absence ■ GASB 45 OPEB Unfunded Liability ❑ CCCERA Unfunded Liability ❑ Outstanding Debt MWE 2013 -14 2013 FINANCIAL PLANNING SCENARIOS The Plan this year includes only one scenario as currently drafted and utilizes assumptions very similar to those used last year. A summary table of assumptions for the ten -year period of the 2013 Plan follows and is then followed by a table of assumptions year by year. Using current assumptions, a 2 -year rate increase of $34 per year for 2013 -14 and 2014 -15 is calculated by the model. This compares to the 2 -year $38 per year increase calculated last year. Though expenses increased in this model compared to last year's, rates were reduces due to higher revenues and a higher ending fund balance projected for 2012 -13. The table shown below compares this year's to last year's assumptions and 10 -year totals in the rate - setting period. The 10 -year rate - setting period referred to in the 2012 Baseline Scenario is FY 2012 -13 to 2021 -22; the 10 -year rate - setting period referred to in the 2013 Baseline Scenario is FY 2013 -14 to 2022 -23. The comparison is to rolling 10 -year periods so in general, expenses are higher in the 2013 Scenario due to the Year 1 in the 2012 Scenario being dropped and adding on a new 10th year in the 2013 Scenario with higher inflated figures in Year 10. - 14- Assumption 2012 Baseline Scenario (2012 -13 — 21 -22) 2013 Baseline Scenario 2013 -14 — 22 -23) Capital Total capital expenditures of $408.9 million Total capital expenditures of $422.1 million included Project included in the 1 O -Year Plan. Funds in the 1 O -Year Plan. Funds Available are ramped Spending Available are ramped up in 2021 -22 up in 2022 -23 anticipating larger capital projects anticipating larger capital projects shifted to shifted to years 11 -15 that are not shown in the years 11 -15 that are not shown in the model. model. (Alternatively, the funds could be used to pay down unfunded liabilities. CCCERA Total CCCERA cost over 10 years is $254.3 Total CCCERA cost over 10 years is $233.0 million, million. The UAAL was estimated to increase or $21.3 million less than in last year's model. The to $122.5 million for the 2013 -14 rate - setting. actual UAAL of $109.2 million was lower than $75 million was included in the ten years of estimated for the 2013 -14 rate - setting. There is still the scenario to pay down our unfunded $75 million included to pay down our unfunded liability starting in 2015 -16. liability starting in 2015 -16 and the associated rate reductions are higher than estimated last year. We are now phasing in employee payment of their own contribution that was previously 100% paid by the District. GASB $83.2 million in the 10 -year period to pay $83.5 million in the 10 -year period to pay down our 45 /OPEB down our unfunded liability for retiree health unfunded liability for retiree health care. care. Total 2012 current rate increase assumptions used 2013 current rate increase assumptions used —total Employee — total employee benefits in the 10 -year employee benefits in the 10 -year period = $427.1 Benefits period = $412.7 million. million or $14.4 million higher than 2012. This is (Including mainly due to higher medical premium costs offset CCCERA and by lower estimates for CCCERA payments. GASB 45) Salary and Salaries were discounted at a 3% vacancy The vacancy factors were reduced to 2% for Benefits factor and benefits were discounted at a 4% salaries and 3% for benefits due to many vacant Vacancy vacancy factor due to anticipated retirements. positions being filled. Factors Total O &M Total O &M expenses in the 10 -year period Total O &M expenses in the 10 -year period are Expenses are $909.1 million. $946.8 million and are $37.6 million higher than in (Including 2012. This is mainly due to increased salary and CCCERA benefits partially offset by savings in other line and GASB 45) items. SSC RUE's The total RUE ranges from 164,458 in 2012- The total RUE ranges from 166,091 in 2013 -14 to 13 to 177,258 in 2021 -22. 175,541 in 2022 -23. This is 1,717 total connections less than the 2012 scenario due to a reduction in assumed new connections. SSC Capital Capital Component reduced from $39 The Capital Component was increased from $27 in Component planned to $27 in 2012 -13 to accommodate 2012 -13 to $70 in 2013 -14 to pay for capital projects additional O &M expenses related to employee and begin to build up the SCF. benefits. -15- The following table shows assumptions by year: Comparison of Scenario Assumptions 2013 Baseline Scenario Fiscal Year 2012 -13 2013 -14 2014 -15 2015 -16 2016 -17 2017 -18 2018 -19 2019 -20 2020 -21 2021 -22 2022 -23 Interest % 0.40% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00% 1.25% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% N/A 4.00% Capital Inflation % 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 0.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% # of New Connections 3.0% # of New Connections 800 800 850 900 950 1,000 1 1,050 1,100 1,150 N/A 1,200 1,250 Ad Valorem Tax Escalation* 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.0% 3.0% 1.5% 3.0% 2.0% 3.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.0% Total Sewer Service Charge (SSC) 3.0% 371 3.0% Total Sewer Service Charge (SSC) $ 371 $ 405 $ 439 $ 473 $ 507 $ 541 $ 576 $ 611 $ 645 $ 645 $ 645 SSC O &M Component $ 344 $ 335 $ 372 $ 433 $ 443 $ 444 $ 460 $ 466 $ 464 $ 508 $ 437 SSC Capital Component $ 27 $ 70 $ 67 $ 40 $ 64 $ 97 $ 116 $ 145 $ 181 $ 137 $ 208 Total SSC Annual Rate Increase $ 30 $ 34 $ 34 $ 34 $ 34 $ 34 $ 35 $ 35 $ 34 $ - $ - 2012 Baseline (Prior Year Staff Recommended) Scennrin Fiscal Year 2012 -13 2013 -14 2014 -15 2015 -16 2016 -17 2017 -18 2018 -19 2019 -20 2020 -21 2021 -22 2022 -23 Interest % 0.75% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% 5.00% 5.00% N/A Capital Inflation % 0.0% 1.5% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% N/A # of New Connections 800 800 800 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1 1,000 1,000 1,000 N/A Ad Valorem Tax Escalation* 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% N/A Total Sewer Service Charge (SSC) $ 371 $ 409 $ 447 $ 485 $ 521 $ 557 $ 593 $ 629 $ 665 $ 701 N/A SSC O &M Component $ 344 $ 366 $ 374 $ 430 $ 436 $ 438 $ 454 $ 460 $ 464 1 $ 496 N/A SSC Capital Component $ 27 $ 43 $ 73 $ 55 $ 85 $ 119 $ 139 $ 169 $ 201 $ 205 N/A Total SSC Annual Rate Increase $ 30 $ 38 $ 38 1 $ 38 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 N/A *Debt Service is funded first, any remaining property tax funds Capital. Changes in Assumptions Include: - Interest earnings on Sewer Construction Fund reduced. - Capital inflation eliminated for 2013 -14. - Number of new connections reduced in earlier years and increased in future years. - Ad Valorem tax escalation adjusted in future years. EM JANUARY 2013 SCENARIO SUMMARY TABLE The projected rates for 2013 -14 and beyond are summarized in the table below and compared to the projected rates from the 10 -Year Financial Plan from 2012. Summary of Scenarios Referred to in the Financial Report Scenario ID Description 2013 -14 Rate Increase 2014 -15 Rate Increase 2015 -16 Rate Increase 2016 -17 Rate Increase 2017 -18 Rate Increase 2018 -19 Rate Increase 2019 -20 Rate Increase 2020 -21 Rate Increase 2021 -22 Rate Increase 2021 -22 Rate Increase 10 -Year Ending Total Previous Baseline Scenario - 1 2012 Financial Plan $ 38 $ 38 $ 38 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 N/A $ 701 Current Baseline Scenario - 2 2013 Financial Plan $ 34 $ 34 $ 34 $ 34 $ 34 $ 35 $ 35 $ 34 $ - $ - $ 645 OTHER CONSIDERATIONS: Staff can prepare additional scenarios, if needed. Some Board suggestions include: • Prioritize and reduce capital spending to live with actual revenue. • Consider short -term borrowing and further spend down reserves. If there is Board interest in these or other scenarios, staff can develop added scenarios for discussion. - 17- Summary of Scenarios Referred to in the Financial Report Scenario ID Description 2013 -14 Rate Increase 2014 -15 Rate Increase 2015 -16 Rate Increase 2016 -17 Rate Increase 2017 -18 Rate Increase 2018 -19 Rate Increase 2019 -20 Rate Increase 2020 -21 Rate Increase 2021 -22 Rate Increase 2021 -22 Rate Increase 10 -Year Ending Total Previous Scenario: 1 $ 38 $ 38 $ 38 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 $ 36 N/A $ 701 2012 Financial Plan Current Scenario: 2 $ 34 $ 34 $ 34 $ 34 $ 34 $ 35 $ 35 $ 34 $ - $ - $ 645 2013 Financial Plan SCENARIO ONE — PRIOR YEAR 2012 BASELINE CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT FEBRUARY 16, 2012 BOARD (PRIOR YEAR) FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHOP SCENARIO ASSUMPTIONS UPDATED WITH BOARD COMMITTEE REQUESTED CHANGES IN BLUE (PRIOR YEAR) Scenario Premise: • The 2 -year, up to $30 SSC rate increase approved by the Board for 2011 -12 and 2012 -13 is displayed in this scenario. The 2011 -12 O &M projection is based on 6 -month budget review and is the basis of future year projections. • The goal of this year's scenario is to change only significant assumptions used in the model for ease of comparison to the 2011 recommended scenario. The bullets in this section highlight significant differences from this year to last year. o Capital project spending assumptions presented at the December 15, 2011 CIB Workshop are used in the model. The impact in the 10 -year period is a $13.7 million reduction in the current year scenario because project costs for new solids treatment (digesters or new furnaces) were shifted to future years outside of the 10 -year window. o Employee benefits are updated based on current information and include known rate increases. The largest impacts are in the CCCERA rate increases and the GASB -45 Annual Required Contribution (ARC) discussed below. The CCCERA unfunded liability will increase by another $22 million for the 2012 -13 rate - setting process. $1.9 million per year, which is the approximate annual amount that is amortized over 18 years, is included beginning in 2012- 13 in the 10 -Year Plan model. This is in addition to the assumed regular annual increase for normal costs. CCCERA rate increases that are multiplied times salary are: 9.17% rate increase in 2011 -12, 13.79% rate increase in 2012 -13 and 10.34% rate increase in 2013 -14. Retirement costs in this year's model over the 10 -year period are $24.7 million higher than what was assumed in the 2011 model, mainly due to the large unanticipated UAAL increases in recent years due to de- pooling. The GASB OPEB ARC increased to $8.3 million /year. The ARC used in the 2011 scenario ranged from $5.5 million to $6.0 million per year. The impact in the 10 -year period is $25.7 million more in the current 10 -Year Scenario. o Positive O &M expense account variances in other line items, including salaries because of assumed savings due to retirements and hiring lags, help offset the additional CCCERA and OPEB costs. Total O &M expenses in the 10 -year period are $31.9 million higher in the current model compared to last year's 10 -Year model. �L'2 SCENARIO ONE — PRIOR YEAR 2012 BASELINE CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT FEBRUARY 16, 2012 BOARD (PRIOR YEAR) FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHOP SCENARIO ASSUMPTIONS UPDATED WITH BOARD COMMITTEE REQUESTED CHANGES IN BLUE (PRIOR YEAR) o The total number of RUE's is calculated by taking total SSC revenue in any given year divided by the SSC rate for that year. The total RUE count was significantly reduced in 2009 -10 ( -3,996 RUE) due to lower number of connection equivalents and lower water usage of commercial accounts that are billed based on water usage. In last year's model, staff assumed the total RUE count would return to previous levels in 2 years and added back 2,000 additional RUE in each of the 2 years. This was too optimistic. In this year's model, the 2011 -12 projected RUE is even lower and is calculated to be almost 6,000 RUE lower than the assumption used in 2011. To phase back RUE over time, 600 RUE per year are added back in the current model beginning in 2013 - 4-4 2015-16. Also, regular connections were reduced in 2012 -13 through 2014 -15. The total RUE count ^hes Up +n the R amber used iR the 2011 r �- , 2020 21 the GurreRt Fnedel -shews tee; RUE € at h + 1,0 is 2.779 less than the prior year 2011 scenario. If last year's SSC rate increases were applied to the lower RUE assumptions, revenue would have calculated $14.6 million lower in the current model in the 10 -year period. Higher revenue amounts in other line items, such as Concord revenue from treatment plant capital improvements, helped soften projected SSC rate increases in the current 2012 scenario. The section below provides more information on assumptions used in the 10 -Year Plan scenarios. Revenue: • Interest Rates: 2010 -11 was updated to actual average interest rate of 0.40 %. Future years remained the same as the 2011 assumptions and gradually increase from 0.75% in 2012 -13 to a cap of 5.0 %. • Current 2011 -12 Property Tax Revenue is estimated to be $12.0 million versus a total budget of $12.2 million. In the 2011 model, property tax revenue was estimated to be $12.2 million for 2011 -12. • No property tax revenue growth is predicted through 2012 13 2014 -15, and then 1 % per year increases are assumed starting in 2015 -16 through 2014 =15 2016 -17, 2% per year in 201546 2017 -18, and then 3% per year going forward. • The State repayment of borrowed property tax in the amount of $1.1 million is the same assumption in this year's and last year's scenario.. -20- SCENARIO ONE — PRIOR YEAR 2012 BASELINE CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT FEBRUARY 16, 2012 BOARD (PRIOR YEAR) FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHOP SCENARIO ASSUMPTIONS UPDATED WITH BOARD COMMITTEE REQUESTED CHANGES IN BLUE (PRIOR YEAR) Connection fee rates are the same as in the 2011 model; in 2011 -12 the facility capacity fee is $5,465 and increases to $6,900 by 2021 -22. The pump zone fee is $7,071 in 2011 -12 and increases to $8,300 by 2020 -21. • The number of new connections per year is the came as pFejeGted ;n the 2011 seen .„ whoeh were are 800 connections in 2011 -12, 900GGRReGtiRs- iR 2042-4-3-, and then increase to 1,000 connections per year in 2013 -14 going forward through 2014 -15. Expense /Expenditures /Debt: • Capital Project expenditures, that are based on the figures presented at the December 15, 2011 Board Workshop, are inflated by 1 % in 2013 -14, 1.5% in 2014 -15, 2.0% in 2015 -16 and then 3% per year thereafter. These inflation assumptions are used in last year's and this year's scenarios. • O &M annual inflation varies in the 10 years projected, but in general, salaries are inflated by 3.5% per year and all other accounts by 3% per year, except for chemicals and utilities that fluctuate according to current market conditions. • Salary vacancy of 3 %, and benefit vacancy of 4% are used in the model. This means projections are reduced by 3% per year for salaries and 4% per year for benefits to account for unfilled positions. • Employee retiree and refilling assumptions are updated in 2011 -12 and remain the same as last year for future years. • For consistency when comparing scenarios, the large annual payments beginning in 2015- 16 to pay down our CCCERA UAAL presented in last year's Recommended Scenario are also included in the 2012 Recommended Scenario. In both scenarios, the payments total $75 million, but the annual distribution is different; in the 2012 current year model, $15 million was shifted from 2020 -21 into 2021 -22. • There is no new debt issued in either scenario. GAS B -45/O P E B : • The OPEB /GASB -45 ARC is $8.3 million per year ($50 of the SSC rate) based on the actuarial estimate by John Bartell. The $8.3 million per year is assumed in all 10 years. -21- SCENARIO ONE — PRIOR YEAR 2012 BASELINE CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT FEBRUARY 16, 2012 BOARD (PRIOR YEAR) FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHOP SCENARIO ASSUMPTIONS UPDATED WITH BOARD COMMITTEE REQUESTED CHANGES IN BLUE (PRIOR YEAR) Funds Required /Available: The Funds Required calculation remains the same: 32% of next year's O &M + 30% of next year's Capital costs + 100% of Debt Service. The Funds Required formula is reviewed each year compared to actual spending. Funds required are defined as the amount of money held in cash and investments (liquid assets) that is needed on June 30th of any fiscal year to meet our cash flow needs through mid - December, when we receive our first sewer service charge and property tax payment from Contra Costa County. Funds Available are made up of Running Expense, Sewer Construction Fund cash, and investment accounts. Keeping Funds Available above Funds Required eliminates the need for short -term borrowing for cash flow -22- S H $80,000,000 - $70,000,000 - $60,000,000 - $50,000,000 $40,000,000 $30,000,000 - $20,000,000 $10,000,000 Central Contra Costa Sanitary District Funds Available Compared to Funds Required by Year Scenario 1 - Prior Year 2012 Baseline Scenario 0000 0000 2011 -2012 2012 -2013 2013 -2014 2014 -2015 2015 -2016 2016 -2017 2017 -2018 2018 -2019 2019 -2020 2020 -2021 2021 -2022 -TOTAL FUNDS AVAILABLE $54,012,383 44,138,989 38,405,967 39,583,712 42,868,828 43,519,917 50,245,319 59,208,988 59,275,093 67,285,117 74,288,336 TOTAL FUNDS REQUIRED $37,589,060 38,201,343 38,322,980 38,791,875 44,002,627 44,419,947 46,776,815 53,992,983 54,173,721 58,069,810 53,887,722 Fiscal Year -23- CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT 10 -YEAR FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHEET SCENARIO 1 - PRIOR YEAR 2012 BASELINE SCENARIO Fiscal Years 2012 -13 through 2021 -2022 -24- 1/10/2013 4:36 PM N:\ACCOUNTING \GMTEMP1 \10 -Year Plan Projections\2013 -2014 Projections \Workshop Docs - prelim \FY2013 -14 Scenario 1 Prior year Summary for Curr yr Report A E F G H J K L M N O 1 Planning Year Projected »» 2 3 1 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2 1 3 a 2011 -2012 2012 -2013 2013 -2014 2014 -2015 2015 -2016 2016 -2017 2017 -2018 1 2018 -2019 2019 -2020 2020 -2021 2021 -2022 5 Service Data Assumptions (End of F.Y.) 163,658 164,458 165,258 166,058 167,658 169,258 170,858 172,458 174,058 175,658 177,258 6 Adjustment to total RUE due to lower commercial accounts (800) - - - 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 7 New Connections (RUE) for the labeled F.Y.. 800 800 800 800 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 8 Growth Per Year 0.49% 0.49_ % 0.49% 0.48% 0.60% 0.60% 0.59% 0.59% 0.58% 0.57% 0.57% 9 10 SEWER SERVICE CHARGE DATA AND CALCULATIONS 11 Sewer Service Charge Rate - Debt Service - - - - 374 - - - - - - - 464 496 12 Sewer Service Charge Rate - O &M $ 302 344 366 430 436 438 454 460 13 Sewer Service Charge Rate - Capital Total SSC Rate Increase to Rate - $ Increase to Rate - % $ 39 27 43 73 55 85 119 139 1 169 201 205 14 $ 341 371 409 447 485 521 557 593 629 665 701 15 $ 30 30 38 38 38 36 36 36 36 36 36 9.65% 8.80% 10.24% 9.29% 8.50% 7.42% 6.91% 6.46% 6.07% 5.72% 5.41% 16 19 Total SSC Revenue $ 55,628,000 0.40% 60,865,677 0.75% 67,427,097 74,049,317 1.00% 1.50% 1 81,071,837 2.00% 87,923,141 2.50% 94,889,644 3.00% 101,971,348 109,168,251 116,480,354 123,907,658 3.50% 4.00% 5.00% 5.00% 20 Interest Revenue Rate Assumption Property Tax: 21 22 23 24 Growth % Assumption 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 25 Growth $ $ (213,624) 1,061,000 (1,061,000) - 120,000 121,200 244,824 374,581 385,818 397,393 409,314 26 Tax Take or Repayment $ - 1,061,000 - - - - - - - - - 27 Property Tax - Total $ 12,000,000 13,061,000 12,000,000 12,000,000 12,120,000 12,241,200 12,486,024 12,860,605 13,246,423 13,643,816 14,053,130 28 29 Property Tax Impact on RUE $ 73.32 79.42 72.61 72.26 72.29 72.32 73.08 74.57 76.10 77.67 79.28 30 Connection Fee -Gravity Zone $ 5,465 5,521 5,579 5,756 5,949 6,069 6,177 6,320 6,508 6,748 6,900 31 Percent Increase from PY 0.26% 1.02% 1.05% 3.17% 3.35% 2.02% 1.78% 2.32% 2.97% 3.69% 2.25% 32 Conn Fee - Pumped Zone $ 7,071 7,114 7,151 . 7,323 7,503 7,593 7,719 7,835 7,985 8,194 8,300 33 Percent Increase from PY -0.30% 0.61% 0.52% 2.41% 2.46% 1.20% 1.66% 1.50% 1.91% 2.62% 1.29% 34 Percentage of Pumped Zone to Total Connections ?dam: Retiree OPEB Annual Contributions 44.00% $ 8,300,000 50.00% 8,300,000 45.00% OTHER 8,300,000 45.00% SCENARIO 8,300,000 46.00% ASSUMPTIONS 8,300,000 47.00% 8,300,000 48.00% 8,300,000 1 35.00% 8,300,000 1 10.00% 8,300,000 10.00% 8,300,000 10.00% 8,500;000 35 36 37 Portion Allocated to PARS Trust $ 3,405,223 4,207,300 3,730,225 3,266,242 2,816,990 2,419,353 1,911,653 1,553,156 1,214,116 958,438 690,573 38 Estimated PARS Trust Balance (3% /year interest) $ 22,127,002 27,124,331 31,780,192 36,097,828 40,082,262 43,776,663 47,058,966 50,070,486 52,823,140 55,395,026 57,768,167 40 Salary Inflation (Impacted by Retirement Assumptions below) 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 41 No. of New Retirements (net of deaths) 20 9 10 8 4 11 - (1) (4) (6) (6) 42 Total O &M Benefit Increase Per Year ( %) 15.97% 11.54% 11.07% 5.07% 32.40% o ° 1.23% 1.32% 1.17% 12.01% 43 Be in additional 10 illion ear to CCCERA UAAL 15 million in 2021 -22 44 Total O &M Expense Change from prior year ( %) 11.45% 7.68% 6.34% 4.64% 15.155° 2.66% 1.99% 5.08% 2.23% 2.92% 7.02% 46 Capital Project Inflation % 0.00% 1.009/0 1.50% 2.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 48 Debt Coverage Ratio 3.38 3.56 3.72 4.51 13.51 - 7.81 8.89 11.22 14.50 14.27 15.72 49 1 Debt as a Percent of Revenue 6% 691r. 5% 5% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% -24- 1/10/2013 4:36 PM N:\ACCOUNTING \GMTEMP1 \10 -Year Plan Projections\2013 -2014 Projections \Workshop Docs - prelim \FY2013 -14 Scenario 1 Prior year Summary for Curr yr Report CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT 10 -YEAR FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHEET SCENARIO 1 - PRIOR YEAR 2012 BASELINE SCENARIO Fiscal Years 2012 -13 through 2021 -2022 -25- 1/10/2013 4:36 PM N:\ACCOUNTING\GMTEMPI \10 -Year Plan Projections\2013 -2014 Projections \Workshop Docs- prelim \FY2013 -14 Scenario 1 Prior year Summary for Curr yr Report A E F G N I J K L M N O 50 51 DEBT SERVICE FUND Projected »» 2011 -2012 1 2012 -2013 2 2013 -2014 3 2014 -2015 4 2015 -2016 5 2016 -2017 6 2017 -2018 7 2018 -2019 8 2019 -2020 9 2020 -2021 10 2021 -2022 52 53 TOTAL REVENUE: $ 5,541,000 5,567,000 5,552,000 5,546,000 2,078,000 3,782,000 3,810,000 3,603,000 3,601,000 3,608,000 3,597,000 54 TOTAL EXPENSE: $ 5,541,000 5,567,000 5,552,000 5,546,000 2,078,000 3,782,000 1 3,810,000 3,603,000 3,601,000 3,608,000 3,597,000 55 56 57 58 Ending Fund Balance - Projected» 2011 -2012 - 1 2012 -2013 - 2 2013 -2014 - 3 2014 -2015 - 4 2015 -2016 - 5 1 2016 -2017 - 6 2017 -2018 - 7 2018 -2019 - 8 2019 -2020 - 9 2020 -2021 - 10 2021 -2022 59 TOTAL REVENUE: $ 62,188,554 70,429,970 75,425,747 77,772,228 89,742,488 92,031,099 93,713,379 98,707,623 101,226,093 103,547,936 111,342,256 6o TOTAL EXPENSE: $ 64,773,102 69,747,376 74,167,446 77,608,038 89,364,178 _ 91,738,096 93,559,949 98,314,728 100,504,622 103,435,296 110,692,544 61 REVENUE MINUS EXPENSE: $ (2,584,548) 682,594 1,258,302 164,189 378,310 293,003 153,429 392,895 721,471 112,640 649,712 62 63 Ending Fund Balance $ 7,335,450 8,018,044 9,276,346 9,440,535 9,818,845 10,111,848 10,265,278 10,658,173 11,379,644 11,492,283 12,141,996 64 65 ss Prudent Reserve SEWER CONSTRUCTION 14.22% Projected» 2011 -2012 9.89 %i 1 2012 -2013 10.33% 2 2013 -2014 10.38% 3 10.29%1 4 10.49% 5 10.29% 6 10.21% 7 10.30% 8 10.28 %, 9 10.08% 10 67 2014 -2015 2015 -2016 2016 -2017 2017 -2018 2018 -2019 2019 -2020 2020 -2021 2021 -2022 68 TOTAL REVENUE: $ 22,246,000 21,787,012 22,727,876 27,488,247 29,964,599 36,572,875 42,141,184 47,614,447 60,112,980 66,118,807 69,857,493 69 TOTAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES: $ 27,649,000 32,343,000 29,719,200 1 26,474,692 27,057,793 36,214,789 35,569,212 39,043,672 60,768,347 58,221,422 63,503,986 70 REVENUE MINUS CAPITAL EXPENDITURES: $ (5,403,000) (10,555,988) (6,991,324) 1,013,555 2,906,806 358,086 6,571,973 8,570,774 (655,367) 7,897,385 6,353,506 71 BOND PROCEEDS: - - - - - - - - - - - I'i 73 74 75 Ending Fund Balance TOTAL BALANCES $ 46,676,933 Projected» 2011 -2012 36,120,945 1 2012 -2013 29,129,622 2 2013 -2014 30,143,177 3 33,049,983 4 33,408,069 5 39,980,042 6 li 48,550,816 7 47,895,449 8 55,792,834 9 62,146,341 10 76 2014 -2015 1 2015 -2016 2016 -2017 2017 -2018 2018 -2019 2019 -2020 2020 -2021 2021 -2022 77 TOTAL FUNDS AVAILABLE $ 54,012,383 44,138,989 38,405,967 39,583,712 42,868,828 ! 43,519,917 501245,319 59,208,988 59,275,093 67,285,117 74,288,336 78 FUNDS REQUIRED 79 100% of Debt Service $ 5,567,000 5,552,000 5,546,000 2,078,000 3,782,000 3,810,000 3,603,000 3,601,000 3,608,000 3,597,000 3,593,500 8o 32% of Next Year's O &M Expense $ 22,319,160 23,733,583 24,834,572 28,596,537 29,356,191 29,939,184 31,460,713 32,161,479 33,099,295 35,421,614 36,484,263 81 30% of Next Year's Capital Expenditures $ 9,702,900 8,915,760 7,942,407 8,117,338 10,864,437 10,670,763 11,713,102 18,230,504 17,466,427 19,051,196 13,809,959 82 TOTAL FUNDS REQUIRED $ 37,589,060 38,201,343 38,322,980 38,791,875 44,002,627 44,419,947 46,776,815 53,992,983 54,173,721 58,069,810 53,887,722 83 1 84 85 Funds Available Amount Above /(Below) Funds Required $ 16,423,322 5,937,647 82,988 791,837 (1,133,800) (900,030) 3,468,505 5,216,005 5,101,371 9,215,307 201400,615 -25- 1/10/2013 4:36 PM N:\ACCOUNTING\GMTEMPI \10 -Year Plan Projections\2013 -2014 Projections \Workshop Docs- prelim \FY2013 -14 Scenario 1 Prior year Summary for Curr yr Report SCENARIO TWO — 2013 BASELINE CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT FEBRUARY 24, 2013 FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHOP Scenario Premise: • Staff Recommendation of a 2 -year, $34 SSC rate increase for 2013 -14 and 2014 -15 • Because of timing for mailing Proposition 218 notices to our rate - payers, the 6 -month review numbers were not used this year in the base year. The projections come mainly from the 2012 -13 budget with adjustments to labor and utilities. • The bullets in this section highlight significant differences from this year to last year comparing the two rolling10 -year rate setting time periods (Prior Year 2012 Baseline Scenario: 2012 -13 — 2021 -22 and the 2013 Baseline Scenario: 2013 -14 — 2022 -23): o Salaries have increased by $31.2 million due to lowering the salary vacancy factor by 1% and increased annual inflation due to more merit increases for new employees and COLA from recent MOU contract changes. o Capital project spending assumptions presented at the December 20, 2012 CIB Workshop are used in the model. The impact in the 10 -year period is a $13.2 million increase in the current year scenario. o Employee benefits are updated based on current information and include known rate increases. ■ The largest increases are in Medical and Health Premiums due to the Kaiser rate being 5% higher than predicted last year and the high volume of retirements. ($28.9 million higher in the 2013 scenario). CCCERA expenses decreased by $21.4 million in the current 2013 scenario due to a data from CCCERA staff detailing amortization and the impact to our rates as we pay -down our UAAL from 2015 -16 to 2021 -11. Our CCCERA rate savings in those years are better than anticipated last year. Also, the current UAAL was projected last year to be $122.5 million as of 12/31/11, and it was actually $109.2 million which lowers annual amortization costs. ■ The GASB OPEB ARC remains at $8.3 million /year, except for years 2021 -22 and 2022 -23 that are increased by about $500,000. The adjustment is needed in the model in these two fiscal years because retiree premiums alone exceed the $8.3 million annual assumption. o Total O &M expenses in the 10 -year period are $37.6 million higher in the current model compared to last year's 10 -Year model comparing the rolling 10 -year rate setting windows. Salaries and Wages are $31.2 million higher, total employee benefits are $14.4 million higher. These increases are offset by savings in other accounts. -26- SCENARIO TWO — 2013 BASELINE CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT FEBRUARY 24, 2013 FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHOP The section following provides more information on assumptions used in the 10 -Year Plan scenarios. Revenue: • Interest Rates: Interest rates are lower this year than last year. Last year staff assumed 5% by 2021 -22, this year we assume 4% by 2022 -23. • Current 2012 -13 Property Tax Revenue is estimated to be $12.6 million versus $13.6 in last year's model. This is because the State repayment of the $1.0 million Prop 1A borrowed property tax would be repaid to the District, with interest in 2012 -13. Also, the annual growth in property tax was lowered in this year's model. Total 10 -year Property Tax revenue is $7.1 million less in the 2013 Scenario. • The total number of RUE is calculated by taking total SSC revenue in any given year divided by the SSC rate for that year. The total RUE in the current scenario is 850 connections higher compared to last year. The RUE is decreased in earlier years and increased in later years based on current staff information and projections. • Connection fee rates are higher in the current model. Total Connection fee revenue (Capacity and Pump Zone Fees) are $13.0 million higher in the 2013 scenario. Expense /Expenditures /Debt: • Capital Project expenditures, that are based on the figures presented at the December 20, 2012 Board Workshop, are not inflated in 2013 -14, are inflated by 2% in 2014 -15, 3.0% in 2015 -16, and then 3% per year thereafter. These inflation assumptions are the same in both scenarios. • O &M annual inflation varies in the 10 years projected, but in general, salaries are inflated by 3.5% per year and all other accounts by 3% per year, except for chemicals and utilities that fluctuate according to current market conditions. • Salary inflation this year is 6.5% /year for 3 years, 4.0% for one year, and then 3.5% /year thereafter. Last year all future years were increased by 3.5% per year. The increased percentage is due to the 4% COLA and assumption of more new employees receiving 5% merit increases as they progress up the salary range. • Salary vacancy of 2 %, and benefit vacancy of 3% are used in the model. This means projections are reduced by 2% per year for salaries and 3% per year for benefits to account for unfilled positions. The salary vacancy factors were reduced by 1% each this year; in the past, the salary vacancy has been 3% and the benefit vacancy has been 4 %. Fewer vacancies are anticipated due to the large number of retirements that already occurred in the past 2 years. • Employee retiree and refilling assumptions were updated in 2012 -13 and remain the same as last year for future years. -27- SCENARIO TWO — 2013 BASELINE CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT FEBRUARY 24, 2013 FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHOP • The large annual payments totaling $75 million from 2015 -16 to 2021 -22 to pay down our CCCERA UAAL are the same in both scenarios. • There is no new debt issued in either scenario. GASB- 45 /OPEB: Funds Required /Available: The Funds Required calculation remains the same: 32% of next year's O &M + 30% of next year's Capital costs + 100% of Debt Service. The Funds Required formula is reviewed each year compared to actual spending. Funds required are defined as the amount of money held in cash and investments (liquid assets) that is needed on June 30th of any fiscal year to meet our cash flow needs through mid - December, when we receive our first sewer service charge and property tax payment from Contra Costa County. • Funds Available are made up of Running Expense, Sewer Construction Fund cash, and investment accounts. Keeping Funds Available above Funds Required eliminates the need for short -term borrowing for cash flow. The Self Insurance Fund Investments and Debt Fund restricted reserve account investment are not included in the model. $100,000,000 $90,000,000 $80,000,000 $70,000,000 $60,000,000 ca o $50,000,000 - $40 000 000 - $30,000,000 $20,000,000 $10,000,000 Central Contra Costa Sanitary District Funds Available Compared to Funds Required by Year Scenario 2 - 2013 Baseline Scenario increasea tunas Avaiiauie Tor large projects in the next tive years; new solids treatment (digesters or new furnaces). Alternatively, -fund couCd -be used -to pay own unfunded liabilities. on-so 00000 00,00 e WON $0 1 2009 -2010 1 2010 -2011 1 2011 -2012 1 2012 -2013 1 2013 -2014 1 2014 -2015 1 2015 -2016 1 2016 -2017 1 2017 -2018 1 2018 -2019 1 2019 -2020 1 2020 -2021 1 2021 -2022 1 2022 -2023 -TOTAL FUNDS AVAILABLE 73,441,883 61,999,931 $54,999,999 47,420,532 44,945,738 47,522,566 48,794,120 46,522,636 50,343,083 56,458,149 54,093,279 58,755,072 56,869,260 74,1923852 'TOTAL FUNDS REQUIRED 32,660,271 33,560,131 $37,741,375 37,976,514 38,450,075 39,246,655 44,520,419 44,736,269 46,934,511 53,959,497 54,102,505 57,614,198 54,000,205 51,504,607 Fiscal Year 1/10/20134:25 PM N:\ACCOUNTING \GMTEMPI \10 -Year Plan Projections\2013 -2014 Projections \Workshop Docs- prelim \FY2013 -14 Scenario 2 Baseline Summary for Curr yr Report Chart 9 -29- CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT 10 -YEAR FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHEET SCENARIO 2 - 2013 BASELINE SCENARIO Fiscal Years 2013 -14 through 2022 -2023 -30- 1/10/2013 4:33 PM N:\A000UNTING \GMTEMPI \10 -Year Plan Projections \2013 -2014 Projections \Workshop Docs - prelim \FY2013 -14 Scenario 2 Baseline Summary for Curr yr Report A F G H I J K L M N O P 2 3 Planning Year Projected »» 1 RATE 2 ASSUMPTIONS 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 9 10 a 1 2012 -2013 2013 -2014 2014 -2015 2015 -2016 2016 -2017 1 2017 -2018 1 2018 -2019 2019 -2020 2020 -2021 2021 -2022 2022 -2023 5 Service Data Assumptions (End of F.Y.) 165,291 166,091 166,941 167,841 - 168,791 169,791 170,841 171,941 - 173,091 174,291 - - 175,541 - 6 Adjustment to total RUE due to lower commercial accounts - - - - - - 7 New Connections (RUE) for the labeled F.Y.. 800 800 850 900 950 1,000 1,050 1,100 1,150 1,200 1,250 8 Growth Per Year 0.49% SEWER SERVICE CHARGE DATA AND CALCULATIONS 0.48% 0.51% 0.54% 0.57% ha 0.59% 1 0.62% 0.64% 0.67% 0.69% 0.72% 9 10 11 Sewer Service Charge Rate - Debt Service - - - - - - - - - - - 12 Sewer Service Charge Rate - 0 &M 344 335 372 433 443 444 460 466 464 508 437 13 14 Sewer Service Charge Rate - Capital 27 70 67 40 64 97 116 145 181 137 208 Total SSC Rate 371 405 439 473 507 541 576 611 645 645 645 Increase to Rate - $ 30 34 34 34 34 34 35 35 34 - - Increase to Rate - % 8.80% 9.16% 8.40% 7.74% 7.19% 6.71% 6.47% 6.08% 5.56% 0.00% 0.00% Total SSC Revenue 61,174,720 I 67,105,028 I 73,100,712 11 79,176,145 85,336,429 ' 91,586,662 98,102,262 104,720,162 111,273,096 112,030,971 112,821,096 Interest Revenue Rate Assumption 0.40% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00% 1.25% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% _ d3 .. Property Tax: 15 16 19 20 21 22 23 24 Growth %Assumption 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 25 Growth $ 510,831 1,070,000 (1,070,000) 125,580 126,836 192,156 260,051 331,566 407,826 420,060 432,662 26 Tax Take or Repayment - 1,070,000 - - - - - - - - - 27 Property Tax -Total 12,558,000 13,628,000 12,558,000 12,683,580 12,810,416 13,002,572 13,262,623 13,594,189 14,002,015 14,422,075 14,854,737 28 29 Property Tax Impact on RUE Connection Fee - Gravity Zone 75.97 82.05 75.22 75.57 75.89 76.58 77.63 79.06 pr 7,074 80.89 7,241 82.75 84.62 5,797 5,987 6,177 6,364 6,548 6,727 6,903 7,404 7,562 30 31 Percent Increase from PY 6.08% 3.28% 3.16% 3.04% 2.89% 2.74% 2.61% 2.48% 2.36% 2.25% 2.14% 32 Conn Fee - Pumped Zone 7,422 7,665 7,908 8,148 8,383 8,613 8,838 9,057 9,271 9,479 9,682 33 Percent Increase from PY 4.96% Percentage of Pumped Zone to Total Connections 56.25% = Retiree OPEB Annual Contributions 8,300,000 3.28% 3.16% 3.04% 2.89% 2.74% 2.61% 2.48% 2.36% 2.25% 2.14% 34 35 56.25% 52.94% i ; 8,300,000 8,300,000 51.11% 8,300,000 49.47% 8,300,000 48.00% ' 8,300,000 32.86% 8,300,000 9.09% 8.70% 1 8,300,000 8,300,000 8.33% 8,500,000 8.00% 8,618,966 36 37 Portion Allocated to PARS Trust 4,160,394 4,015,337 3,674,310 3,213,072 2,757,154 2,290,504 1,836,685 1,372,644 983,955 471,299 323,630 38 Estimated PARS Trust Balance (3% /year interest) 27,076,018 32,024,096 36,769,358 41,181,903 45,257,229 48,974,166 52,335,177 55,319,055 57,992,100 60,217,302 62,357,159 40 Salary Inflation (Impacted by Retirement Assumptions below) 5.6% 4.4% 6.1% 6.1% 3.7% 3.2% _ 3.2% 2 3.4% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 41 No. of New Retirements (netofdeaths) 6 (5) 6 4 2 2 (2) 3 (4) (3) 42 Total 0 &M Benefit Increase Per Year ( %) 17.63% 7.76% 6.75% 32.25% 0.33% 0.09% 1.17% UAAL 15 million 1.01% 0.77% 11.08% - 26.38% 43 a in additional 10 million ear to CCCERA in 2021 -22 44 Total 0 &M Expense Change from prior year ( %) 9.12% 4.81% 6.37% 16.469. 2.47% 1.44% 4.98% 2.00% 2.68% 6.55% - 10.63% 46 Capital Project Inflation % 1 1.00% 1.50%1 2.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 48 Debt Coverage Ratio 3.98 4.13 4.53 11.49 6.97 7.97 10.01 13.20 12.58 12.19 14.27 49 Debt as a Percent of Revenue 6% 5% 5% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% -30- 1/10/2013 4:33 PM N:\A000UNTING \GMTEMPI \10 -Year Plan Projections \2013 -2014 Projections \Workshop Docs - prelim \FY2013 -14 Scenario 2 Baseline Summary for Curr yr Report CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT 10 -YEAR FINANCIAL PLANNING WORKSHEET SCENARIO 2 - 2013 BASELINE SCENARIO Fiscal Years 2013 -14 through 2022 -2023 -31- 1/10/2013 4:33 PM N:\AC000NTING\GMTEMPI\10 -Year Plan Projections \2013 -2014 Projections \Workshop Docs - prelim \FY2013 -14 Scenario 2 Baseline Summary for Curr yr Report A F G H I J K L M N O P 50 51 DEBT SERVICE FUND ' 2 ` 5 6 7 8 9 ,. 10 3 2015 -2016 4 s2 2012 -2013 2013 -2014 2014 -2015 2016 -2017 2017 -2018 2018 -2019 2019 -2020 2020 -2021 2021 -2022 2022 -2023 53 TOTAL REVENUE: 5,567,376 5,552,435 1 5,546,218 2,077,785 3,782,051 3,809,926 3,603,238 3,600,701 3,607,578 3,597,111 3,593,499 54 TOTAL EXPENSE: 5,567,376 5,552,435 5,546,218 2,077,785 3,782,051 3,809,926 3,603,238 3,600,701 3,607,578 3,597,111 3,593,499 55 56 s� Ending Fund Balance RUNNING EXPENSE FUND - Projected »» 2012 -2013 - 1 2013 -2014 - 2 - 3 2015 -2016 - 4 2016 -2017 - 5 2017 -2018 - 6 2018 -2019 - - 7 8 - 9 - 10 2022 -2023 58 2014 -2015 2019 -2020 2020 -2021 2021 -2022 59 TOTAL REVENUE: 73,108,217 71,137,461 78,458,359 91,247,191 93,875,407 95,001,088 99,759,493 102,015,015 102,939,245 112;548,823 99,456,282 so TOTAL EXPENSE: 70,221,247 73,598,684 78,288,135 91,173,720 93,425,608 94,775,031 99,493,021 101,486,721 104,203,392 111,033,817 99,227,173 61 REVENUE MINUS EXPENSE: 2,886,970 (2,461,224) 170,224 73,471 449,799 226,057 266,471 528,294 (1,264,147) 1,515,007 229,110 621 1 63 Ending Fund Balance 11,586,970 9,125,746 9,295,970 9,369,441 9,819,240 10,045,297 10,311,768 10,840,063 9,575,915 11,090,922 11,320,032 sa ss MSEVVER 67 1 Prudent Reserve CONSTRUCTION 11.82% Projected »» 2012 -2013 14.80% 1 2013 -2014 10.01%1 2 2014 -2015 9.95%1 3 9.89% 4 9.87% 5 9.90%1 6 9.90% 7 9.76% 8 9.65% 9 9.70% 10 2015 -2016 2016 -2017 2017 -2018 2018 -2019 2019 -2020 2020 -2021 2021 -2022 2022 -2023 68 TOTAL REVENUE: 21,877,563 29,561,430 28,578,784 27,842,350 33,419,294 38,922,166 44,160,284 56,716,987 63,092,078 58,220,068 68,605,559 ss TOTAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES: 32,344,000 29,575,000 26,172,180 26,644,267 36,140,577 35,327,776 38,311,690 59,610,151 57,166,137 61,620,887 51,511,077 7o REVENUE MINUS CAPITAL EXPENDITURES: (10,466,437), (13,570) 2,406,604 1,198,083 (2,721,283) 3,594,389 5,848,594 (2,893,164) 5,925,941 (3,400,819) 17,094,482 71 BOND PROCEEDS: - - - - - - - - - - - 7 73 74 Ending Fund Balance 35,833,562 35,819,992 38,226,596 39,424,680 36,703,396 40,297,786 46,146,380 43,253,216 49,179,157 45,778,338 62,872,820 MTOTAL 76 FUND BALANCES Projected »» 2012 -2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2013 -2014 2014 -2015 2015 -2016 2016 -2017 2017 -2018 2018 -2019 2019 -2020 2020 -2021 2021 -2022 2022 -2023 77 TOTAL FUNDS AVAILABLE 47,420,532 44,945,738 i 47,522,566 48,794,120 46,522,636 50,343,083 56,458,149 54,093,279 58,755,072 56,869,260 74,192,852 78 FUNDS REQUIRED 79 100% of Debt Service 5,552,435 5,546,218 2,077,785 3,782,051 3,809,926 3,603,238 3,600,701 3,607,578 3,597,111 3,593,500 - 8o 32% of Next Year's 0 &M Expense 23,551,579 25,052,203 29,175,590 29,896,195 30,328,010 31,837,767 32,475,751 33,345,085 35,530,821 36,596,746 37,694,648 81 30% of Next Year's Capital Expenditures 8,872,500 7,851,654 7,993,280 10,842,173 10,598,333 11,493,507 17,883,045 17,149,841 18,486,266 13,809,959 13,809,959 82 TOTAL FUNDS REQUIRED 37,976,514 1 38,450,075 1 39,246,655 1 44,520,419 44,736,269 1 46,934,511 1 53,959,497 54,102,505 57,614,198 54,000,205 51,504,607 83 84 85 lFunds Available Amount Above /(Below) Funds Required 9,444,018 6,495,663 8,275,911 4,273,701 1,786,367 3,408,572 2,498,651 (9,226) 1,140,874 2,869,055 22,688,244 -31- 1/10/2013 4:33 PM N:\AC000NTING\GMTEMPI\10 -Year Plan Projections \2013 -2014 Projections \Workshop Docs - prelim \FY2013 -14 Scenario 2 Baseline Summary for Curr yr Report CONCLUSION Staff recommends a Proposition 218 notice be sent to our ratepayers in March 2013 stating the need for a 2 -year increase in sewer service charge (SSC) of $34 per year for 2013 -14 and 2014- 15. This is a total 2 -year increase of $68 and brings the SSC from $371 to $439 over the 2 -year period. The District will remain in the bottom half of agencies surveyed even with the proposed 2- year increase. This increase will allow the capital component of the sewer service charge to be increased to approach sustainable funding of the capital program, which has been in a deficit spending mode for the last several years. -32- CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT 2013 -14 APPENDIX I — WHITE PAPERS INTRODUCTION In this section of the report, staff discusses various topics in more detail that have an impact on rate setting. These topics include: • Current and Potential Issues and the Economy • Fees & Charges • Rental Property Income • Self- Insurance Fund • Significant Liabilities (GASB- 45 /OPEB- Retiree Medical and Dental premiums, CCCERA UAAL- Retirement Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability, Debt Outstanding, and Accrued Compensation Absence — Terminal Pay) • Regulatory Impacts • Utilities & Chemicals CURRENT AND POTENTIAL ISSUES AND THE ECONOMY The last five years of financial forecasting have been challenging due to the turbulent economy. The following bulleted list highlights some of the issues that impact financial planning and rate - setting. Predictions were made and used in the model; the list is meant to draw attention to possible outcomes and District operations impact. Staff uses several sources to gather economic indicators such as the State of California Department of Finance and Legislative Analyst's Office publications, Wall Street Journal, UCLA Anderson Forecasts, and Highmark Capital (PARS Trust) literature. Some of the items listed below are discussed in more detail in subsequent sections. Contra Costa County Employees' Retirement Association's (CCCERA) Pension Costs: • Amortization: The rolling amortization period used by CCCERA helped smooth the exceptional 2008 market losses. • Depooling: Our rates are now calculated solely on our number of employees and retirees and their associated retirement benefit obligation. Rates increased by 4.68% of salary in 2013 -14. -33- • Not all of the depooling costs were recognized in the December 2009 actuarial valuation. Based on the 2009 valuation, our 2011 -12 rates increased by 12.5 %. Then, in the December 2010 actuarial report, the salary enhancement percent of pay was also depooled and changed from 12% to 24% based on District usage trends, driving our depooled rates up by another 13.79% in 2012 -13. • Public pressure to reduce final year salary was addressed by legislative action this year: Public Employees' Pension Reform Act (PEPRA) of 2013. Currently the Contra Costa Superior Court issued an injunction on some PEPRA provisions related to pensionable compensation, mainly regarding the issue of vested rights and current active employees. The financial impact to District CCCERA pension costs won't be known until the conclusion of this court case and any potential appeals. • Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability (UAAL): The bullets above all impact the increase or decrease of our unfunded liability for pension obligation. • Recently ratified District contracts phase -in cost - sharing of normal costs by employees over the 5 year term of the contract. Retire Health Care Costs (GASB- 45 1OPEB) • The most recent actuarial study was performed as of July 1, 2010. The actuarial report as of July 1, 2012 is in process and we should have the results in time for 2013 -14 budgeting. • The Annual Required Contribution (ARC) is currently $8.3 million per year. • Several factors will impact the results of the July 1, 2012 Actuarial Report Accrued Unfunded Liability and ARC: • Implementation of our internal Tier 3 is anticipated to lower the annual contribution to some degree in future years. • Any recent new MOU changes to employee payment of medical premiums will not be included in the July 1, 2012 actuarial calculations because the data used is in the calculation is for employees and retirees on -board as of June 30, 2012. • The large number of retirements in 2011 and 2012 will add to the Unfunded Liability. • The actuaries are lowering the interest rate assumption for our PARS earnings from 6.50% to 6.25% in the July 1, 2012 actuarial report — this will also increase the Unfunded Liability. State Government • California now has one of the lowest credit ratings in the nation. • One more borrowing (suspension) is allowed under Prop 1A in a 10 -year period, and only after the prior suspension has been repaid with interest in 2012 -13. -34- We have contacted Contra Costa County and there has been no correspondence from the State indicating that the Prop 1 A borrowing, which is due for repayment to the District in 2012 -13, will happen this fiscal year. We have a receivable on the books and are assuming we will receive our payment in the 2013 -14 fiscal year. Annual unemployment rates are projected to decrease slightly through 2018. • California still appears to be lagging behind the National Recovery. Housing Market • The poor housing market has impacted the number of new connections, and associated capacity fee and permit fee revenue. New housing start statistics show that the State is anticipating growth in the next few years, but we are using conservative annual new connection estimates of 800 per year. • Lower housing values are lowering property tax to some degree - homeowners are requesting Contra Costa County (CCC) to reassess their property value — property tax revenue has remained almost flat at around $12 million per year. Commercial Sewer Service Charge • Several commercial accounts have gone out of business, decreasing our commercial sewer service charge revenue. Interest Rates • Currently, interest earnings continue at an all -time low of less than 1 %. • Interest earnings on our Funds Available continue to be minimal. Regulatory Exposure • See "Regulatory Impacts" section of this White Paper. FEES AND CHARGES District Code Title 6, Fees and Charges, contains 12 Chapters that define our fees, rates and charges. Of these, the 6 that follow may require periodic updating: Chapter 6.08 — Annexation Charges Chapter 6.12 — Capacity Fee Program Chapter 6.30 — Schedule of Environmental and Development - Related Rates and Charges Chapter 6.34 — Sewer Service Charges Chapter 6.38 — Recycled Water Charges- Landscape Irrigation Chapter 6.40 — Hazardous Waste Handling and Disposal Charges for Conditionally Exempt Small Quantity Generators -35- The focus of the January 24, 2013 Financial Planning Workshop for which this document is being prepared will be on the Sewer Service Charge (SSC), our largest source of revenue. However, our other fees, rates and charges should also be updated periodically to ensure adequate cost recovery. The following is a discussion of staff's recommendation for updating these 6 categories of fees, rates and charges for 2013 -14. Chapter 6.08- Annexation Charges Annexation Charges are intended to recover the administrative and related costs associated with adding new territory to the District. These costs include fees paid to the Contra Costa County Local Agency Formation Commission (LAFCO), the County Surveyor, Elections Department and the State Board of Equalization (SBE), as well as staff time to receive annexation petitions, prepare annexation packages (including maps and parcel descriptions), and administer the process. Based on the staff level of effort and these other costs, Annexation Charges are currently $424 per parcel. These charges generally apply to infill parcels being annexed. Annexations of new subdivisions are billed at cost, by setting up an account and tracking and billing the costs separately. A deposit fee of $2,400 is charged up front for these large annexations. Staff tracks annexation related costs and has concluded that the current Annexation Charge of $424 per parcel is appropriate. Chapter 6.12- Capacity Fee Program Capacity fees, rates and charges are applied to all new connections and for added burdens at existing connections. These fees are called "capital capacity fees" throughout much of this document to reflect the fact that they are dedicated to financing the capital program. The District last updated the Schedule of Capacity Fees, Rates and Charges effective July 2, 2012. The gravity capacity fee is currently $5,797 per residential unit equivalent (RUE). Parcels in pumped zones currently pay an additional $1,625 per RUE for a total of $7,422 per RUE. The capacity fees are based on the total asset value of District facilities, property, and fund balances. The value of appropriate contributed facilities, and assets constructed through our Capital Improvement Program are added to the total asset value each year. Based on this new asset value (net of depreciation and escalation) new capacity fees are calculated. In years when the Capital Program expenditures are reduced, the subsequent increase in capacity fees will be less than in years following large expenditures in the Capital Program. It has been Board policy to annually adjust the capacity fees to ensure that new connections are paying their fair share to buy into District assets. Staff has calculated capacity fee adjustments for 2013 -14 and recommends a 2.3% increase in the gravity capacity fee to $5,930 per residential unit equivalent (RUE) and a 2.3% decrease in the additional fee for the pumped zone to $1,587, which would result in a total capacity fee in pumped service areas of $7,517 per RUE which is a net increase of 1.3 %. The slight decrease -36- in the pumped zone portion of the fee reflects that over the past year depreciation of pumping assets was greater than the addition of new pumping assets. Staff is also exploring the possibility of a formal Leased Capacity Fee program. Such a program would be similar to our current approach for capacity fees charged under a Special Discharge permit. The leasing arrangement would allow business with very high capacity charges to make smaller annual payments while ensuring that the District receives proper compensation for capital assets. Chapter 6.30 - Schedule of Environmental and Development- Related Rates and Charges The Schedule of Environmental and Development Related Rates and Charges was last updated in July 2012. Environmental Rates and Charges The Environmental Rates and Charges are those that apply to our Source Control Program. In early 2006, it became apparent that one of the necessary steps to allow us to meet our ever tightening permit requirements would be permitting of a large number of small businesses. For example, the District recently implemented a mandatory amalgam separator program for all dentists who use or remove amalgam. As part of our strategy for local limits, we are working to reduce the copper in our effluent by regulating the discharge of vehicle maintenance facilities. In recognition of the benefit to all District rate - payers from the increased cost of compliance for these businesses, the Industrial User Permit Application Fees and Permit Fees for Class III Industrial Dischargers were set to zero by the Board effective July 1, 2006. Fees for Class II Industries, Special Discharge Permits and Trucked Waste Haulers have not been adjusted for many years. This year, Source Control staff is reviewing these fees and may recommend adjustments affecting the small number of customers in these categories for Board consideration in March 2013. Development- Related Rates and Charges -Each year, Development - Related Rates and Charges are reassessed based on the tracking of labor, overhead and other costs required for plan review, construction inspection, and CSO- provided, right -of -way and miscellaneous services. For the past several years, a review of the level of effort for these tasks was conducted and adjustments to the fee structure were implemented. Typically, these adjustments include increases, decreases, establishment of new categories and elimination of particular rates and charges. This year, staff is again evaluating the rates and charges based on current levels of effort and overhead and will recommend adjustments, if needed, for the coming fiscal year in March 2013. -37- Chapter 6.34 -Sewer Service Charge The Sewer Service Charge (SSC) rate is the principal discretionary category of District revenue since every connected property pays an annual SSC and the Board can set reasonable rates to meet short- and long -term financial planning objectives subject to the provisions of Proposition 218. The 10 -year strategy for future adjustments to SSC rates will be discussed with the Board at the January 24 Financial Planning Workshop. Chapter 6.38- Recycled Water Charges- Landscape Irrigation On July 1, 2002, a revised recycled water rate structure was put in place to increase the cost recovery for the Recycled Water Program while maintaining rates competitive with users' alternative water supply sources, whether canal or potable water. Further, a 3% escalation clause was incorporated such that rates are automatically increased by 3% on July 1 of each year to attempt to cover the increasing costs of the program. This rate of increase matches that of the Contra Costa Water District and has kept our recycled water rates positioned at approximately 80% of those for canal and potable water, depending on what alternate source of water is available to the recycled water customer. This rate structure will remain in place, with no need for annual updates, until staff or the Board determines that changes would be beneficial to the District. Chapter 6.40- Hazardous Waste Handling and Disposal Charges for Conditionally Exempt Small Quantity Generators (CESQG1 The CESQG charges were updated in March of 2004 to more fairly recover costs from small business participants by adding a $20 dollar drop -off fee per visit to cover administrative costs. In December 2011, the Philips Services Corporation contract for providing hauling, disposal and contract labor expired. However, after a rigorous selection process, they were again selected to continue their services to the District. The terms and conditions of the new contract include a modest increase in cost over the old contract. Staff has evaluated the cost of the CESQG program in light of the new contract as well as other factors to determine if any fee increases are appropriate. Based on current costs, the fees recover nearly 50% of the cost of the CESQG program. However, in order to encourage the use of the CESQG program by small businesses, which have been in many cases severely impacted by the current economic climate, staff recommends that the fees be left as is. This will continue the support of the program by the general rate payer base. This is justifiable since the CESQG program is important in preventing illegal dumping to the sewer which can increase costs for treatment to all rate payers. -38- RENTAL PROPERTY INCOME The District owns various properties adjacent to the treatment plant and the CSO campus. Some of the lands adjacent to the treatment plant and CSO campus were acquired by the District to serve as buffer land or as potential expansion area. Acquiring adjoining land when it became available has been a successful advance planning policy for the District. It has enabled the District to have greater control on land development next to the treatment plant and ensure development has been compatible with District operations. It has also provided land for expansion as in the case with the CSO campus, and has been a source of revenue. In addition to vacant land, the District at times may lease out or license out portions of the collection system right of way if said action does not impact existing facilities or operations. A comprehensive list of District owned land was submitted to the Board at the March 15, 2012, meeting. Below is a condensed list of existing income generating leases for Calendar Year 2012: Annual Revenue From Leases on CCCSD Land (2012) Contra Costa Top Soil .......... ............................... $ 63,660 County Quarry .................... ............................... $ 220,932 4737 Imhoff Place Bay 1B ...... ............................... $ 9,900 4737 Imhoff Place Bay 7 ....... ............................... $16,800 4737 Imhoff Place Bay 8 ...... ............................... $ 13,200 ATT cell site at CSO ............ ............................... $ 17,250 Lagiss.................................... ............................... $ 1,200 CCW D Alum Ponds ........... ............................... $ 156,502 Kiewit Clean Fill (through October) ................... $ 522,272 Annual Revenue From Leases on CCCSD Right of Way (2012) Concord Commerce on 2 "d Ave. South ................. $ 4,230 ITCorp ...................................... ............................... $ 999 Willows Shopping Center ..... ............................... $ 13,976 Equilon................................... ............................... $ 2,916 Total Annual Revenue (2012) ........................... $ 1,043,837 -39- As vacant land for industrial purposes along the Highway 4 corridor and central Contra Costa County becomes scarce, the demand for available land such as that owned by the District will continue to increase. To that end, Real Property staff will be updating the District's master land use plan during the 2013 year. Updating the land use plan will ensure that the District's real estate assets are maximized, minimize liability risk, and preserve land for future District use. SELF - INSURANCE FUND The District has self- insured most of its liability and some of its property risks since July 1, 1986, when the Board approved the establishment of the Self - Insurance Fund (SIF). The SIF has effectively funded District losses since then. In 1994, Government Accounting Standards Board Statement No. 10 (GASB -10) set forth requirements on how public agencies must fund their self- insured risks. To assure compliance with GASB -10, the District restructured the SIF into three sub -funds which are discussed below and on the following page. Financial Impact The General Fund has been supporting the SIF by transferring funds into sub - fund C which then redistributes funds to sub -funds A and B to meet regulatory and financial requirements. In fiscal year 2012 -13 $850,000 was transferred from the General Fund to the SIF. In keeping with the Board's strategy, and as shown in current and prior financial plans, staff recommends transferring $850,000 from the General Fund to the SIF in fiscal year 2013 -14 in order to meet claims, claims expenses and claims reserve expectations. Sub -Fund Discussion SUB -FUND A: GASB -10 Actuarially -based risks. These include general liability and automobile liability risks and claims. Sub -fund A insures these risks based on the District having a $15,000,000 excess liability policy with a $1,000,000 self insured retention (SIR). The District obtains an actuarial review of these self - insured risks every two years to project losses and funding requirements as mandated by GASB -10. The October 2012 actuarial report estimates an expected unpaid liability of $618,000 for sub -fund A risks as of June 30, 2014. However, since the District raised its self- insured retention in 2007, we have increased the sub -fund A reserve to $1,000,000. -40- SUB -FUND B: GASB -10 Non - actuarially -based risks. These include employment and pollution risks. GASB -10 requires that all potential risks, including employment and pollution risks, be adequately funded even though these risks are not actuarially reviewed. These types of losses occur less often than those addressed by sub -fund A. Additionally, loss valuations vary widely from claim to claim but may result in extremely high claims expenses and losses. Since these two factors make accurate loss forecasting difficult, an actuarial study is not required for these risks. However, with guidance from risk management and insurance specialists, the District has maintained sub -fund B at $2,400,000 to fund employment- related and pollution - related risks based on the purchase of the above mentioned excess liability insurance policy and supplemental gap coverages where financially advantageous. These liability policies provide improved coverage for specific pollution and employment related risks but are subject to underlying policy deductibles. SUB -FUND C: Non - GASB -10 risks. This sub -fund covers risk management program insurance premiums, retained property risks, potential losses from uninsurable risks, and the costs of initiating claims and lawsuits against others who have damaged the District. The District established this sub -fund to finance non - GASB -10 risks under our risk management program. Specific costs include: insurance premiums for excess liability policies and insurance premiums for property damage (i. e. fire, explosion, water damage, etc.) for losses above the District's self- insured retention of $250,000. This sub - fund's reserves are used to offset increases in premiums or claims costs and maintain sub -fund A's GASB- 10 required minimum reserve level. SIGNIFICANT LIABILITIES The District has 4 significant liabilities that must be planned for: 1. Accrued Compensated Absence (Terminal Pay) 2. GASB- 45 /OPEB (Retiree Medical, Dental and Life Insurance premiums, present and future) 3. Contra Costa County Employees' Retirement Association (CCCERA) Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability (UAAL) 4. Outstanding Debt The chart below shows the annual amounts of these four liabilities from 2005 -06 through projected 2013 -14. Please note that in 2005 -06, the GASB 45 (OPEB) requirements did not exist so the liability was not calculated or shown. Also, the CCCERA liability is shown in the year it impacts rate - setting, not as of the calendar year of the actuarial report. -41- Liabilities by Type and Fiscal Year $250,000,000 $200,000,000 $150,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 $- 2005.06 2006.07 2007.06 2008.09 2009.10 2010.11 2011.12 2012.13 2013.14 0 Accrued Compensated Absence I GASB 45 OPEB Unfunded Utility O CCCERA Unfunded Liability 0 Outstanding Debt 1. Accrued Compensated Absence Accrued Compensated Absence is the value of employee accruals that will be paid to employees upon termination. These accruals include vacation, sick leave, compensatory time earned and holiday compensatory time earned. Each year, the total liability is adjusted up or down depending on the activity for the year. This balance goes up as employees continue to accrue unused hours and is reduced by employees that either use their hours, or retire and receive payment. Staff predicts that the liability will decrease in future years as Tier 1 employees, generally with larger sick leave and vacation accruals, are almost all retired. Employees can accrue up to two times their annual vacation allowance based on their years of service and can accrue an unlimited number of unused sick leave hours. At termination or retirement, by law, all unused vacation must be paid to the employee. Sick leave is paid to Tier 1 employees at an 85% level. Tier 2 & 3 employees are paid on a sliding scale based on years of service with a maximum payout of 40 %. 2. GASB- 451OPEB (Retiree Medical. Dental and Life Insurance premiums) GASB -45 was implemented requiring public sector employers to make transparent in financial statements any unfunded future liabilities for medical, dental and life insurance premiums, present and future. The current unfunded liability is $80.9 million for 2010 -11 and $77.6 million in 2011 -12. The annual required contribution is $8.3 million per year. This includes retiree healthcare premiums and contributions to the PARS trust. A new actuarial valuation is being prepared as of July 1, 2012. New unfunded liability and annual contribution amounts are not known at this time. -42- 3. CCCERA UAAL (Retirement Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability) The District's portion of the UAAL increased significantly in recent years. • $ 39.8 million as of 12/31/08 for 2010 -11 rate - setting • $ 71.0 million as of 12/31/09 for 2011 -12 rate - setting • $ 99.8 million as of 12/31/10 for 2012 -13 rate - setting • $109.2 million as of 12/31/11 for 2013 -14 rate - setting This is primarily due to de- pooling agencies into separate cost groups. The District's high number of retirees and enhanced benefits increase our pension costs. Additionally, market losses from 2008 were carried forward using CCCERA's five -year smoothing methodology, which also impacts our rates. Approximately 39.8% of the 2010 -11 rate, 52.3% of the 2011 -12 rate, 58.7% of the 2012 -13 rate and 61.2% of the 2013 -14 rate goes to paying down the unfunded liability. The new PEPRA legislation will lower the UAAL for newly hired employees. Vested rights for current active employees is currently under judicial review and the impact is not known. 4. Outstandina Debt The District sold a total of $54 million in both taxable and non - taxable bonds in 2009. The purpose of the sale was to refund the 1998 and 2002 outstanding bonds due to very favorable interest rates and to issue new debt to help fund several large projects included in the Capital Budget. Debt Service payments will be $5.4 million each year for the first 5 years dropping to $3.6 million for the next 9 years and $2.4 million for the remaining 6 years. Outstanding Debt is $48.2 million as of 2011 -12. REGULATORY IMPACTS Treatment Plant The treatment plant must comply with many regulatory requirements in the areas of water quality, air quality, solids management, hazardous materials /waste management, and safe working requirements. Historically, revision to these requirements takes several years so they do not substantially change on a year - to -year basis. However, recent legislative and regulatory actions create a more dynamic regulatory environment for the District's operations involving air emissions and the NPDES Permit for our discharge to Suisun Bay. -43- Air Quality Standards The primary issues associated with regulating the District's air emissions include: Recent decreases in the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for particulate matter < 2.5 microns in diameter (PM2.5)- Implementation of both state and federal regulations to limit emissions of greenhouse gas (GHG). Implementation of new air emission standards for Sewage Sludge Incinerators (SSI) under section 129 of the Clean Air Act (129 Standards). The PM2.5 ambient air limits are established to control the amount of fine particulate matter, <2.5 microns in diameter, in the ambient air. Depending on the actions taken by the Bay Area Air Quality Management District (BAAQMD) in response to this new standard, the District may need to implement capital improvements to the on -site biosolids incinerators within the next 3 to 10 years. Possible early drivers in this process include the potential for the SF Bay Area to be designated as a non - attainment area for PM2.5 standards and /or a finding that the District's emissions of PM2.5 pose a risk to public health. The 30 year old existing air pollution control devices (APCD) on the District's SSIs do not effectively control PM2.5. If the District is required to upgrade the APCD on the existing SSIs with state -of- the -art wet scrubbers and Wet Electrostatic Precipitators (WESPs) to control PM2.5, there will also be increased removal of cyanide, mercury, and other trace pollutants. The outlet water from a state- of -the- art wet scrubber/WESP would need additional side - stream treatment capabilities incorporated to address other pollutants captured (e.g. cyanide, mercury) before reintroducing to the treatment plant processes. The upgraded wet scrubbers/WESP is more energy efficient but the side - stream treatment could increase energy demand and increase GHG emissions addressed below. The regulation of GHG emissions continues to move forward at both the State and Federal level. Currently, GHG emissions in- excess of 25,000 metric tons carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2e) requires a compliance obligation under the Cap and Trade section of California's GHG regulations. The current price for 1 metric ton of CO2e is approximately $15.00. The District actively manages our CO2e emissions to stay under the 25,000 metric ton per year cap with historical CO2e emissions at approximately 24,000 metric tons CO2e. The margin of compliance between the current CO2e emissions and the regulatory threshold is small and will influence the District's operational decision- making for years to come in order to stay under the 25,000 metric ton per year threshold. Failure to stay under the 25,000 metric tons of CO2e per year would result in an annual cost of approximately $400,000 for CO2e allowances. Significant capital improvements or upgrades could result in higher energy demands which could result in the GHG regulatory threshold being exceeded, higher operating costs for alternative biogenic energy sources, or creative capital projects that accomplish energy reductions in other operational units (e.g. upgraded wet scrubbers would require -44- lower energy). Landfill gas continues to be an energy source that does not contribute to the District's CO2e emissions and the projected supply is estimated to be more than 15 years. The SSI regulatory standards are being appealed by National Association of Clean Water Agencies ( NACWA). Preliminary decisions on the SSI rule and other solid waste combustor rules indicate the prospect for NACWA successfully appealing the standards are limited. The District's source test results demonstrated that Furnace 2 can comply with the SSI emission standards and source testing for Furnace 1 is scheduled for March 2013. If Furnace 1 source testing documents compliance with the new standards, no immediate capital improvements to the incinerators will be necessary to meet the new standards. When the SSI standards are implemented, the District will need to monitor the capital expenditures on the incinerators (excluding APCD systems) to determine if improvements exceed 50% of the current value of the original cost. If this threshold in expenditures are exceeded the standards for a new incinerator would apply. Staff will continue to monitor the regulatory developments for the SSI Rule, GHG regulations, and PM 2.5 to determine the potential effects these actions will have on the District's operations. Water Quality Standards The District's NPDES Permit was reissued with an effective date of April 1, 2012. This permit contains new effluent limits for ammonia as expected. The District is able to comply with the new ammonia limits. The permit also requires significant studies to be completed to: ■ Help advance the science of nutrient impact on Suisun Bay. ■ Assess the potential operational improvements to the existing facilities that can reduce ammonia in the District's effluent. ■ Evaluate the potential treatment plant improvements available to the District, both conventional and applicable innovative technologies, to achieve ammonia reduction in the effluent should a lower ammonia limit be established. ■ Complete a site characterization study of the area known as the Surcharge Fill Area which is the likely location to install ammonia treatment equipment should it be necessary. The NPDES Permit is written so the RWQCB could reopen the permit on April 1, 2015 to require further actions to control ammonia in the District's effluent based on the findings of the studies referenced above. Although the permit only requires the studies to address ammonia, the District decided to approach the studies with a broader scope to include nutrient removal. -45- Preliminary research findings indicate that use of conventional nitrification methods to remove ammonia would be inhibited by elevated cyanide concentrations. The cyanide in the District's scrubber water that is currently discharged to the primary effluent is at levels that could cause inhibitory effects. If this technology is pursued, then side - stream treatment of the scrubber water could be needed to avoid this adverse effect. Side - stream treatment of the scrubber water without improving the wet scrubber system could increase energy demand levels that would exceed the GHG regulatory threshold referenced above, or require the District to increase the import of high priced power from PG &E. Concurrent with the studies identified above, significant work is being performed in the SF Bay region and upstream in the Sacramento River delta regarding potential effects of ammonia and nutrients on the health of the bay /delta system. The findings from the scientific efforts completed to date to characterize the role of ammonia and nutrients on impacts to the health of the SF Bay region are inconclusive within the scientific community. The District and other wastewater dischargers will need to continue to contribute funding for ongoing and future studies to ensure that sound science is available to inform the regulatory decision - making associated with ammonia and nutrients. If the District is required to design and construct expanded treatment facilities to remove ammonia and /or nutrients from the effluent, the capital expenditures are significant. The previous financial plan included $70 million for ammonia removal project within the next 10 years which needs to be retained until the studies are completed. The Plan also includes $20 million for remediation of contaminated soils. This budgeted amount may need to be increased if nutrient removal capabilities are included in the planned facility improvements, or if the site characterization study results identify a significantly higher cost to properly dispose of the soil removed from within the Surcharge Fill Area of the treatment plant to complete the facility improvements. Staff will continue to monitor findings from the District sponsored studies and progress on other programs related to ammonia and nutrients to determine the effect on the District's operations and planning. Control of Pollutant Sources In addition to ammonia and nutrients, contaminants of emerging concerns (CECs; including pesticides, pharmaceuticals, health care products) can become significant drivers of major revisions to the treatment plant over the next 10 to 15 years. The State Water Board is processing a Toxicity Policy that could significantly change how Toxicity monitoring and compliance is conducted in NPDES Permits. The District appears to be able to comply with the new standards depending on how the SF Bay RWQCB implements this new policy. If the District violates the proposed new toxicity limits, CECs are anticipated to be the likely cause of such measured toxicity. Increased operating costs will be -46- required to investigate the potential cause of the measured toxicity and capital improvements may be required if the District is not able to control the identified source of the toxicity through other means. Another possible area of concern includes the potential for increased liability from discharges of pollutants to the environment from customers connected to the District's collections system. The District is currently in litigation involving a release of chlorinated solvents (perchloroethylene or "perc ") from a dry cleaning facility in Pleasant Hill to the soil and groundwater. Depending on how the SF Bay RWQCB responds to the attempts by attorneys for the land owner to include the District as a Responsible Party in the investigation and clean -up of this case, exposure to potential significant future liability from similar releases of pollutants could be expanded. Collection System In the mid -1990s and early 2000s, federal and state agencies started to focus on monitoring and preventing sanitary sewer overflows from Collection Systems. While federal efforts have lagged, California has taken a leading role in curbing Sanitary Sewer Overflows (SSOs). In 2006, the State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) adopted Statewide General Waste Discharge Requirements for Sanitary Sewer Systems. These general requirements are included as part of the District's NPDES Permit. In addition to requirements for managing collection systems, this order sets monitoring and reporting requirements for SSOs. SSO data collected by the SWRCB will be the basis for future requirements aimed at further preventing and reducing SSOs. Of continuing concern are regulatory requirements related to maintenance of private sewer laterals. Currently, the District is not responsible for maintenance of sewer laterals. There have been previous efforts to have public agencies accept responsibility for sewer laterals instead of homeowners and business owners. On January 7, 2013, the SWRCB released new Draft SSO Monitoring and Reporting Requirements, which include voluntary reporting by public agencies of private lateral overflows. Possible future requirements to maintain sewer laterals would have a significant impact on both the District's Capital Improvement Plan and the Operations and Maintenance Budget. Federal agencies have been evaluating infiltration /inflow (1 /1) reduction as a way of reducing SSOs. The District experiences 1/1 into the Collection System during the winter, which in turn increases the flows to the treatment plant. If the flow is greater than the treatment capacity, a portion of the flow is bypassed to holding basins, and then later treated when the treatment plant flows recede. Most treatment plants do not have this storage capacity. The EPA may push nationwide or statewide programs to reduce 1/1 from Collection Systems. A mandated 1/1 reduction program could have a significant impact on the District's Capital Improvement Plan. -47- UTILITIES & CHEMICALS Utilities The total utility budget for 2012 -13 is $3,581,000 or approximately 15% of the operations and maintenance budget for the treatment plant. The District continuously monitors treatment plant energy usage to ensure efficient and cost - effective operations. In addition, several energy -use studies have been completed to evaluate energy use in the plant and identified possible energy saving opportunities. Also, energy usage is a major consideration in the planning and design of treatment plant projects to expand or modify facilities in the future. The largest component of the utility budget is natural gas (76% of budget) which is used primarily in the cogeneration system and to a lesser degree in the multiple hearth furnaces and auxiliary boilers. Landfill Gas (14% of budget) is used in the furnaces and auxiliary boilers. The price of landfill gas (LFG) is tied to the price of natural gas, which under the current contract is priced at 75 percent the burner tip price of natural gas. In addition, the LFG price has a cap of $4.60 per decatherm and a floor of $2.60 per decatherm. Lastly, electrical costs represent less than 10% of the utility budget. The District operates a high- efficiency cogeneration system that produces approximately 90% of the treatment plant's electrical energy needs. At current natural gas prices (approximately $4.50 per decatherm prepurchase costs, not including delivery) the cogeneration system saves the District more than one million dollars per year over the cost of purchasing energy from Pacific Gas and Electric. Imported electricity costs from PG &E are approximately $0.32 per kilowatt hour. The recent shutdown of the cogeneration system following the explosion on March 29, 2012 through October 5, 2012 affected 2011 -12 utility costs and will also affect 2012 -13 costs. The additional energy costs associated with the cogeneration outage are estimated to be over $1.0 million spread over two fiscal years. Improvements are planned for the cogeneration system to upgrade the control and fuel systems. Similarly, Acme Fill (Bulldog Gas and Power) the LFG supplier, is planning improvements to install new gas wells and a new gas compressor for more efficient and reliable landfill gas delivery. Natural gas prices have dropped substantially in recent years, due to an abundance of gas resulting from the development of hydraulic fracturing. The District's natural gas consultant (Valtech Energy Management) predicts that prices will remain flat or will increase slowly over the next several. District Staff have prepurchased 85% of calendar year 2013 natural gas needs at an average price of $4.40 per Decatherm. This price is significantly lower that the 10 year -48- average price of $6.60 per decatherm. Since LFG is indexed to the price of natural gas, its price is similarly low. Chemicals Chemical costs for fiscal year 2012 -2013 are projected to be $1,431,000, or five percent of the treatment plant operations and maintenance budget for the treatment plant. The major chemical costs are as follows: • Lime (sludge pH control) $206,000 • Polymer (sludge conditioning for dewatering) $485,000 • Sodium Hypochlorite (odor control /bulking sludge control) $308,000 • Hydrogen Peroxide (odor control) $54,000 Over the past 10 years, lime costs have increased at about 10% per year, polymer 3.5% per year, hypochlorite 0.4% per year, and the Other Chemicals account, which is mainly hydrogen peroxide, 3.3% per year. Chemical production and delivery to the customer are energy intensive. As the world economics continue to recover from an economic slowdown, upside pressure on chemical prices will increase. As such, the overall chemical cost escalation is projected to be approximately five percent per year. The District has historically used carbide lime for sludge pH control. Carbide lime is a waste product from the production of acetylene. With lower acetylene production and shifting production locations, the quantity of carbide lime has diminished resulting in the purchase of more costly slaked lime. If this trend continues lime costs could escalate beyond the above projections. -49- Central Contra Costa Sanitary District December 6, 2012 TO: BOARD OF DIRECTORS VIA: ANN E. FARRELL, GENPkAL MANAGER FROM: ANDREW ANTKOWI WAPITAL PROJECTS DIVISION MANAGER SUBJECT: REVIEW PRELIMINARY 2013 TEN -YEAR CAPITAL PLAN AND FISCAL YEAR 2013 -14 CAPITAL BUDGET RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that the Board support the preliminary expenditures for the Capital Budget and Plan as proposed in this memo. Setting a conceptual budget for capital expenditures resolves one variable and simplifies the financial planning process. These figures are then used as District staff more fully develop and refine financial planning scenarios based on current information on operations and maintenance costs. The content of the Capital Budget and Plan will be discussed at the Capital Planning Workshop on December 20, 2012. Due to the substantial capital funding deficit we are currently experiencing, the calculated rate increases for the next several years are on the order of 8% per year to allow for a capital component of the sewer service charge that will bring capital revenue back in line with planned capital expenditures. Rates will be examined in more detail as part of the Financial Planning Workshop on January 24 which will incorporate all District expenses and revenues and make ten -year rate setting projections for Board consideration. The goal of this two phase financial planning process is to inform the Board of the District financial situation and reach Board consensus on the language for a Proposition 218 notice regarding a rate increase, ideally by the first meeting in March (March 7, 2013) in order to meet the noticing deadlines. BACKGROUND In preparation for the first fiscal year (FY) 2013 -14 Capital Planning Workshop on December 20, 2012, staff has summarized the material we will be covering in this memo. Much of this information, with additional detail, will be reviewed with the Board Capital Projects Committee on December 11, 2012. We routinely hold a Capital Planning Workshop in the fall to set an estimated dollar amount for our capital program for the following ten years. We have found this approach to be very helpful in narrowing the scenarios and considerations for the winter Financial Planning Workshop (to be held January 24, 2013). By fixing the level of capital expenditures, which comprise approximately 30 - 35 percent of District overall spending, depending on the size of the Capital Budget that year, the possible budgeting scenarios become more refined and understandable. If the scenarios in January lead to some concerns about capital revenue and expenditures, adjustments can be made at that time and can be incorporated into the draft Capital Improvement Budget and Plan, which is brought to the Board in a second FY 2013 -14 Capital Planning Workshop in April. Page 1 't HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE As our District assets age, renovation and replacement is necessary to keep them functioning properly. For budgeting purposes, the amount of annual investment in renovation and replacement must be estimated. In January 2000, staff developed and recommended a baseline for investment in our capital facilities which assumed replacement of all assets every one hundred years. This equates to a reinvestment rate of 1% of the estimated replacement value. At that time, the total replacement value of our facilities was estimated at $2.1 billion and therefore the annual investment was set at $21 million. This target amount has been increased for inflation at 3% per year and has reached approximately $31 million in 2013 dollars for FY 2013 -14. Since January 2000, staff has invested significant resources in developing more sophisticated asset management programs for the collection system and treatment plant to provide the data for a more rigorous assessment of the appropriate baseline budgetary figure for asset renovation and replacement. These investigations support an annual investment of approximately 1 % of replacement value as a reasonable amount for the collection system. In fact, due to the relatively good condition of our system and limited number of line segments needing capacity upgrades, we have been able to include the known renovation and capacity needs for the collection system in the 1 % target budget amount as well as selected collection system capacity improvements. The annual investment rate for mechanical equipment /pressure piping systems /electrical equipment at the treatment plan and pumping stations is more difficult to estimate. Staff continues to better define this reinvestment rate. Work to date suggests a renovation budget rate of 1 % of replacement value for the treatment plant and pumping stations is an appropriate minimum funding levels for the Ten -Year Capital Improvement Plan. The historical District philosophy for funding ongoing renewal and replacement has been to do so out of ongoing capital revenues sources rather than bond financing. Bond financing has been limited and has been reserved for large one -time projects which benefit all rate payers, existing and future, and can logically be funded by spreading the payments over current and future rate payers. Using this philosophy, the ongoing renewal and replacement targeted expenditures of $31 million per year in 2013 dollars should be funded from annual revenue receipts and this should be the minimum level of funding for the capital program. As introduced above, expenditures for significant projects to increase capacity or address changing regulations or construct recycled water projects should be viewed as in addition to the budget for renovation, renewal and replacement. For several years in the recent past, budgeted expenditures for needed capacity and regulatory projects were increased to take advantage of increased revenues from a number of sources, principal among them being capacity fees for new connections. However, more recently, revenues have significantly decreased and the size of the capital program has been reduced. A number of the projects that had been initiated when revenues were higher were ready for construction. These projects targeted needed reliability, capacity and building improvements that had been contemplated for many years. They included the Solids Handling Improvements to allow hauling of sludge in the event of incinerators being out of service, and Dry/Wet Weather Improvements to allow bypass to Walnut Creek when the outfall is being inspected and when outfall capacity is exceeded and the wet storage ponds are full. Page 2 Also included were Standby Power Improvements to replace the old engine generators that were unreliable and finally a new Collection System Operations Department Administration, Crew and Warehouse facility. In early 2009, staff recommended and the Board concurred that bonds netting $30 million should be sold to enable completion of these needed projects. Staff is happy to report that these needed projects have been essentially completed at this time and very cost effectively, given the extremely competitive bid climate over the last several years. The following Figure 1 shows historical District capital expenditures since 1990 -91. Annual capital spending has ranged from a low of $17 million in FY 1996 -97 to a high of $40 million in FY 2006 -07 (in actual dollars). This wide variation has been due to the conscious effort to defer needed projects in the late 1990's during a period of no rate increases and in FYs 2001 -02 through 2003 -04, when the permanent loss of ad valorem tax was feared, and then escalate projects when the revenue picture improved with rapid build -out of the Dougherty Valley and associated capacity fees. In 2002, bonds were issued for approximately $16.5 million to supplement capital revenue and fund construction of some capacity improvements needed to serve the Dougherty Valley area of San Ramon in advance of receiving the capacity fees generated upon connection of the completed homes and businesses. Those fees peaked in FY 2004 -05 when there were almost 2000 new connections in the Dougherty Valley alone. The Ten -Year Capital Plan was developed based partially on anticipated revenues from the Dougherty Valley. The following property tax and capacity fee trend, Figure 2, shows the extreme variability of these two sources of capital revenue over the years. As development slowed and the economy deteriorated, anticipated revenues did not materialize. Capital revenues are collected and held in the Sewer Construction Fund (SCF). The SCF balance is an important tool in funding daily District operations. In addition to funding the capital program, the SCF balance is used to meet the cash flow needs of the District. The District receives its sewer service charge and property tax revenue from the County two times per year. In between the two revenue receipts, the District must pay its bills from the funds on hand. Based on the current District operating and maintenance and capital budgets, a SCF balance of approximately $30 to $35 million is necessary to pay the bills between revenue receipts. The SCF balance was projected to fall below the needed level in early 2009 if we continued the capital program at its budgeted level. Therefore, as noted above, a net $30 million in bonds were sold to allow continuing with construction of needed projects in the very favorable bidding climate. The only capital revenue source completely within the control of the District is the capital component of the sewer service charge. The capital component of the sewer service charge had been sharply reduced in recent years to reduce increases in the overall sewer service charge amount and still fund needed operation and maintenance activities. Last year the Board approved a two -year rate increase of $30 each year, a portion of which was designated to renew the funding of the capital program. Unfortunately, the majority of the two -year $30 per year rate increase was allocated to operations and maintenance costs to avoid deficit spending in that budget and the capital program continued to be significantly underfunded. A table showing the sewer service charge components for the last thirteen years follows. Page 3 Figure 1 CENTRAL CONTRA COSTA SANITARY DISTRICT ANNUAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES FISCAL YEARS 1990 - 2012 (,000 omitted) 90.91 91.92 92.93 93.94 94.95 95.96 96 -97 97.98 98.99 99.00 00.01 01.02 02.03 03.04 04.05 05.06 06.07 07.08 08 -09 09.10 10.11 11.12 Treatment Plant 6,856 4,369 11,237 22,685 12,835 10,409 5,723 7,304 6,721 9,768 11.007 4,832 4,353 5,542 5,211 7,341 9,221 9,722 9.325 10,296 9,297 7,024 Collection System 13,729 8,834 9,931 16,011 16,342 14,795 8,555 12,944 18,023 6,603 14,387 24,556 19,568 12,385 19,536 18,581 24,281 23,128 20,967 12,832 8,801 12,348 General Improvements 1,106 5,031 1,454 (1,495) 2,848 6,078 1,792 (68) 500 3,901 1.504 1.732 1,302 1,505 1,552 2,087 5,976 308 5,847 5.044 9,134 4,640 Recycled Water 177 346 600 857 4,254 422 303 1,271 259 216 349 194 (338) 162 205 569 937 730 745 In Actual Dollars 21,691 18,234 22,622 37.378 32.371 31,882 16,927 24,434 25,666 20,575 28,169 31,379 25,439 19,781 26,493 27,671 39,640 33,363 36.708 29,109 27,962 24,757 Adjusted by 3 %/Year 40,352 32,933 39,668 63,634 53.504 51,161 26,372 36,959 37,691 29,335 38.992 42,171 33,192 25,058 32,583 33,041 45,954 37,550 40,112 30,882 28,801 24,757 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 Annual Capital Expenditures 90 -91 91 -92 92 -93 93 -94 94 -95 95 -96 96 -97 97 -98 98 -99 99 -00 00 -01 01 -02 02 -03 03 -04 04 -05 05 -06 06 -07 07 -08 08 -09 09 -10 10 -11 11 -12 -In Actual Dollars - Adjusted by 3 %/Year Page 4 Figure 2 $14,000,000 $12,000,000 $10,000,000 $8,000,000 $6,000,000 $4,000,000 $2,000,000 Property Tax and Capacity Fee Trends crsHr, lax annt measam rim i ransa village connections N M LO (0 r- 00 O O N M It u7 (0 r- 00 0) O N_ O O) O O O d) O O O O O O O O O O O r r N M 't LO (O n 00 m O N M (!� CO r 00 m O r m 0) 0) 0) 0) m O 0 O O O O O O O O O O O m d) D) O D) 01 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O N N N N N N N N N N N N ---*---Property Tax —*—Connection Fees Page 5 ANNUAL SERVICE CHARGE PER RUE Fiscal Year Operations Component Capital Component Total Sewer Service Charge per RUE 2000 -01 $185 $15 $200 2001 -02 $204 $20 $224 2002 -03 $207 $41 $248 2003 -04 $218 $54 $272 2004 -05 $204 $76 $280 2005 -06 $234 $46 $280 2006 -07 $213 $76 $289 2007 -08 $242 $58 $300 2008 -09 $260 $51 $311 2009 -10 $292 $19 $311 2010 -11 $300 $11 $311 2011 -12 $302 $39 $341 2012 -13 $344 $27 $371 PROJECTED FISCAL YEAR 2012 -13 EXPENDITURES /R EVEN UES /SCF BALANCE For the current FY 2012 -13, expenditures were budgeted to significantly exceed revenue. This was a conscious decision to deficit spend and utilize the $30 million in bond funds that had been deposited in the Sewer Construction Fund to complete specific projects, such as Standby Power Improvements, Sludge Hauling Improvements, Dry/Wet Weather Bypass Improvements and the Collection System Operations Department Facility, when the bid climate was favorable. The following tables show the budgeted expenditures and revenues for FY 2012 -13 and the resultant cash flow and sewer construction fund balance. 2012 -13 CAPITAL PROGRAM EXPENDITURES BUDGETED Treatment Plant Program $7.4 million Collection System Program $13.7 million General Improvements Program $7.3 million Recycled Water Program $3.9 million Total Expenditures $32.3 million 2012 -13 CAPITAL PROGRAM REVENUE BUDGETED Facilities Capacity Fees $4.5 million Pumped Zone Fees $.6 million Interest $.4 million Sewer Service Charges $4.4 million Property Taxes $7.5 million Reimbursements from Concord $3.8 million Reimbursements from others $.6 million Total Revenues $21.8 million Page 6 2012 -13 CAPITAL PROGRAM CASH FLOW BUDGETED Total expenditures $32.3 million Total revenue $21.8 million Variance -$10.5 million SCF Balance 6/30/13 $35.8 million As part of past debt financing, the District has pledged revenues to first pay debt obligations. Second, revenue is assigned to operations and maintenance costs, including the self insurance fund. Lastly, revenues are available for the Capital Improvement Program. As discussed above, the District draws on the SCF balance to fund its operation and maintenance functions as well as the capital program. The cash flow needs for this self - funding dictate that the Sewer Construction Fund balance be maintained between $30 -$35 million. FY 2013 -14 will start with an estimated balance of $35.8 million, only slightly greater than the minimum funds required to meet District cash flow needs. Thus, a significant sewer service charge increase will be needed to continue to fund the capital program at the historical and recommended level of 1 % of asset value or approximately $31 million per year. DISCUSSION OF PROJECTED SEWER SERVICE CHARGE INCREASES NEEDED TO FUND RECOMMENDED 2013 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN The sewer service charge was increased significantly over the last year two years. Unfortunately, increases in the unfunded liability for pensions have resulted in higher operating costs and the majority of the two year increase went to fund operating expenses. Thus, limited funds were available to allocate to the capital component of the sewer service charge and the capital funding deficit remains. The following two figures demonstrate 1) the deficit spending that has occurred in the capital program and the resultant spending down of the sewer construction fund - Figure 3, and 2) the increasing operations and maintenance component of the sewer service charge while the capital component has remained flat - Figure 4. Page 7 Figure 3 N C 0 c Capital Program Has Been Deficit Spending Since FY 2004 -05 $70.0 $65.6 $30 M Net Bond Sale (Nov /Dec 2009) $60.0 -$56.9 $57.3 $55.2 Sewer Construction Fund $53.8 $51.8 $51.7 $52.1 Balance $50.0 $47.8 $44.3 $46.3 $45.4 $45.0 $40.0 $35.8 Annual Expense $33.5 $32.3 $30.2 $30.0 29. $24.8 Annual Reven AOF $26.2 $20.0 $10.0 $0.0 1999 -00 2000 -01 2001 -02 2002.03 2003 -04 2004 -05 2005 -06 2006 -07 2007 -08 2008 -09 2009 -10 2010 -11 2011 -12 2012 -13 Budget 2013 -14 2014.15 Recommended --dr-Annual Revenue $21.6 $18.9 $17.0 $23.5 $28.2 $30.0 $24.8 $36.3 $35.3 $28.4 $21.9 $15.8 $21.7 $21.9 $24.0 $29.5 tAnnual Expense $20.6 $28.2 $31.4 $25.4 $19.8 $26.5 $27.7 $39.6 $33.4 $36.7 $29.1 $28.0 $24.8 $32.3 $29.6 $26.2 -qb-*SCF Balance' $56.9 1 $47.8 1 $44.3 1 $45.4 1 $53.8 $57.3 1 $55.2 1 $51.8 $51.7 1 $45.0 $65.6 $52.1 $46.3 $35.8 $30.2 $33.5 'SFC Balance is not strictly governed by checkbook accounting and may not strictly represent the sum of prior year balance and current year variance. Page 8 Figure 4 Sewer Service Charge Revenues Diverted from Capital Program to Balance District O &M Budget Need to be Replenished $500 $450 $433 $402 Total Charge per RUE $400 $371 $341 $350 $311 $311 $311 $300 $344 $353 $354 $300 $280 $28 $289 $272 0 $248 $300 $302 $250 $224 $200 Operations Component $200 $150 $100 $76 $79 $58 Capital Program Component $49 $50 $51 $39 $27 $19 $11 $0 2000 -01 2001 -02 2002 -03 2003 -04 2004 -05 2005 -06 2006 -07 2007 -08 2008 -09 2009 -10 2010 -11 2011 -12 2012 -13 2013 -14 2014 -15 Preliminary Preliminary Page 9 Based on expenditures of approximately $31 million per year for renovation, renewal, replacement and known capacity projects; approximately 166,000 residential unit equivalents paying sewer service charge; and revenue from other sources of approximately $17 million; the capital component would need to be $84 to fully fund the capital program as compared to the current capital component of $27. Thus, an increase of approximately $57 is needed in sewer service charges just to bring the capital program out of the deficit spending mode. Assuming a two year increase, this is approximately $29 per year. Preliminary calculations using the Districts rate - setting model inclusive of operating and maintenance costs and with capital expenditures less than $31 million in the first two years of the plan, indicate rate increases of approximately $31 per year for the next several years will be needed. Based on this very preliminary information, rates would need to increase from the current $371 per year to $402 per year in FY 2013 -14 and $433 in FY 2014 -15. The District would remain substantially below the FY 2012 -13 median of agencies surveyed of $492 even with these increases. A Proposition 218 notice for two consecutive rate increases of approximately $31 each year would need to be sent out by mid April to notice such a proposed increase. In order to prepare the mailer in time, a Board decision on a two year rate increase will be needed at the March 7, 2013 Board meeting if possible or the March 21, 2013 Board meeting at the latest. ANNUAL SERVICE CHARGE PER RUE Fiscal Year Operations Component Capital Component Total Sewer Service Charge per RUE 2006 -07 $213 $76 $289 2007 -08 $242 $58 $300 2008 -09 $260 $51 $311 2009 -10 $292 $19 $311 2010 -11 $300 $11 $311 2011 -12 $302 $39 $341 2012 -13 $344 $27 $371 Prelim 2013 -14 $353 $49 $402 $31 increase Prelim 2014 -15 $354 $79 $433 ($31 increase) These sewer service charge increase figures are preliminary and will be refined for the January 24, 2013 Financial Planning Workshop. The FY 2013 Capital Plan and FY 2013 -14 Capital Budget are described in the following pages and are based on the recommended continued level of funding and assume a rate increase of the magnitude discussed above. Page 10 RECOMMENDED 2013 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN FY 2013 -14 TO FY 2022 -23 The proposed 2013 Ten -Year Capital Improvement Plan is summarized in the following, Table 5. It contains a moderate baseline plan of $253 million in improvements over the next ten years. The baseline program addresses needed reliability, capacity and building improvement projects, including renovating 100% of the high priority defective sewers identified to date, and provides $11.8 million to address needed seismic improvements and $12.5 million for improvements to the sludge dewatering equipment and multiple hearth incinerators. Recent studies of our solids handling technology have concluded that it is a good investment to improve our current facilities and extend their life by 10 to 20 years before deciding upon a new solids handling technology. However, no money has been budgeted for seismic retrofit of the existing solids conditioning building. Because it is likely that we will convert to another solids handling technology, such as fluidized bed incinerators, in 10 to 20 years, a significant investment in seismic retrofit of the existing incinerator building is not recommended. In addition to the $253 million baseline, the total $365 million Ten -Year Capital Plan includes $20 million to remediate contaminated soils in the area where new nitrification facilities would be located and $70 million to construct nitrification facilities. It also includes $7 million for removal of screenings from the wastewater stream to reduce downstream operational issues and a $6 million allowance for alternative energy to either replace our existing cogeneration system or convert to solar energy. Finally, in the tenth year of the plan, $4 million is budgeted to begin permitting /pre- design of a new fluidized bed incinerator and $5 million to begin planning /pre- design to replace our ultraviolet disinfection system with ozone, to better treat for contaminants of emerging concern. Funding for the $365 million Ten -Year Capital Plan is from traditional sources of capital revenue, including property taxes, capacity fees and contributions from the City of Concord. Any funding deficit must be made up by increasing the sewer service charge capital component or by selling bonds. As noted previously in the memo, significant rate increases are needed over the next several years to restore the capital component of the sewer service charge to a sustainable level. Projections of the needed increases in the sewer service charge capital component to fund the recommended Ten -Year Capital Plan will be further discussed with the Capital Projects Committee on December 11 and with the full Board at the December 20, 2012 Capital Budget Workshop. Page 11 Table 5 Proposed Ten -Year Capital Improvement Plan Page 12 2013 -14 2014 -15 2015 -16 2016 -17 2017 -18 2018 -19 2019 -20 2020 -21 2021 -22 2022 -23 Total Treatment Plant Reg. compliance/ Planning/Safety Planning/Safety 605,000 481,000 571,000 320,000 2,765,000 10,915,000 28,165,000 24,370,000 27,145,000 12,990,000 108,327,000 One -Time Renovation 7,627,0001 8,845,000 5,102,000 12,145,000 6,420,000 80,000 80,0001 80,000 80,000 280,000 40,739,000 Recurring Renovation 482,000 720,000 2,520,000 2,470,000 2,550,000 2,950,000 2,950,000 2,850,000 1,850,000 1,900,000 21,242,000 Expansion 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100,000 840,000 940,000 Subtotal 8,714,000 10,046,000 8,193,000 14,935,000 11,735,000 13,945,000 31,195,000 27,300,000 29,175,000 16,010,000 171,248,000 Collection System Renovation 10,601,000 10,151,000 10,601,000 12,501,000 12,114,000 13,451,000 11,031,000 13,151,000 13,080,000 3,451,000 110,132,000 Reg. Compliance/ Planning/Safety Planning/Safety 520,000 270,000 270,000 270,000 270,000 270,000 270,000 170,000 170,000 170,000 2,650,000 Expansion 2,792,000 2,701,000 4,151,000 3,401,000 3,536,000 3,066,000 4,251,0001 3,651,000 2,751,000 11,218,000 41,518,000 Pumping Stations 1,006,000 440,000 135,000 255,000 1,635,000 610,000 1,635,000 635,000 1,915,000 2,935,000 11,201,000 Subtotal 14,919,000 13,562,000 15,157,000 16,427,000 17,555,000 17,397,000 17,187,000 17,607,000 17,916,000 17,774,000 165,501,000 General Improvements Vehicles & Equipment 501,000 501,000 501,000 501,000 501,000 500,000 500,0001 500,000 500,000 500,000 5,005,000 Management Information Systems 1,100,000 550,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 5,650,000 Projects 2,490,000 460,000 470,000 485,000 855,000 480,000 480,000 480,000 480,000 355,000 7,035,000 Subtotal 4,091,000 1,511,000 1,471,000 1,486,000 1,856,000 1,480,000 1,480,000 1,480,000 1,480,000 1,355, 000 17,690,000 Recycled Water Urban Landscaping 1,856,0001 550,000 550,000 550,000 550,000 550,000 550,000 550,000 550,000 2,827,000 9,083,000 Industrial 01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,900,000 1,900,000 Subtotal 1,856,000 550,000, 5-5-0,00-0- 550,000 550,000 550,000 550,000 550,000 550,000 4,727,000 10 983,000 Total 29,580,000 25,669,000! 25,371,000 33,398,0001 31 696,000 33,372 000 50,412 000 46,937,000 49,121,000 39,866,000 365,422,000 Page 12 RECOMMENDED FISCAL YEAR 2013 -14 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT BUDGET The recommended FY 2013 -14 Capital Improvement Budget totals $29.6 million of which $28.1 million is for renewal and replacement and routine capacity improvements. This amount is close to the $31.0 million annual investment recommended to accomplish a once - per -100 year replacement of all District assets. In addition, an expenditure of $1.5 million ($4.4 million total project cost) is budgeted for the Concord Recycled Water Landscape Irrigation Project. Approximately $1 million of this will be reimbursed through a State Proposition 84 grant. The following table breaks down the expenditures by program. FY 2013 -14 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT BUDGET TOTAL Treatment Plant Baseline $ 8.7 million Collection System Baseline $14.9 million General Improvements Baseline* $ 4.1 million Recycled Water Baseline $ 0.4 million Concord Landscape Irrigation $1.5 million Total Baseline $28.1 million Total Baseline + Concord Recycled Water $29.6 million *Includes $1.8 million for one time seismic retrofit projects which are considered renovation and so have been considered baseline but will not be recurring. Staff will be working to develop the detailed budget document using the above preliminary figures as modified by the December 2012 Capital and January 2013 Financial Board Workshops. Many of the projects have already been defined. Others will evolve and emerge as we prepare the budget document over the next few months in anticipation of the second Board Capital Workshop in April 2013, when the detailed draft Capital Improvement Budget is reviewed with the Board. A review of the preliminary 2013 -14 Capital Improvement Budget for major projects and areas of emphasis follows. TREATMENT PLANT PROGRAM Preliminary estimates of baseline expenditures for the FY 2013 -14 Treatment Plant Program can be grouped into two major categories: one time renovation and recurring renovation. Each of the major projects is described briefly after the table. FY 2013 -14 TREATMENT PLANT PROGRAM CATEGORY PROJECT ANNUAL EXPENSE One Time Renovation Primary Treatment Renovation $ 5,000,000 Pump & Blower Building Seismic Imp. $ 850,000 Cogeneration Renovation $ 400,000 Recurring Renovation Piping Renovation Phase 8 $ 100,000 All Other $ 2,364,000 Total Baseline $ 8,714,000 Page 13 Primary Treatment Renovations: Most of the piping and equipment in the Primary Treatment area was installed in the early to mid 1970's and is more than 30 years old. Much of the piping has shown signs of corrosion and some of the process equipment is reaching the end of its service life. This project will replace water and air supply piping, grit handling equipment, scum and grease removal and thickening systems, the electrical system and the sludge collectors /piping /pumping. Pump and Blower Seismic Improvements: The recently completed seismic analysis of treatment plant structures indicated that the Pump and Blower Building (PBB) would sustain significant damage /potential collapse during a major quake on the Concord fault. The PBB houses critical equipment such as the primary and final effluent pumps, aeration air blowers and service air compressors. Treatment plant operations would cease with the loss of any of this equipment. This project will develop a final design /cost to upgrade the building to withstand a major seismic event. Board approval will be sought prior to award of a construction contract for the proposed improvements. Piping Renovations Phase 8: A significant portion of the piping systems on the plant site are over 30 years old and some have already begun to fail. The Piping Renovations Program is systematically evaluating the piping systems and addressing problem areas before pipe failures adversely affect the treatment processes. The Piping Phase 8 project will evaluate and design the next round of piping replacement throughout the treatment plant. COLLECTION SYSTEM PROGRAM The major 2013 -14 projects planned for the proposed $14,919,000 collection system program can be grouped into five categories: renovations to existing sewers, pumping stations, developer services, capacity /renovation driven projects, and Contractual Assessment Districts (CAD's). A description of the major programs /projects follows the table of estimated expenditures. FY 2013 -14 COLLECTION SYSTEM PROGRAM CATEGORY PROJECT ANNUAL EXPENSE Renovation program North Orinda Ph 5, Lafayette Ph 8, $ 10,601,000 Diablo Renovation Ph 2, Walnut Creek Ph 10, Concrete and Corrugated Pipe Renovation, TV inspection and others Capacity /Renovations Grayson Creek Trunk in Pleasant $ 1,600,000 Hill Pumping Stations Moraga Pumping Station Grinder, $ 600,000 Buchanan South Pumping Station Removal Developer services Developer Services $ 681,000 Contractual Current CADs — Harper Lane, Assessment Districts Willow Drive $ 500,000 All others $ 2,137,000 Total $14,919,000 Page 14 Renovation Program: The renovation program continues the District's efforts to renovate /replace sewers identified by the TV Program as being in poor condition. This year's renovation program focuses on North Orinda, Diablo, Walnut Creek, and Lafayette where approximately 35,000 feet of sewer mains will be renovated /replaced. In addition, design and right -of -way acquisition efforts for next year's program will commence. The Concrete and Corrugated Metal (CM) Pipe Renovation Project (2013 CIPP Lining project) will install approximately 6,300 feet of cured in place pipe in concrete and CM pipe ranging in size from 18 to 42 inches. The majority of the concrete pipe to be renovated is downstream of force mains that comprise the Martinez Pump system. The CM pipe was installed in the 1950's in Walnut Creek and recent CCTV work has shown extensive corrosion. Capacity /Renovations: In May 2010, the update of the Collection System Master Plan was completed and a list of priority capacity replacement projects was developed. The first of the identified projects, the new trunk sewer in Pleasant Hill Road near Acalanes High School in Lafayette, was completed in fiscal year 2011 -12. The design of the Pleasant Hill Grayson Creek Trunk project started in fiscal year 2012 -13 and will continue in the 2013 -14 with construction in fiscal year 2014 -15. The Pleasant Hill Grayson Creek Trunk project will install approximately 5600 feet of 18 to 24 inch line in Pleasant Hill between the intersection of Pleasant Hill Road and Mercury Way to the Pleasant Hill Relief Interceptor in Ardith Drive. Pumping Stations: The focus of this program for FY 2013 -14 is implementing minor improvements at District's pumping stations. The Moraga Pumping Station has consistent problems with ragging. To improve the maintenance and operation of this station a project to add grinders and /or other equipment needed to alleviate the ragging problem will be designed and constructed during this fiscal year. The decommissioning of the Buchanan South pumping station is also planned. With some rerouting of sewers, this small pumping station can be eliminated. Developer Services: This project provides for appropriate capitalization of District force account labor and other expenses for planning, design, and construction of developer installed and contributed main sewer facilities in FY 2013 -14. Contractual Assessment Districts (CAD): The CAD program provides a financing mechanism for property owners to extend public sewers into areas which are currently served by septic systems. The program requires participating property owners to fund the cost for the non - participating property owners. The participating property owners can elect to have the District finance their costs and pay them back over a ten -year period with interest. The District has funded 24 CAD's using this approach over the years and has already been paid back the majority of the funds, with interest. Based on staff's knowledge of potential CAD's in the service area, a budget of $500,000 per year or $5 million over the ten -year plan has been suggested. Page 15 GENERAL IMPROVEMENTS PROGRAM General Improvements in FY 2013 -14 are proposed at $ 4,091,000 and will include the traditional equipment budget, information technology budget and items associated with miscellaneous District facilities. The largest proposed expenditure is the $1.8 million budgeted for construction of seismic retrofit of the District Headquarters Office Building (HOB). In order to facilitate construction staff will be relocated to other buildings at the treatment plant site in Martinez, and a leased office building in Concord. Staff will use the opportunity of an empty building to construct general improvements. These general improvements include new carpet, painting, installing recycled water to the restrooms and other minor upgrades. The General Improvements Program also recommends significant investment in Information Technology (IT) next year. $500,000 has been budgeted for general IT development. Staff will be seeking Board input on the types of improvements they would like to see as we assess the state of the industry and where the District needs to go to be a leader in the use of technology. Staff is also planning to upgrade and modernize the existing geographic data integration (GDI) system which is used to display our collection system maps and link them to a variety of databases within the District. As part of this project, staff is researching a replacement for our collection system maintenance scheduling software. The goal is to have a real -time scheduling system which will support wireless field applications and real -time workflow routing for collection system operations crews. A budget of $600,000 is recommended for the GDI /maintenance scheduling modernization project. RECYCLED WATER PROGRAM Recycled Water Program spending includes the baseline budget needed for recycled water planning and continued implementation of cost - effective Pleasant Hill Zone 1 connections. This planning includes funds for staff time and consultant and lobbying efforts to continue to pursue Title 16 funding for the Concord Landscape Irrigation project construction as well as pursue partners and support for a large -scale recycled water project to serve the Martinez refineries. The baseline also includes $100,000 for the District share of the Feasibility Study for the Martinez Refinery Project, for which we recently received Title 16 funding. In addition to the baseline, $1.5 million ($4.4 million total project cost) is budgeted for construction of the Concord Landscape Irrigation project. The District will receive a reimbursement of approximately $1 million from State Proposition 84 funds to construct this project. Page 16 RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that the Board support the preliminary expenditures for the Capital Budget and Plan as proposed in this memo. Setting a conceptual budget for capital expenditures resolves one variable of the financial planning process. These figures are then used as District staff more fully develops and refines financial planning scenarios as they gather current information on operations and benefits costs. Finally, a comprehensive rate planning document is prepared for distribution to the Board in mid January and will be discussed at a workshop on January 24, 2013. This year's financial planning process is particularly important as there is no Proposition 218 notice in place and the Board will need to make a decision regarding future rate increases by early to mid March to allow for proper Proposition 218 noticing to occur. The December Capital Budget Workshop discussion is the first step in this process. Following the January Financial Planning Board Workshop and after a determination on funding levels and future rate increases is made, the Capital Budget and Plan expenditure figures can be finalized and the comprehensive Capital Budget and Plan developed for Capital Projects Committee and full Board consideration in April. Page 17 Item 10.a.) 2013 -14 Capital Improvement Budget and Plan December 20, 2012 Board Meeting k Central Contra Costa Sanitary District Kick -off FY 2013 -14 Financial Planning • No Proposition 218 Notice in Place • Significant increase in Capital Component of Sewer Service Charge needed to fund Capital Program • Today's meeting reviews proposed Capital Program Expenditures for FY 2013 -14 and next nine years • Reviewed similar presentation at the Capital Projects Committee meeting on December 11, 2012 • Combined Operation & Maintenance and Capital Planning Ten Year Plan Financial Workshop January 24, 2013 • Board agreement on language for Proposition 218 notice needed by early to mid March to meet printing /mailing timelines 4 Sewer Service Charge is Critical Funding $637,000 Source for Capital Program FY 2012 -13 CAPITAL REVENUES BUDGETED Facility Capacity Fees $4,417,000 Pumped Zone Fees $637,000 Interest Sewer Construction Fund $350,000 Property Taxes (Net after debt paid) $7,534,000 Sewer Service Charge ($27 capital component) $4,430,000 Reimbursements from Others City of Concord $3,833,000 Recycled Water Sales (Net after O &M) $61,000 Developer Fees /Other $525,000 TOTAL $21,787,000 Current Year Program Sets Beginning SCF Balance for Ten Year Plan FY 2012 -13 CAPITAL PROGRAM BUDGETED Total Expenditures $32.3 million Total Revenue $21.8 million Variance -$10.5 million Beginning SCF Balance 6/30/13 Funds Required for Cash Flow $35.8 million $30 — 35 million 1► Increase in SSC Capital Component is needed to fully fund Capital Program. 5500 - - - 6450 4333 Total Charge per RUE Sao2 5400 4371 5331 4350 5300 4311 5311 4311 S353 4354 5300 5289 - -/ 5272 5280 4280 / - 5300 5302 5278 4250 5224 5200 6200 J�"'-"_�, /`� Opera:.ons Com pccrr' $150 $100 S76 S74 559 SS4 phat Program Component S50 539 $27✓ ` 479 Stt _ 40 2LOa04 201.02 203203 20LX44 VA,05 2X&M M15-07 200748 7006{5 270410 2010.11 2011 -12 201213 23'3:: 714'5 P � P e -. +Y Capital Program has been deficit spending for many years S700 SIOm Mw M.a f... Ww/0.e]OOS S600 SS",5 u`' f°3 —5%2 lase $600 K' 3 Sw.) 134 i $400 �........r.�., .. 07.3 ^'Z 530.0 52,.3 S200 510 0 Soo 'SFC Balance is not strictly governed by checkbook accounting and may not strictly represent the sum of prior year balance and current year variance. 3 Preliminary Ten Year Plan Findings - Two -Year -$31 per Year Sewer Service Charge Increase Needed to Fund Capital + O &M Fiscal SSC Ops SSC Cap Total SSC Total Est Year Compnt Compnt Cap Revenue* Current $344 $27 $371 $21.8 2012 -13 million Prelim $353 $49 $402 $24.0 2013 -14 million Prelim $354 $79 $433 $29.5 2014 -15 1 million •Ideal 1 % reinvestment spending rate - $31 million per year. Should bonds be considered as an alternative to raising rates? • Guideline for bonding capacity maximum of 20% of revenue going to debt service. FY 2011 -12 Revenue $85 million therefore suggested debt service < $17 million. • Current debt service $5.6 million per year vs. $17 million per year guideline. • Investigation of benefits of using bonds to pay down CCCERA unfunded pension obligation ongoing. • May be prudent to reserve bonding capacity for large capital requirements for unbudgeted regulatory mandates. Ll $365 Million Ten Year Plan Is a Responsible One That Funds.... • Treatment Plant - Primary Sedimentation Renovation Proposed Ten-Year Capital Improvement • • 11 M - Cogeneration Replacement/Alternative Energy $ 6 M - Nitrification $ 70 M - Contaminated Soils Remediation $ 20 M - Incinerator /Solids Handling Improvements $ 12.5 M - Screenings Removal $ 7 M • Collection System - Identified Renovation Needs $ 110.1 M - Identified Capacity Needs $ 28.6 M - Pumping Station Renovation $ 11.2 M - CAD's and Developer Sewers $ �1' y�"% ���TN:: .XI�Q:•::iY:.�1•'.:YiH)'S(I.:.: - Seismic Improvements $ i'l:f f- CN ?:.: iLFtii•.r: �c '.1]iYI' ?N::.li(••:FNF:.]1 - Concord Landscape Irrigation $ 4.41VI �'.: N:Cn�/i.FrXi3+uF� X�F rvy1CCX!'4_.'•f CXiI ".?I[(C'C: �'i':- •t:!•.!'!i- .1Crr�C.rvF ----- - - - - -- 4^=.^',^" Ss'(^,;-.: r^.+ ��zT�t •3:.7".:Ii:FF.::A�....�•i77c �7��:�3nE:. ^�:.�"-.:)�- '.'.'7 iI "•F.:d �' P' �' i' �; TbT.: isSFirtl•":•`. �•:•"•: i}( � :�i�•'•:iYE:).-.::iYL;•'. /.:: ttl iEi'•'i1Z:'.R ::7i/irR: i..s- '.i:'..T::.� ----- - - - - -- 1'.'..'""=KEMEE�® ----- - - - - -- - - - - -- 001 .. - S:'7s�sNOEM�,a^:� =rz •1s�r•T:�S„� -tr• ...,�,b. -'• •-•-•,��!rx;;����.z.i�rz-�r• •-a $365 Million Ten Year Plan Is a Responsible One That Funds.... • Treatment Plant - Primary Sedimentation Renovation $ 11 M - Cogeneration Replacement/Alternative Energy $ 6 M - Nitrification $ 70 M - Contaminated Soils Remediation $ 20 M - Incinerator /Solids Handling Improvements $ 12.5 M - Screenings Removal $ 7 M • Collection System - Identified Renovation Needs $ 110.1 M - Identified Capacity Needs $ 28.6 M - Pumping Station Renovation $ 11.2 M - CAD's and Developer Sewers $ 12.9 M • General Improvements and Treatment Plant - Seismic Improvements $ 7.1 M • Recycled Water - Concord Landscape Irrigation $ 4.41VI 5 Proposed FY 2013 -14 Capital Improvement Budget FY 2013 -14 CIB Program /Project Total Cost Treatment Plant Baseline $ 8.7 million Collection System Baseline $14.9 million General Improvements Baseline* $ 4.1 million Recycled Water Baseline $ 0.4 million Concord Landscape Irrigation $1.5 million Total Baseline $28.1 million Total Baseline + Concord REW $29.6 million Includes $1.8 million for one time seismic retrofits of HOB FY 2013 -14 TREATMENT PLANT PROGRAM CATEGORY PROJECT ANNUAL EXPENSE One Time Renovation Primary Treatment Renovation $5,000,000 Pump & Blower Building Seismic $ 850,000 Cogeneration Renovation $ 400,000 Recurring Renovation Piping Renovation Phase 8 $ 100,000 All Other $2,364,000 Total Baseline $8,714,000 Treatment Plant Renovation Needs Continue to be Identified with Condition Assessments -Determine the likelihood of failure and /or the remaining life of the asset. -Completed Assessments: -Concrete *Asphalt Paving *Protective Coatings -Transformers -Buildings re Seismic *Presence of Hazardous Materials -Critical Piping (Aeration) -Elevators *Electrical Switchgear •TP replacement value -- $660M* *Reinvestment rate @ 1.8% -$12M * Not incl. land value, GI, CS or RW Aaaav NO.: 21127 A... 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Photo 13: Bay 1 - Detail of Exposed Aggregate Above Water Line (Typical) $11.0 M Primary Sedimentation Tank Renovations Incorporates Condition Assessment Findings and Improves Efficiency • Proposed Renovations — Replace Scum Collection System — Replace Chain Drives — Rehabilitate Concrete — Replace water and air supply piping — Replace Scum Skimmers and Thickener — Construct New Grit Handling Facilities — Upgrade /Renovate Electrical Conduits /Equipment FI Scum Spray System Requires Renovation to Improve Performance Drive Shafts & Bearings need to be replaced _ IN Grit Handling Facilities are Odorous and Reaching End of Useful Life - - - -- - Cogeneration Upgrades • Repaired existing cogeneration unit • Evaluated options for upgrading • Concluded that the existing cogeneration unit should be maintained until plant energy demands increase significantly (i.e. nitrification) We Cogeneration Upgrades • Negotiating five years maintenance contract with Solar Turbines • Required cogeneration unit upgrades —upgrade to electronic fuel valves —new controls —new fuel manifold /injectors for natural gas — other • Proceeding with recommended improvements Renewable Energy _ • CCCSD is participating in the regional renewable energy procurement (R -REP), led by Alameda County. • Solar assessments have been performed on most District properties: — Solar power purchase agreement recommended for HHW, CSO and CSO Vehicle Shop (no capital expense) • Regional RFP will be issued in mid -2013 to procure a bid on solar energy for more than 20 agencies. • Position Paper in January for CCCSD Board to authorize signing of R -REP MOU iM Piping Renovation Ongoing program to identify and replace deteriorated piping and equipment throughout the treatment plant. NPDES Permit Adopted April 1, 2012 • Requires participation in collaborative studies to evaluate the role of ammonia and ammonium in inhibiting primary productivity (phyto and zoo plankton) in Suisun Bay. Final report due 11 -1 -2014. • Requires development of facilities plan to evaluate alternative treatment technologies to remove ammonia and site characterization for contaminated soil site. Final report due 2 -28 -2014. • Requires total ammonia effluent load limit 5500 kg /day monthly average. Permit "relook "....April 1, 2015..... reassess the appropriateness of the total ammonia load limit. 11 What could Ammonia Removal look like? (Basis of $70 million capital cost estimate in CIP) Il4L \ is �V��f�•��.��••��•'+ .�' Conventional Nitrification Cost of Contaminated Soil Remediation is a Consideration in Choosing Future Treatment • Cost depends on Waste Class (estimated 150,000 cy) - Non Hazardous — landfill - $18.9 Million (Haul to Keller Canyon Landfill) - Non- RCRA — Hazardous - $18.5 - 27.6 Million (Rail transport to Utah) - RCRA Hazardous - $42.7 - $145.8 Million (Rail transport to Idaho) - On -site treatment - $27 — 39.5 Million (Stabilization /Solidification) • Characterization study underway • Assume $20 Million for planning purposes in year 2019 12 Model Compares Integrated Fuel /GHG /Solids Handling Methods V. P *. ". Few D* Dee V- U* xs -- JJJ_; "44 , B61 °1 a c C D _ F G H I 1 2 WknPLE MWTH FURNACE 3 A 5 6 a' 7 B. 10 xan• R A L3 u K pe*n. Vgx.z Use}e 13 �:an. neY 19 xie. ri So.dcn+ Feed.rY.er I Fe+MY.r Tan4/ Dova,u� N_ C6. V k H.Yng Value STWEr, 6 S Gn WY.g R.guem.rcs WAMW6,-Q 21 %TS G. WYng ReOU —, WIBTW*y tm G. HeY.p R.gonm.ns MMVMJ T _ I dW G. T, 9. U..d W4CFfdaT Maa gxsm LFGfB p+. n gas swc7 $40,090,000 MeY T"""" MBi�uda., Su G.nuYgn (Parspnp) My Y a0:on TSIGT 2008 Lan %e bas LYaer -108 IM-Udy g.. wY 1llf n Lw1SCF L&r .f Sum NMSCF LCVp MFf Sum :F Gas A8 NaNn� Gx LkaOe Nbou r .If 1. WNGyr MIf Q Ed NCJ Wf Sum MMSCF NGyr ref Sum NY C- Nwww r FeedalarLWdp ltteYn per HOe px ppm makeup +'a CongensaN Retw d usapN ttexn Candameu Blenddn dusaMe seam men Sge —Wln AM $90,196,000 * ** .IF Rr• < aytarrae- >. ❑:: A:; S a.>_•.9•s; .=, i I Solids Handling Alternatives Analysis Solids Capital Cost O &M Cost Present Worth of Handling 20 -yr Life Cycle Alternative ($ /y ear) Cost* Anaerobic $40,090,000 Mi $5,708,000 $125,000,000 Digestion Anaerobic Digestion w/ $58,664,000 $3,418,000 $109,530,000 Food Wastes ** Fluidized Bed $60,000,000 $2,620,000 $98,985,000 Incineration Multiple Hearth $16,702,000 * ** $4,940,000... $90,196,000 * ** Furnace ($7,800,000) * * ** ($4,940,000) * * ** ($81,295,000) * * ** *Assumes discount rate of 3 %, $6 /MMBTU NG, $0.13 /kWh ** Includes costs for side - stream ammonia treatment ** *Includes solids building seismic improvements * ** *Includes only scrubber replacement and burner improvements 13 Slide 26 M1 Capital Costs are consistant with model Assuming Sludge disposal through land application or landfilling from BACWA report (these are estimates based on current costs) the O &M costs are correct. Assumes Natural Gas Prices are $6 /MMBTU Michael, 12/3/2012 FY 2013 -14 COLLECTION SYSTEM PROGRAM CATEGORY PROJECT ANNUAL EXPENSE Renovation program North Orinda 5, Lafayette 8, $ 10,601,000 Diablo 2, Walnut Creek 10, Concrete & CM Pipe, TV inspection and others Capacity /Renovations Grayson Creek Trunk in $ 1,600,000 Pleasant Hill Pumping Stations Moraga Pumping Station $ 600,000 Grinder, Buchanan South Removal Developer services Developer Services $ 681,000 Contractual Current CADs — Harper $ 500,000 Assessment Districts Lane, Willow Drive All others $ 2,137,000 Total $14,919,000 14 Pipe Renovated to Date The following table reflects the miles of pipe (6, 8 &10 Inch) renovated to date. FISCAL YEAR PIPE RENOVATED 2005/07 8.1 Miles 2007/08 5.6 Miles 2008/09 6.3 Miles 2009/10 7.5 Miles 2010/11 2.6 Miles 2011/12 6.8 Miles 2012/13 5.3 Miles TOTAL Completed Renovation 42.2 Miles Renovation Program (6, 8 & 10 inch) Achieves 100% Completion of all known defects by FY 19/20 Total miles of pipe to be renovated - 82.8 miles* Miles of pipe renovated to date - 42.2 miles Remaining miles to renovate - 40.6 miles 10 Yr Budget Miles of Percent of for Pipe Known Renovation Renov. in Defects (millions) ** Next 10 Renov. in Yrs * ** 10 Yrs $110.1 74.4 100 %+ * Based on TV inspection of 99 percent of 6, 8 and 10 inch mains ** Provides $22.1 million in FY 18119 to 22123 for lines currently not identified by TV program * ** Estimated at $280/ft 15 SSO Downward Trend Has Been Significant Since Start of Renovation Program Running 12 -Month Overflow Totals 1999 to present 200 150 129 100 + +,+ 50 0 . m m m m m m m m m m m g m m > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 12 -Month Total at Month -End SSO Downward Trend Has Been Significant Since Start of Renovation Program 100 90 80 70 60 s0 40 30 20 10 0 Comparison of Cumulative Overflows JAN FES MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC —0-2009 — -2010 t 2011 2012 1 16 WI -W bn ` n' I I LEGEND. 1j CD�Wpwclrr rRRp� KSE CREEKIilT.1 1114 0 t � i -, L✓. � �. •�f °rh-.'... .. ORAYEOX CHEEXALT.1 `- + -._��I --mil �� )' ,� PIFANNf XILL ROM CDXPo00rt 17 az.. Capacity Program � w Pleasant Hill Pleasant Hi1VGreyson Creak °"' 10 year plan includes ca $18M for high Pbass nt Hill Road priority "' °`°°`nFY20 " „2, pz-w Ix a ®,. - p4-0 capacity projects u -.. k - ” • L.:} --` 't' .:...� r-za �,�f` -J °..° -•YAK w. Walnut Cre °k- Ea.a EaA .iw�i ;': s- Walnut Siva rr� f rsA Moraga - Moraga Way 1. Legend M -a - ---e ty Deficiency Group O t San Ramon - Percent — l i, : Capaelty San R. Schedule C - (2040 Development, E -yeer Eventl 2 No Slope " Invert E- ❑ \ L < -00 %1 -130% -- _0% _ \ WI -W bn ` n' I I LEGEND. 1j CD�Wpwclrr rRRp� KSE CREEKIilT.1 1114 0 t � i -, L✓. � �. •�f °rh-.'... .. ORAYEOX CHEEXALT.1 `- + -._��I --mil �� )' ,� PIFANNf XILL ROM CDXPo00rt 17 FY 2013 -14 GENERAL IMPROVEMENTS PROGRAM PROJECT ANNUAL EXPENSE Vehicles and Equipment $500,000 Information Technology $500,000 Seismic Improvements HOB $1,800,000 GDI Treatment Plant and SMMS Replacement $600,000 All Other $691,000 Total $4,091,000 GDI & SMMS Replacement SMMS WORKFLOW SEE _ ADDITIONAL DIAGRAM SOL Server 2005 IBM ASI400 Server SOL Saver 2DD5 1GIS WEB GIS QiSedes P FYE . (s WbM ) ESG Data ESG Des Q HTE A00W. District and Developer Jobs Mapping GeoMedia Collection system plan and profile drawings AutoCAD SOL Server 2008 SQL -01 CCCSDLF8 (Laserflclre) 18 ................. ColdFusion (Reports) MapGuide(Spatial) No GDI G01 V1Y0 Sarvr (YW Mows 2003 Sarvan45 Q01 18 Seismic Retrofit Program Project 2013 10 -YR CIP CONSTRUCTION HOB $ 1,800,000 FY 2013 -14 Pump & Blower $ 2,850,000 FY 2013 -14 POB Office Area $ 1,176,000 FY 2015 -16 TP Warehouse $ 895,000 FY 2016 -17 Laboratory $ 192,000 FY 2016 -17 SCB' $ 200,000 FY 2022 -23 Total $ 7,113,000 Seismic Retrofit of SCB is estimated at $7 -8 Million for construction; does not include bracing furnaces. Budgeted outside 10 year plan in anticipation of potential change in solids handling method. 19 Pump and Blower Building Houses Critical Plant Equipment 14LI 63.37 - 2011 08:23 �: N�_N 5, tv to PBB Retrofit Can Be Accomplished ,. Keeping Plant in Service West •Buttress West Sided 4 -Shear Walls all Sides south a.a-- 20 FY 2013 -14 RECYCLED WATER PROGRAM PROJECT ANNUAL EXPENSE Baseline - Pleasant Hill Zone 1, Martinez Refineries and other REW Planning $ 356,000 Total Baseline $ 356,000 Concord Landscape Irrigation $1,500,000 Total $1,856,000 Concord Landscape Irrigation Project Approx. 190 y AFY Chevm'' Over 34 New 0= Customers $4.4 million total cost $1 million V�� -_ State Prop 84 6 Grant Bid in February 2013 21 Martinez Refinery Project Construction Unbudgeted/ Conducting Title 16 Feasibility Study in cooperation with CCW D A. -': _ - ' y• 1 - _ Two i MqN _ L, Sh<0 P..1m L —_ _ S " CCCSD TI rNllwltt ��l�r. �7 S ;! �_ ,4 [;�'%L�y _f_fi..� . -)gyp?• I .� �. Board Role in Capital Program is Ongoing • Set Initial Capital Funding Levels in Nov /December • Confirm Capital Funding Levels in Jan /February as part of overall District Ten Year Financial Plan • Agree upon wording for Prop 218 notice March • Board Workshop Focused on CIB /CIP Projects April • Authorize CIB /Program Budgets and O &M Budget and set Rates in June • Authorize Supplemental Program Funds when needed • Award Construction Projects > $100,000 • Authorize Construction Change Orders >$100,000 • Authorize Consultant Contracts > $100,000 22 What do we need from the Board today? • Concurrence that proposed preliminary expenditure figures for FY 2013 -14 and the subsequent 9 years are acceptable for inclusion in financial planning documents to be reviewed by Board in January 2013 • Concurrence that relative emphasis and allocation of expenditures between the four programs is acceptable for development of the detailed FY 2013 -14 Capital Improvement Budget and Ten -Year Capital Plan • Acknowledgement that a significant increase in the capital component of the Sewer Service Charge will be needed in FY 2013 -14 and FY 2014 -15 to fund the recommended 2013 Ten Year Capital Plan 23 GLOSSARY OF FINANCIAL TERMS For use with the 10 -year planning documents Accrual Basis of Accounting - The basis of accounting under which transactions are recognized when they occur, regardless of the timing of related cash flows. An example of accrual basis is when an invoice is sent out for services, a receivable is booked and revenue is recorded even though no cash has been received at the time the invoice is mailed to the customer. Ad Valorem Tax (Property Tax) - A tax based on the assessed value of taxable property (also referred to as Property Tax). Arbitrage - Borrowing in one market (such as bonds) at one interest rate and investing in another market (such as certificates of deposit) at a higher interest rate. Such activities are highly restricted by the federal government and any excess interest earned in this manner is not tax exempt. Asset - An economic resource owned by the entity that is expected to benefit future operations. Examples of assets are: cash, investments, receivables, and capital or fixed assets. Balance Sheet - See Statement of Net Assets, the current term. Bonds - A written promise to pay a sum of money (principal or face value) at a future date (maturity date) along with periodic interest amount paid at a specified percentage of the principal (interest rate). Bonds are typically used to finance long -term capital improvements. Budget - A plan of financial operation, embodying an estimate of proposed expenditures for a given period (typically a fiscal year) and the proposed means of financing those expenditures (revenue estimates). CAFR (Comprehensive Annual Financial Report) — A report prepared at the close of each fiscal year to show the actual audited condition of the Agency's funds and serves as the official public record of the Agency's financial status and activities. Capital - The term refers to the Sewer Construction (S /C) Fund. Capital Assets - Assets such as land, improvements to land, easements, buildings, building improvements, vehicles, machinery, equipment, works of art and historical treasures, infrastructure, and all other tangible or intangible assets that are used in operations and that have initial useful lives extending beyond a single reporting period. Capital Budget - A plan of proposed capital expenditures and the means of financing those expenditures. The capital budget is usually enacted as a part of the complete annual budget, which includes both operating and capital outlays. The capital budget should be based on a capital improvement program (CIP). U GLOSSARY OF FINANCIAL TERMS For use with the 10 -year planning documents Capital Improvement Program (CIP) - A plan for capital expenditures to be incurred each year over a fixed period of several future years setting forth each capital project, identifying the expected beginning and ending date for each project, the amount to be expended in each year, and the method of financing those expenditures. Cash Basis of Accounting - A basis of accounting under which transactions are recognized only when cash changes hands. Revenue is recognized when cash is received and expenses are recognized when paid. Cash Reserves (Funds Required /Funds Available) - The amount of cash and investments that is easily liquidated and available to meet the District's operating, capital, self- insurance, and debt service obligations. Reserves may be restricted or unrestricted. The Operations and Maintenance (O &M) and Capital Funds Available are unrestricted cash reserves, made up of cash and investments of the District (See definitions of Funds Available and Funds Required). Connection Fees (Capacity Fees, Facility Capacity Fees) - A fee charged when new or additional Residential Unit Equivalents (RUE) connect to the sewer to contribute their fair share of service and facility costs. (Also see Pumping Capacity Fees). Debt Service - The amount of principal and interest that a local government must pay each year on its long -term debt. Defeasement - The act of relieving an Agency of a particular liability (such as a specific bond series) by refunding the liability through an escrow or trust fund. Legally defeased liabilities do not need to be appropriated each year as the trust fund is removed from the control of the Agency. (The District defeased its 1994 debt using 1998 Revenue Refunding Bonds.) Deficit - (1) The excess of an entity's liabilities over its assets; (2) The excess of expenditures or expenses over revenues during a single accounting period. District Code - A system of rules, which are complied and arranged by a municipal corporation, and are adopted and used to regulate the conduct of its inhabitants and government. Facility Capacity Fees - see Connection Fees above. FASB (Financial Accounting Standards Board) - An independent body responsible for establishing and interpreting the GAAP mainly for use in the North America. The District follows FASB's standards in areas not specifically covered by GASB. L-11 GLOSSARY OF FINANCIAL TERMS For use with the 10 -year planning documents Fund - An independent fiscal and accounting entity with a self - balancing set of accounts, recording cash and /or resources together with all related liabilities, obligations, reserves, and equities which are segregated for the purpose of carrying on specific activities or attaining certain objectives. One type of government fund is an enterprise fund and is the only type of government fund used by the District. Enterprise Funds - Accounts for District, self- sustaining activities that derive the major portion of their revenue from user fees. Enterprise Fund Accounting is used for self- sufficient government operations financed and operated in a manner similar to business enterprises, and for which preparation of an income statement is desirable. The District uses "sub- funds" to better manage internal finances. The funds are as follows: Running Expense (also referred to as Operations and Maintenance, O &M, or R/E) - A sub -fund that accounts for the general operations of the District. Operating revenues and expenses are accounted for in this sub -fund. Sewer Construction (also referred to as Capital or S /C) - A sub -fund that accounts for non - operating revenues that are to be used for acquisition or construction of plant, property, and equipment. Self- Insurance (S /1) - A sub -fund that accounts for interest earnings on cash balances and cash allocations from other funds, temporary investments, and costs of insurance premiums and claims not covered by the District's insurance policies. Debt Service - A sub -find that accounts for activity associated with the payment of the District's long -term bonds and loans. Funds Available (CCCSD term for Cash Reserves on hand) - The amount of cash and investments available in the O &M and S/C funds on June 30th of any fiscal year using the Funds Required definition above. Fund Balance (Net Assets) - The net worth of a fund, measured by total assets minus total liabilities. Funds Required (CCCSD term for Cash Reserves Guideline) - Used in the 10 -year planning process, this is the amount of money held in cash and investments (liquid assets) that is needed on June 30th of any fiscal year to meet our cash flow needs through mid - December, when we receive our first sewer service charge and property tax payment from Contra Costa County. This includes O &M and S/C Fund cash and temporary investments; it does not include OPEB payments /accruals, Debt Service cash or reserve investments and Self- Insurance Fund cash and investments. C GLOSSARY OF FINANCIAL TERMS For use with the 10 -year planning documents GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) - A widely accepted set of rules, conventions, standards, and procedures for reporting financial information, as established by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB). GASB (Governmental Accounting Standards Board) - Established in 1984, it is the ultimate authoritative accounting and financial reporting standard - setting body for state and local governments. The Board issues GASB statements that can require significant changes to an agency's financial reporting. Goal - The long -term continuing mission of a department, division, or program. Goals define the strategic results to be achieved and therefore indicate the relevance, importance, scope, and effectiveness of that outcome. Internal Control - The plan of organization and all other coordinated methods and procedures adopted to safeguard assets; to check the operations data; to promote operational efficiency, economy, and effectiveness, and to encourage adherence to prescribed managerial policies that will accomplish the objectives of the organization. Liabili - A debt of the business; an amount owed to creditors, employees, government bodies, others; a claim against assets. Modified Accrual Basis of Accounting - The accrual basis of accounting adapted to the government fund type under which revenues are recognized when they become both "measurable" and "available to finance expenditures of the current period." Expenditures are generally recognized when the related fund liability is incurred. Net Assets - See Fund Balance O &M (Operations and Maintenance) - The Running Expense Fund. One -Time Revenue - Revenue that cannot reasonably be expected to continue, such as a single - purpose federal grants, an inter -fund transfer, or use of a reserve. Continual use of one -time revenues to balance the annual budget can indicate that the revenue base is not strong enough to support current service levels. OPE_B(Other Post - Employment Benefits) - Benefits received by an employee when they retire, including medical, dental, and life insurance — but it does not include pension benefits. Operating Deficit - The amount by which current expenditures exceed current revenues. GLOSSARY OF FINANCIAL TERMS For use with the 10 -year planning documents Overhead (Administrative Overhead and Non -Work Hours) - Administrative Overhead and Non -Work Hours include indirect costs and the value of time off (holidays, sick leave, vacation, etc.) These costs are expressed as a percent of salary. For District accounting, salaries and benefits are separate from overhead (whereas consulting firms typically view employee benefits in "overhead "). Indirect costs are costs that are incurred for a common or joint purpose benefiting more than one cost objective or task and that are not readily assignable. Pay -As- You -Go - A term used to describe paying expenses as they are incurred, as opposed to prepaying, pre- funding, or setting money aside for future expenses. Performance Measures - The specific, quantitative measures of work performed within an activity or program (e.g., total miles of pipes cleaned). Also, a specific, quantitative measure of results obtained through a program or activity (e.g., reduced incidence of overflows due to a new maintenance program). Pumping Capacity Fees - A component of connection fees for units that are located in areas tributary to one or more of the District's Sewer Pumping Stations. (See Connection Fees.) Reserves - See Funds Required or Funds Available. Reserve Policy (CCCSD uses Cash Reserve Guidelines) - A document outlining minimum reserve thresholds, identifying current and potential reserves, and explaining what the reserves are, or how the reserves will be used. Residential Unit Equivalent (RUE) - A measure of sewage volume and strength equivalent to a typical residential household. Restricted Revenue - Revenue that is legally earmarked for a specific use, as may be required by state law, bond covenants, or grant requirements. For instance, capacity fees must be used within the S/C Fund; the revenue cannot be transferred to O &M. Sinking Fund - A method by which a government may set aside money over time to pay for a project or obligation. Statement of Net Assets (Balance Sheet prior to GASB 34) - A statement reporting the present financial position of an entity by disclosing the value of its assets, liabilities, and equities as of a specified date. Assets minus liabilities equal fund balance (also called Net Assets) Strategic Plan - A comprehensive plan, normally covering a 5 -10 year period, developed to guide delivery of specific services, identify future needs and challenges, and identify future infrastructure needs. E GLOSSARY OF FINANCIAL TERMS For use with the 10 -year planning documents UAAL_(Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability) - A term used in connection with pension plans, it is the amount of excess of the actuarial accrued liability over the actuarial value of assets. The value may also be negative; a negative unfunded actuarial accrued liability is the excess of the actuarial value of assets over the actuarial accrued liability, or the funding excess. Unfunded Liability - A liability that has been incurred during the current or a prior year, that does not have to be paid until a future year, and for which reserves have not been set aside to meet this obligation. It is similar to a long -term debt in that it represents a legal commitment to pay at some time in the future. F