HomeMy WebLinkAboutCAPITAL PROJECTS AGENDA 10-28-08~l C'entral Contra Costa Sanitary District
CAPITAL PROJECTS COMMITTEE
Chair Menesini
Member Hockett
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
3:00 p.m.
Third Floor Executive Conference Room
Central Contra Costa Sanitary District
5019 Imhoff Place, Martinez, CA
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i~~ Recycled Paper
• ~ Capital Projects Committee
October 28, 2008
Page 2
1. CALL MEETING TO ORDER
2. REVIEW ADDITIONAL ALLOCATION NEEDS FOR CAPITAL PROGRAM FOR
CURRENT FISCAL YEAR (2008-09) --Gail Chester
*3. REVIEW MEMO PRESENTING ALTERNATIVE EXPENDITURES SCENARIOS
FOR FISCAL YEAR 2009-10 AND RECEIVE INPUT -Ann Farrell
4. HIGHLIGHT SEVERAL MAJOR PROJECTS PLANNED FOR 2009-10 AND
BEYOND AND RECEIVE INPUT ON PROJECTS TO BE FEATURED IN
CAPITAL PLANNING WORKSHOP -Tad Pilecki and Staff
a. Sewer Renovation Program Update -Are we spending enough?
b. Treatment Plant Asset Management Planning Development -Are we
spending on the right things?
c. Solids Handling Improvements -What investments are needed in our
incineration process over the next ten years?
d. Other
5. ADJOURNMENT
* Attachment
3
Central Contra Costa Sanitary District
October 24, 2008
TO: BOARD CAPITAL PROJECTS COMMITTEE
VIA: JAMES M. KELLY, GENERAL MANAGER
FROM: ANN E. FARRELL, DIRECTOR OF ENGINEERIN
TAD PILECKI, MANAGER OF CAPITAL PROJECTSfi~
SUBJECT: PRELIMINARY FISCAL YEAR 2009-2010 CAPITAL SPENDING
SCENARIOS
INTRODUCTION
For the seven years prior to 2006-07 spending had been maintained at a level sufficient
to replace needed facilities on a 100-year life cycle, or approximately 1 % of the
estimated replacement value of all District facilities each year. Beginning in fiscal year
2006-07 the District embarked upon an aggressive capital program to complete needed
one time reliability and capacity projects and make use of a significant accumulated
reserve, which resulted from a robust economy and the associated revenue from new
connections and increased property tax revenues.
The ten year Capital Improvement Plan (CIP) the Board approved for 2008-09 included
continued significant spending through the year 2010-2011 to complete these needed
projects, then tapering down to the 1 % of replacement value baseline level of spending
(approximately $28 million per year) to cover renovation and replacement over a 100
year period. The projects under the baseline spending are selected based on condition
assessment and need in order to ensure that the monies are appropriately spent. Using
this approach, the 2008-09 CIP maintained modest rate increases, in the range of $11
to $14 per year, for the next ten years.
While the projects included in this higher level of spending are essential projects, the
current housing crisis and other unfavorable economic factors are expected to reduce
revenues. Thus, it is important that we consider whether these reduced revenues drive
the need for reduced capital expenditures. This is discussed in the following memo.
A counterpoint to this discussion is a desire that has been expressed at times by
different Board members, to increase expenditures on the collection system renovation
program and recycled water, in addition to those already planned for. Also, due to the
poor economy and lack of building, bid prices for capital projects are coming in
significantly less than estimated (20-30% low in many cases). Therefore, there is some
logic in continuing an aggressive capital program in order to get the best value and
realize the savings from the anticipated low bids.
PRELIMINARY CAPITAL REVENUE ASSUMPTIONS
November 2008 Board Caaital Workshoa
Fiscal Year 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
Interest % 3.75% 4.00% 4.50% 5.00% 5.50% 5.75% 5.75% 6.00% 6.00% 6.00% 6.00%
Moderate
Assumption Interest
Compared to 2008-
09CI6/CIP $ 461,000 $ 259,000 $ 185,000) $ (19,000) $ (45,000) $ (104,000) $ 221,000) $ (280,000 $ (382,000) $ 736,000 $ 52,000
General Inflation % 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
# of New
Corrections 1,250 1,250 1,250 1,200 1,200 1,100 900 800 700 700 700
Moderate
Assumption
Connection Fees
Compared to 2008-
09CIB1CIP 31,000 192,000 183,000 171,000 108,000 495,000 417,000 283,000 389,000 387,000 352,340
Ad Valorem Tax
Escalation' 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 4.0% -4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
Moderate
Assumption Ad
Valorem Tax
Corr~ared to 2008-
09CIB/ClP S 19,000 S 540,000 S 551,00 S 584,00 S 568,000 S 590,000 S 814000 S 763,000 S 2,000 S 988.000 5 27,580
11-veartotal
E (350,000)
~~-~. cow
S (51,860)
+~-Ye+- mw
S (8,896,560)
Total 11-year Deficit compared to 2008-09 CIB/CIP s p,osfi,zzo>
EXPENDITURES
Three scenarios were developed for the initial scenario runs: the Aggressive spending
scenario, the Moderate spending scenario and the Reduced spending scenario. The
Aggressive spending scenario represents the spending proposed in 2008-09 with some
necessary deletions and some additions which staff is suggesting based on emerging
needs. The Moderate spending scenario reduces expenditures in the Aggressive
spending scenario by deferring necessary projects and deleting a few projects that are
more speculative in nature, thus more closely matching the levels proposed in 2008-09.
The Reduced spending scenario deletes additional projects in an effort to offset the
projected reduction in capital revenues.
The major projects for these scenarios that are different from those discussed with the
Board in previous years and approved by the Board in the 2008-09 Capital Plan are as
follows:
Aggressive Spending Scenario: $17,200,000 > 2008-09 Capital Plan over same ten
years.
Treatment Plant Program
Delete Incinerator Mercury Removal Project - $18,200,000
Add Incinerator Wet Scrubber Project + $ 4,000,000
Add Centrifuge Replacement Project + $ 3,000,000
Add Incinerator Renovation Project + $ 2,000,000
Add Cogeneration Replacement Project + $ 5,200,000
Miscellaneous Additions + $ 500,000
Collection System Program
Delay Capacity Projects/Replace with Renovation No Cost Impact
Additional Renovation projects + $ 7,000,000
Carry over from FY 07/08 for A-Line Project + $ 4,000,000
General Improvements Program
Add additional costs for CSO Improvements + $4,200,000
Add estimated costs of HOB & 4737 Seismic Retrofit + $3,500,000
Carry over from FY 07/08 for ADA, Carpet and Paint + $ 700,000
Recycled Water Program (REW)
Added costs for additional REW Planning and Development +$1,300,000
No added costs for new REW projects, if Board directs addition of projects
as result of Board Recycled Water Workshop on October 29, 2008, any
additional costs will need to be factored into scenarios.
Moderate Spending Scenario; $1,400,000 > 2008-09 Capital Plan over same ten
years. Shifting of some planned projects to outlying years. The following projects were
delayed/deleted from the Aggressive spending scenario.
Treatment Plant Program
Delay Nitrification Modifications - $1,000,000
Delete Cogeneration Replacement - $5,000,000
Delete New Electric Blower - $1,000,000
Delete Miscellaneous Equipment Replacement - $1,000,000
Collection System Program
Delete Renovation Projects - $7,000,000
Reduced Spending Scenario: $3,700,000 < 2008-09 Capital Plan over same ten
years. Shifting of some projects to outlying years. The following projects were deleted
from the Moderate spending scenario.
Treatment Plant Program
Delete funds from ongoing equipment replacement - $1,700,000
Collection System Program
Delete funds from the capacity program - $3,400,000
RATE IMPACTS OF SCENARIOS
Using the revised revenue assumptions, each of the three potential expenditure
scenarios have been run through the District financial model. In addition to the revenue
assumptions, a number of assumptions with respect to Operations and Maintenance
expenditures and revenues have also been made; therefore this analysis is very
preliminary. However, it will be useful in setting preliminary capital expenditure target
levels for use in this year's financial planning process which culminates in the Financial
Planning Workshop in January. Using all of this very preliminary revenue and
expenditure information, the following sewer service charge impacts were projected
under the three spending scenarios. All three scenarios also assume some bond
financing in outlying years, as noted.
SSC
Increases
Spending
Scenario 2009/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19
A ressive* $24 $24 $12 $12 $12 $12 $12 $12 $12 $12
Moderate** $13 $13 $13 $13 $13 $13 $13 $17 $17 $17
Reduced**~` $12 $12 $12 $13 $14 $14 $14 $14 $14 $14
Debt issuance in 2016-17 of $27.5 million
** Debt issuance in 2016-17 of $35 million
*** Debt issuance in 2016-17 of $27.5 million
RECOMMENDATION
Based on the preliminary information and assumptions noted above, staff recommends
that we proceed with planning the November Capital Workshop utilizing the spending
proposed under the Moderate spending scenario. This scenario reduces spending to
eliminate some increases that had occurred since the 2008-09 plan and closely
matches that plan with no allowance for inflation. This allows us to mitigate the impact
of the reduced capital revenues on the needed increases to the sewer service charge.
The moderate spending scenario maintains, in large part, the critical projects that have
been initiated, including the Sludge Hauling Facility, Emergency Bypass Facility,
Aeration Basin Renovation Phase 2, Seismic Retrofit and Collection System Operations
Facility such that these projects can benefit from the current competitive bidding
climate.
Staff will discuss the proposed fiscal year 2009-10 Capital Planning Scenarios in more
detail with the Capital Projects Committee on October 28, 2008 and looks forward to
receiving their input prior to initiating preparation for the Capital Planning Workshop on
November 13, 2008 and continuing the financial planning process into the January 2009
Financial Planning Workshop. Staff acknowledges that this is a very volatile financial
climate for long range planning. The Board will be updated on significant changes in
operation or capital costs as they occur and any associated policy issues. Based on the
Board input received at the workshops, and the evolving national financial situation,
appropriate changes will be made to the budgets before their adoption at the end of
fiscal year 2008-09. Going beyond the fiscal year 2009-10 CIB/CIP, course corrections
can be made each fiscal year, such that if the economic conditions worsen by this time
next year and revenues are further reduced, capital expenditures could also be further
reduced to mitigate any rate impacts.